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Central Pennsylvania Late Summer-Fall 2013


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It feels like a January day out today really, windy and raw. Need some more moderate temps to adjust to the winter.

 

seems to be on the way.

Tomatoes took a hit from the freeze last nite but aren't totally dead yet ...tonight might be the night that they succumb to the freeze.

We got down to 28.3 this am.

 

Still have the Asian mustards, leeks, root veggies, and a few other greens going.

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Grasping for straws.

Do you read the Philly subforum winter and mid/long range threads? Not really what I call promising for snow lovers. I think AccuWx actually has the right call, +2 or so overall for temps, with February being the most winterish month.

 

Edit: nvm, just saw you replied to someone over there.

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mcd2001.gif

 

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2001
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0240 AM CDT FRI NOV 01 2013

AREAS AFFECTED...PA/WV/FAR ERN KY/WRN AND NRN VA/WRN MD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 557...

VALID 010740Z - 010900Z

CORRECTED FOR TYPO IN THE FIRST SENTENCE

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 557
CONTINUES.

SUMMARY...A FORCED LINE OF FRONTAL CONVECTION CONTINUES MOVING
QUICKLY EWD TOWARD THE CREST OF THE APPALACHIANS ATTM. LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE LINE...AND MAY CONTINUE IN
AN ISOLATED SENSE E OF THE EXISTING WW.

DISCUSSION...LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS THE COLD FRONT JUST W OF
THE APPALACHIAN CREST ATTM...WITH A FORCED LINE OF LOW-TOPPED
CONVECTION MOVING QUICKLY EWD IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE FRONT.
DESPITE THE LACK OF INSTABILITY...AS EVIDENCED BY THE ABSENCE OF
LIGHTNING WITHIN THE CONVECTIVE LINE OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS...EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG FLOW FIELD -- INCLUDING WINDS OF 70 TO
80 MPH WITHIN ONE KM OF GROUND LEVEL ACROSS THE WRN PA VICINITY ATTM
-- ARE OBSERVED. THUS...SOME RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS AT THE SURFACE
CONTINUES...WHERE DOWNWARD TRANSPORT OF HIGH-MOMENTUM AIR CAN OCCUR
LOCALLY.

WHILE THE OVERALL INTENSITY OF THE CONVECTIVE LINE HAS SHOWN SOME
SIGNS OF WEAKENING PER RECENT RADAR DATA...THE LINE WILL BEGIN TO
VACATE THE PA PORTION OF WW 557 IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...AND WITHIN
1-2 HOURS FARTHER S INTO MD/VA. ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT A NEW WW MAY
NOT BE NEEDED...BUT WE WILL MONITOR TRENDS OVER THE NEXT HALF HOUR
TO HOUR AS STORMS APPROACH THE ERN FRINGE OF THE EXISTING WATCH.

..GOSS/MEAD.. 11/01/2013

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