September 2013 Pattern and Discussion

[metalicwx366]

Just watch. There will be a large area of convection closer to the Gulf and it will cut-off our rain here. You can already see it dissipating over central AL.

It doesn't happen when you expect it. I see the radar up there lol.

[DaculaWeather]

LOL! Of course!!! i got an inch of rain in 20 minutes! :-) One more heavy line to come through and I've had about 1.30" so far.

[Wow]

Steve if you do need to use js scripts use jquery... handles all of the cross browser problems that baseline JavaScript can have. Used it with great success with the model center coding.

Very cool! Thanks for letting me know! :-)

It is straight CSS code, no javascript needed. It should work fine on any modern browser.

[DaculaWeather]

I use jQuery for graphing of my data. I like the interactive legends that let you turn things on and off. Cool stuff.

http://www.daculaweather.com/4_dacula_weather_graphs.php

[Wow]

I use jQuery for graphing of my data. I like the interactive legends that let you turn things on and off. Cool stuff.

http://www.daculaweather.com/4_dacula_weather_graphs.php

Yeah the jQuery UI scripts are a handy tool to use. I have about 3 or 4 of them in the model center.

[Brick Tamland]

Lots of rain here. Been a dreary day. On a good not, saw Wx South post on Facebook that this winter looks like a good one for snow and ice.

[GaWx]

Sitting here watching football and listening to the rain while I' working on web pages... sounds like fun, huh?

See if these pages for for you now, I haven't even tried them in anything but Chrome and IE9 (shadows don't show in 9 for some reason) but it

seems to work well there

http://www.daculaweather.com/4_southern_region_weather.php

http://www.daculaweather.com/4_midwest_weather.php

And Larry... you must be busy watching football on that new TV, how's that going?

Awesome! I raised brightness from 45 to 70, lowered contrast from 100 to 90, and lowered sharpness from 50 to 20.

[dsaur]

This is making my head hurt.

Two days in the first June, and 4 days in the second June.  What's so hard to understand? 

  Oh, you might be still using the old calendar...so sorry.   This is the new Junian calendar.  Try to keep up

  Got a whole 1/2 inch yesterday.  The drought just laughed.T

[FallsLake]

We're just a couple of weeks out were we can start looking for the first frost/freeze chances. Rember frost can occur in mid-upper 30s (because actual ground temps run colder). Don't see anything on the models. Day 16 on the GFS looks like cold air pushing south (**but that's day 16 of the GFS). I've seen our first frost in early/mid October and as late as November.

 

Here's one event from mid October 2006:

http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/maps/mint.20061015.gif

 

Average frost and freeze map:

http://www.wral.com/asset/weather/2009/10/19/6241580/Central_North_Carolina_Fall_Frosts_and_Freezes.pdf

[jburns]

We're just a couple of weeks out were we can start looking for the first frost/freeze chances. Rember frost can occur in mid-upper 30s (because actual ground temps run colder). Don't see anything on the models. Day 16 on the GFS looks like cold air pushing south (**but that's day 16 of the GFS). I've seen our first frost in early/mid October and as late as November.

 

Here's one event from mid October 2006:

http://www4.ncsu.edu/~nwsfo/storage/cases/maps/mint.20061015.gif

 

Average frost and freeze map:

http://www.wral.com/asset/weather/2009/10/19/6241580/Central_North_Carolina_Fall_Frosts_and_Freezes.pdf

 

I never get too excited looking for the first frost. Often times we have one morning with a frost. If you cover your plants that night you can often get almost another full month of growing season.  

[DaculaWeather]

Here's our average fall/frost/freeze stuff: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_climate_new.php

[metalicwx366]

Here's our average fall/frost/freeze stuff: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_climate_new.php

Awesome you included Waycross.

Never knew we see our first frost before Atlanta.

Apparently 10/22 is our average date for first frost. 4/5 is average for the latest.

[FLweather]

Awesome you included Waycross.
Never knew we see our first frost before Atlanta.
Apparently 10/22 is our average date for first frost. 4/5 is average for the latest.

