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The Pattern Ahead

ORH_wxman

By ORH_wxman,
in New England

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dryslot

dryslot

Posted
Posted

He would be the sidekick to Kevin's "Full Frontal Guy".

All this talk about a favorable pattern has my weenie standing at attention. I was burned out for a couple days after the big miss here.

Its been good to take a break and get some rest before the next threat, Whenever that is.... :weight_lift:

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MaineJayhawk

MaineJayhawk

Posted
Posted

Dude, love the 'Circle of Trust' logo. Super fab. I'm completely out of the loop with the weather picture . Skiing a lot and no time to read up for the next week or so. Hoping for more snow, quite sure we're going to go into an active pattern here before long. Winter is so much fun, glad to have some good snow on the ground. Next?!?!?!

All the mets are saying a little sneaky snow on Monday and afterwards it's bombs away. Ok, they aren't saying it like that, but if you read between the lines you can see they're thinking La Epic January. Enjoy the skiing! :)

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MaineJayhawk

MaineJayhawk

Posted
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Its been good to take a break and get some rest before the next threat, Whenever that is.... :weight_lift:

I took 48 hours off from looking at any wx-related stuff. Saw a chance on GFS for Monday, I guess that just sprang from nowhere (cool). Lots of chatter about favorable pattern (also cool). Once the weekend nonsense passes I'll be ready.

:snowman:

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dryslot

dryslot

Posted
Posted

All the mets are saying a little sneaky snow on Monday and afterwards it's bombs away. Ok, they aren't saying it like that, but if you read between the lines you can see they're thinking La Epic January. Enjoy the skiing! :)

Timing is going to need to be right on the monday frontal passage for the wave that looks to develop on it.....

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ski MRG

ski MRG

Posted
Posted

All the mets are saying a little sneaky snow on Monday and afterwards it's bombs away. Ok, they aren't saying it like that, but if you read between the lines you can see they're thinking La Epic January. Enjoy the skiing! :)

Cool, so Coastalwx is promising a HECS for Monday. Perfect.

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dryslot

dryslot

Posted
Posted

Did the Euro show anything like that? I saw the 24hr maps had a low off the northeast but who knows where it came from. The CMC showed diddly squat.

Yeah it did, The 00z showed it but it was way OTS, 12z had it and showed downeast maine getting precip from it, It actually develops a wave on the front as it moves east offshore.....

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

LOL.

Let's hope. Who's facebook account is that?

Also, what's with the circle of trust?

. . . Might need a t-shirt.

:)

COT is for believers only, fence sitters, whiners over only a foot , torch bearers, warministas, those who fetish heat after snow not allowed. Strictly for all out belly to belly winter lovers. Trust the snow gods. Of course converters are welcome and lots of conversion going on today. La Epic

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted

From our friends at OKX

MODELS THEN ARE CONSISTENT IN DEVELOPING LOW PRES ALONG THE COLD

FRONT OFFSHORE SUN AFTN INTO SUN NGT. AS COLDER AIR FILTERS INTO THE

SYSTEM...POTENTIAL FOR A RASN MIX CHANGING TO SNOW ACROSS THE

INTERIOR WITH ALL RAIN POSSIBLY ENDING AS A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW

COASTS/METRO. THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE LOW INDICATES THAT ANY

ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE ADVISORY LEVEL OR LESS ATTM.

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
Posted

Overnight modelling all develop the wave behind the front...Looks like a widespread 1-3 type deal still on track Sunday night. Some of GEFS actually give us a moderate snowfall

I would think that a wave development would be a real boon to your guys out east--especially as you head north along the coast into ME. It'll be tough for western areas to get much out of that--too week, too far east. The best some of us can hope for out in elevated western areas would be that 4/15 scenario BOX mentions in their AFD. Don't think I have the el to pull that off.

MILD FLOW WITH TEMPS AT 850 MB AROUND 8C/46F. SO PRECIP TYPE

SHOULD BE RAIN. CIPS ANALOGS POINT TO 4 CASES OUT OF 15 IN WHICH

SOME SNOW OCCURRED UPCOUNTRY. CAN/T RULE THIS OUT...AND MOS MIN

TEMPS ARE BORDERLINE SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE HILL COUNTRY. BUT

MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS FOR RAIN.

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PWMan

PWMan

Posted
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I would think that a wave development would be a real boon to your guys out east--especially as you head north along the coast into ME. It'll be tough for western areas to get much out of that--too week, too far east. The best some of us can hope for out in elevated western areas would be that 4/15 scenario BOX mentions in their AFD. Don't think I have the el to pull that off.

MILD FLOW WITH TEMPS AT 850 MB AROUND 8C/46F. SO PRECIP TYPE

SHOULD BE RAIN. CIPS ANALOGS POINT TO 4 CASES OUT OF 15 IN WHICH

SOME SNOW OCCURRED UPCOUNTRY. CAN/T RULE THIS OUT...AND MOS MIN

TEMPS ARE BORDERLINE SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE HILL COUNTRY. BUT

MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS FOR RAIN.

GYX thinks there could be some snow Sunday night from the ME midcoast east; appears too flat for areas further west. Still plenty of time, of course.

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
Posted

GYX thinks there could be some snow Sunday night from the ME midcoast east; appears too flat for areas further west. Still plenty of time, of course.

I would think that anywhere east of PWM would be situated pretty well. Further south along the coast through NH/North Shore of Mass could fringe in perhaps. Aside from that outside possibility of some localized snow on Saturday night, I think we're looking at a whole lotta of nothing (other than bringing in needed colder air for events down the road).

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted
I would think that a wave development would be a real boon to your guys out east--especially as you head north along the coast into ME. It'll be tough for western areas to get much out of that--too week, too far east. The best some of us can hope for out in elevated western areas would be that 4/15 scenario BOX mentions in their AFD. Don't think I have the el to pull that off. MILD FLOW WITH TEMPS AT 850 MB AROUND 8C/46F. SO PRECIP TYPE SHOULD BE RAIN. CIPS ANALOGS POINT TO 4 CASES OUT OF 15 IN WHICH SOME SNOW OCCURRED UPCOUNTRY. CAN/T RULE THIS OUT...AND MOS MIN TEMPS ARE BORDERLINE SATURDAY NIGHT IN THE HILL COUNTRY. BUT MOST LIKELY SCENARIO IS FOR RAIN.
They're talking about the precip with the front there. The wave on Sunday is an entirely different piece of energy. All modelling has it..some are offshore..some drops a few inches.
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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
Posted

They're talking about the precip with the front there. The wave on Sunday is an entirely different piece of energy. All modelling has it..some are offshore..some drops a few inches.

I know. That's why I said that's the hope for western areas. Weestern area would be SOL with a wave, as I think any development would be too weak/late to impact most of SNE. Coastal areas into ME would have the best shot in that scenario.

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