powderfreak Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 Amazing that we go from lows in the 30s to highs in the 80s/90s... here's last night's BTV CWA low temps. Amazing to think the growing season has almost ended in parts of NE VT and the Adirondacks where they've been below freezing for several hours on two nights this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 I noticed MWN recorded its first measurable of the season with 0.2" of ice/snow reported during the previous 24 hours on this morning's F-6 data. Gotta love mountain weather... big changes coming over the next 24 hours, too. "Mild and moist air will continue to stream in tomorrow, sending the mercury well into the 50s, and prompting intermittent fog to return. Winds will abruptly ramp up, becoming sustained at around hurricane force by afternoon, with scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms developing." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 12z MOS exceeds the 9/11 record of 91F set back in 1917 for Worcester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 This may have more impact than the July heat, which came on a bit more gradually. This is like wall-o'-heat stuff. Visualizing 84'ish tomorrow ... then the temp doesn't fall much tomorrow night and it's still in the mid 70s with off-shore flow at Logan. Then we gain 7 per hour after sun-up, Wed. Woof! Boston record of 99F would be safe, but I am not certain how/why the NAM MOS thinks FIT will put up a 97, yet keeps BOS at 93 on a west wind/same air mass. That's dubious. Either knock back FIT or add a bunch to BOS. It should be noted also that both MAV and MEX are less extreme with the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 If this breaks right..torch spots could hit 97-98..that is impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 If this breaks right..torch spots could hit 97-98..that is impressive One more for old times sake. Might as well bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 Looking at the coop data from my town for 9/1983, after 9/11/1983 the weather looks rather pleasant. 11 of the remaining 19 days had lows in the 30s, 4 being <32°. Kevin would even like it because there were two days with highs in the 90s and the rest of us would be happy with the lows in the 40s those days. So, if it's going to be hot Wednesday ala 1983 style, hopefully the rest of the month will follow suit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 This may have more impact than the July heat, which came on a bit more gradually. This is like wall-o'-heat stuff. Visualizing 84'ish tomorrow ... then the temp doesn't fall much tomorrow night and it's still in the mid 70s with off-shore flow at Logan. Then we gain 7 per hour after sun-up, Wed. Woof! Boston record of 99F would be safe, but I am not certain how/why the NAM MOS thinks FIT will put up a 97, yet keeps BOS at 93 on a west wind/same air mass. That's dubious. Either knock back FIT or add a bunch to BOS. It should be noted also that both MAV and MEX are less extreme with the heat. The NAM appears to back winds around to the SE for a time across northeast Mass. MOS reflects the same thing at KBOS: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 The NAM appears to back winds around to the SE for a time across northeast Mass. MOS reflects the same thing at KBOS: Whatever complex pushes through will push something down to perhaps PWM. Something to watch, but I think it stays NE of BOS Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 Euro has probably the warmest 850 temps I've seen all summer, especially when taking into account the real estate the +20C 850mb contour encompasses. Sept 11 sun certainly makes it perhaps a few ticks cooler than if this were to happen in July, but mid 90s would be achieved I think in favored torch spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 we go 90-95 wednesday to struggling to 60F on saturday? euro has a lot of light precip on saturday with the cold pool overhead so likely a lot of cloud cover at least. it's reflected nicely in the 2-m temps which have most areas <60F all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 we go 90-95 wednesday to struggling to 60F on saturday? euro has a lot of light precip on saturday with the cold pool overhead so likely a lot of cloud cover at least. it's reflected nicely in the 2-m temps which have most areas <60F all day. What a crappy Saturday its showing. I hope its sunnier so we get that warmer feel even with the crisp airmass. Total shock going from today, to 90s in many spots back to an even colder airmass on the weekend. That back and forth pattern that has been advertised for a while now is coming to fruition. Even some hints at more warm weather next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 Looking at some higher resolution Euro maps, 850mb temps peak at 21.6°C at 12z Wednesday, right near the CT/Mass. border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 Looking at some higher resolution Euro maps, 850mb temps peak at 21.6°C at 12z Wednesday, right near the CT/Mass. border. That's insane... right over Mt. Tolland? Des Moines Iowa is 100 degrees right now, air mass is certainly legit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 40's for Highs in KBUF for me this weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 40's for Highs in KBUF for me this weekend? it's chilly on saturday out that way...sunday looks pretty mild though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 With that trough sharpening, hopefully I can get some rains Thursday. Tired of watering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 Word on the Euro! Jesus what a blow torch dragon fart day that's going to be in this depiction. One possible saving grace is that the 700mb RH depicted below, left, being moderate may argue for some clouds in the area, and that would certainly take the edge off. Otherwise, I don't care if it's Sept 11 or not, west wind drilling the bottom of an EML column downslope is going send the temperature well above 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 who has the Tippy excessive heat warning graphic?? post it please. i must have deleted mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 Euro now biting harder on the Sept 15-20 positive departure pattern. Thing is ... I cannot condone THAT depiction outright, when I find that the Euro has a few specific accuracy issues I've noted in the past, wrt to the temporal boundary between the late middle and extended ranges. To do so would be hypocritical. However, in this case, I do see some outside--> in looking reason to extend some confidence, nonetheless. For one, this run is not alone. The GFS has been pounding this idea for day's worth of runs now. For another, the NAO has been positive and remains that way in the means of the GEFs for the foreseable future. It's actually never set very well will me that much troughing at all has been verifying given to that factor -- but then again, that factor is not a lone correlator. For those that think the Pacific is less effectual on the pattern in the summer, heh. Sparing that digression ... the PNA is dropping, and the preferred correlation to that teleconnector would be an eventual declination in the western N/A heights medium. These runs fit these larger scale mass field mode changes. Short version, I think for a week or so we lose the repeating cool shots and go back positive more consistently. How so depends -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 TAN will hit 92F. One day torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 Analog probabilities for 90°+ and 95°+ temps respectively on Wednesday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 I poo poohed Blizz for hyping 90s I was wrong What is the ORH record for Sept? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 I poo poohed Blizz for hyping 90s I was wrong What is the ORH record for Sept? 99 on September 2nd, 1953 and 96F on September 3rd, 1929. Other than those, I could only find a few days that broke 90 in September at ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 who has the Tippy excessive heat warning graphic?? post it please. i must have deleted mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 there it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 lolol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 9, 2013 Share Posted September 9, 2013 LOL-I almost forgot what those cheesy excessive heat warning/watches look like since we havent seen them in so long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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