 

 

Because he is screwing with you. Im nearly 600 miles north of you and your average first frost is close to mine.. not. Look at the map I believe that maybe skewed too. Try 2nd-last week of Nov is your "Average"

[metalicwx366]

Because he is screwing with you. Im nearly 600 miles north of you and your average first frost is close to mine.. not. Look at the map I believe that maybe skewed too. Try 2nd-last week of Nov is your "Average"

I'm thinking it should be 11/22 and 3/5. Last year the lowest temp was 39 in October, and that was nearly 15 degrees below the average low.

http://www.accuweather.com/en/us/waycross-ga/31501/october-weather/332523?monyr=10/1/2012

[NCSNOW]

I never get too excited looking for the first frost. Often times we have one morning with a frost. If you cover your plants that night you can often get almost another full month of growing season.  

I've heard that most old timers hate to see the cold weather coming on due to how affects their joints, arthritis e.t.c.

 

[calculus1]

I thought this line was great in the AFD from GSP this morning:

 

 

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 2 AM WEDNESDAY...IT LOOKS LIKE WE HAVE A PERIOD OF QUIET EARLY
AUTUMN WEATHER IN STORE FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. THE MODELS
CONTINUE THE RECENT TREND OF TAKING THE REMNANTS OF AN UPPER LOW
OVER THE MID ATLANTIC COAST ON THURSDAY MORNING AND GRADUALLY
FILLING IT WHILE IT IS ABSORBED INTO THE CYCLONIC FLOW OFF THE EAST
COAST. ONE FINAL VORT CENTER ROTATING AROUND THE OLD UPPER LOW IS
STILL EXPECTED TO MOVE OVERHEAD ON THURSDAY...BUT THE MODELS SHOW
ALMOST NO MID/UPPER FORCING WITH IT. ANY PRECIP THAT DEVELOPS WILL
HAVE TO DO SO WITH THE HELP OF WEAK EASTERLY UPSLOPE AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE OVER THE MTNS...AND LOOKS LIKE IT WILL HAPPEN IN THE
FORM OF SHALLOW CONVECTION. THE MODELS SUGGEST THIS WILL MIGRATE OFF
TO THE SW WITH A SURGE OF COOLER AND DRIER AIR MOVING DOWN FROM THE
HIGH TO THE NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON...SO THE PRECIP CHANCES
MIRROR THAT SCENARIO. THE PRECIP OVER THE MTNS SHOULD END QUICKLY
WITH THE LOSS OF HEATING.

FROM THAT POINT ONWARD...IT LOOKS TRANQUIL AS WE WILL BE ON THE
FORWARD EDGE OF AN UPPER RIDGE THAT AMPLIFIES AND BECOMES MORE
POSITIVELY TILTED ON FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY. SKY SHOULD BE MOSTLY
CLEAR THROUGH THE PERIOD...OTHER THAN SOME VALLEY FOG EACH MORNING
OVER THE MTNS. TEMPS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ON THE COOL SIDE OF
NORMAL. SOME MIGHT CALL IT SPECTACULAR...IF THE FCST IS RIGHT.

[jburns]

I've heard that most old timers hate to see the cold weather coming on due to how affects their joints, arthritis e.t.c.

My joint does fine, thank you.

[DaculaWeather]

My joint does fine, thank you.

Not good if you only have one joint... 

[DaculaWeather]

Added a few more new pages...

 

NWS Social Media Page: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_nws_social.php

Snow and Ice Summary: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_ice_snow.php

 

I finally completed the Southern Region Weather Summary Page, time to finish the Central Region Page:

http://www.daculaweather.com/4_southern_region_weather.php

[calculus1]

...

