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September 2013 Obs/Disc.


Ellinwood

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Eh, maybe we'll get lucky with some stronger storms. Max wind speed up to the tropopause is only 25 kts (at 21z) to 30-35 kts (at 0z) on the forecast soundings, so we'll have to rely on CAPE along with the lee trough/frontal forcing to get some stronger storms going. As per usual this summer, in "meh" mode unless I see something decent on my doorstep.

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Eh, maybe we'll get lucky with some stronger storms. Max wind speed up to the tropopause is only 25 kts (at 21z) to 30-35 kts (at 0z) on the forecast soundings, so we'll have to rely on CAPE along with the lee trough/frontal forcing to get some stronger storms going. As per usual this summer, in "meh" mode unless I see something decent on my doorstep.

 

gotta go to maine. :(

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The only positive I can take from yesterday's sweat fest is that it was not remotely like the weather on 9/11. That day saw the most spectacular blue sky I thought I had ever seen. So guess the heat is okay. It makes the memory just a tad less vivid.

Yes, I remember how deeply blue and clear the sky was that morning too.

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And Weather Underground has it looking right around normal.

 

Gotta love those long-range forecasts...

 

Hopefully, then, Wx Underground is right.  However, around here it seems the hottest / dryest forecasts tend to be the correct forecasts.  I seem to recall Accuwx sniffed out this current heat wave at 7 days range, even if at that time it underpredicted the magnitude (initially, mid and upper 80s).

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