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September weather discussion


Ginx snewx

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i was?

I am equally surprised that you didn't get lower...you have excellent radiating conditions at your house. You always have some of the coldest temperatures on clear, calm nights; also, some places in eastern Massachusetts like ORE were pretty cold last night. I wasn't talking about your forecasting abilities as I would have thought the same thing for your house. 

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I am equally surprised that you didn't get lower...you have excellent radiating conditions at your house. You always have some of the coldest temperatures on clear, calm nights; also, some places in eastern Massachusetts like ORE were pretty cold last night. I wasn't talking about your forecasting abilities as I would have thought the same thing for your house. 

 

I think you are confused. That was his current temp, not low. He never said U30s.

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Big heat nxt Wed/Thurs..big big heat. Euro implies 93-94 at BDL and BOS on west flow.

 

Severe Thurs?

Well, 850's would support low to possibly mid-90's under ideal conditions, but I'm a bit cautious to go that high at this point. Hard to overlook +2SD 850's on Euro...

 

Thursday is probably kept down due to clouds/debris, which may ultimately limit a severe threat, but it's kind of silly to talk about details. There actually could be legit severe potential if this all works out - we've yet to really see that happen this year.

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If the Euro and it's Ens are right we all approach 90 and torch spots well into 90's.

 

90 gets to be very tough this year as it takes a perfect set of circumstances to achieve it. Climo starts to get very difficult for 90. That being said, if we can get a good W-SW wind, no debris clouds and 850 temps near and above 18C...low elavations could achieve it.

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If the Euro and it's Ens are right we all approach 90 and torch spots well into 90's.

ens aren't quite as warm (though still pretty darn warm)...but either way i wouldn't be surprised if it backs off a tick or two and we end up around 18C or so.

 

flow isn't perfect at the surface - as modeled right now at least - so it might be a case where warmest readings are actually up in NE MA or S NH and a lot of other places are mid and upper 80s.

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ens aren't quite as warm (though still pretty darn warm)...but either way i wouldn't be surprised if it backs off a tick or two and we end up around 18C or so.

 

flow isn't perfect at the surface - as modeled right now at least - so it might be a case where warmest readings are actually up in NE MA or S NH and a lot of other places are mid and upper 80s.

Yeah entirely possible.. to see BOX with upper 70's is just baffling though

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