 

I finally completed the Southern Region Weather Summary Page, time to finish the Central Region Page:

http://www.daculaweather.com/4_southern_region_weather.php

 

Well, the issue that is impressed upon me is that the NC, SC, and VA NWS offices need to get with the program.  I like those nice images provided by other NWS offices, but where are GSP and Raleigh and Columbia and Charleston and Wilmington and Blacksburg?  Come on, guys and gals, we need our weather maps!

[Marion_NC_WX]

Not sure if you guys have noticed but the last 5-6 runs but the GFS has been hinting at some deep trough or possible cutoff in the Central US and moving east the first week of October...which honestly would fit pretty well with the pattern going all the way back to spring. We had the major cutoff back in May which flooded the SoApps, the July mega pattern and now maybe something in October, probably a bit more progressive in nature but still something significant.

[DaculaWeather]

Well, the issue that is impressed upon me is that the NC, SC, and VA NWS offices need to get with the program.  I like those nice images provided by other NWS offices, but where are GSP and Raleigh and Columbia and Charleston and Wilmington and Blacksburg?  Come on, guys and gals, we need our weather maps!

Yes, the Eastern Region and the Western Region doesn't do those images, and it is disappointing. I was going to try to do the same thing for the Eastern Region but there is nothing to key off of. 

Here's the Central Region: http://www.daculaweather.com/4_midwest_weather.php

 

I do have AFD's, HWO's, forecast, etc for those offices, just no images to display.

[jburns]

Well, the issue that is impressed upon me is that the NC, SC, and VA NWS offices need to get with the program.  I like those nice images provided by other NWS offices, but where are GSP and Raleigh and Columbia and Charleston and Wilmington and Blacksburg?  Come on, guys and gals, we need our weather maps!

 

It could be worse.

 

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39518-march-banter-thread/page-13#entry2166859

[calculus1]

It could be worse.

 

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39518-march-banter-thread/page-13#entry2166859

 

Wow!  So true.

 

:lol:  Good times. Good times.  Ahhh, birds...

 

You seriously went back and searched to find that image?  Or did you just have it bookmarked waiting for a moment like this in which to use it?  Come on, 'fess up!

[jburns]

Wow!  So true.

 

:lol:  Good times. Good times.  Ahhh, birds...

 

You seriously went back and searched to find that image?  Or did you just have it bookmarked waiting for a moment like this in which to use it?  Come on, 'fess up!

 

It only took a couple of minutes to find. When Calc complained about the NWS maps it just popped into my head.

[DaculaWeather]

Well, the issue that is impressed upon me is that the NC, SC, and VA NWS offices need to get with the program.  I like those nice images provided by other NWS offices, but where are GSP and Raleigh and Columbia and Charleston and Wilmington and Blacksburg?  Come on, guys and gals, we need our weather maps!

Here's the page I originally started on that does have NC and SC on it, but I was struggling to find images that really depicted what was going on, and really couldn't. http://www.daculaweather.com/4_southeast_weather_old.php

That's why I decided to stick to the two regions that are consistent in the use of these type of images.

[isohume]

Well, the issue that is impressed upon me is that the NC, SC, and VA NWS offices need to get with the program.  I like those nice images provided by other NWS offices, but where are GSP and Raleigh and Columbia and Charleston and Wilmington and Blacksburg?  Come on, guys and gals, we need our weather maps!

 

We (GSP) generate those media style graphics in-house and we post them to twitter and FB occasionally. They'll be automated to our CMS webpage in about two weeks.

[DaculaWeather]

We (GSP) generate those media style graphics in-house and we post them to twitter and FB occasionally. They'll be automated to our CMS webpage in about two weeks.

Awesome!!! So is the whole Eastern Region going to be doing that? Also, what software do you use to do that?

[isohume]

Awesome!!! So is the whole Eastern Region going to be doing that? Also, what software do you use to do that?

 

Yeah they're supposed to, but I'm not sure of other office's time lines or where they are in the process. The graphics use ArcMap and python scripts. 

[DaculaWeather]

I can go ahead and begin building a page and then add the links for the images when they become available. That's great to hear. 

I really like browsing those images to quickly see what's going on in other places.