Geos Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Looks like it will make a run at 40° tonight. LAF is in a mild wedge tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Agree on the last 2 winters sucking. Last year sucked even though some folks were turd polishing it. 11-12 was a clunker almost region wide but DTW at least had above average snow last winter. Numbers can mislead but they don't lie. How you get to the endpoint matters but it's a lofty standard when an average to above average year sucks. Anyhow, things are kinda getting off track in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Should be my 3rd frost of the season.... We average our first one about today, its 50% likely to happen on Sept 21st, 90% likely on Oct 3rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 I kind of get what the Michigan folks mean, but I rarely consider an average to above snowfall season lackluster. However, when there isn't a signature storm or two and it is backloaded, enough anxiety takes place so it is not as fun at the time as a frontloaded winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 I kind of get what the Michigan folks mean, but I rarely consider an average to above snowfall season lackluster. However, when there isn't a signature storm or two and it is backloaded, enough anxiety takes place so it is not as fun at the time as a frontloaded winter. I haven't had a 6 inch snow since Feb 2011... I have only hit 12 inches one time in 34 years, that was Dec 11th-12 2000. Lackluster to me, that's less than 75% of normal snowfall and no periods longer than 2 weeks with snow staying on the ground. So Feb 2011 is the last time I recorded a 6 inch depth, that was unheard of in the 2000's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 The western portion of the LP of Michigan is not prone to large synoptic snowfalls, but they make up for it with more frequent and lake effect snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Kind of a cool, gloomy day out there. Much of the week looks nice, hopefully we stay in the 70s and don't hit 80 by the end of the week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Perfect day. Just some scattered, flat fair-weather cu mixed in with deep blue skies. Hit six niner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 21, 2013 Author Share Posted September 21, 2013 Perfect day...clouds cleared out around noon and it felt great...was a little windy, but still perfect. I'm going back to my Wisconsin roots tonite and plan on getting plowed ... i love hangovers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Had about 30 minutes of sun total today after it clouded over at noon. High only 62°. Down to 57°/44° now at 6pm. Might make a run into the upper 30s according to the 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 I haven't had a 6 inch snow since Feb 2011... I have only hit 12 inches one time in 34 years, that was Dec 11th-12 2000. Lackluster to me, that's less than 75% of normal snowfall and no periods longer than 2 weeks with snow staying on the ground. So Feb 2011 is the last time I recorded a 6 inch depth, that was unheard of in the 2000's. Wow, I figured you would have a 6"+ storm every winter. Your location is as far north as I am, but obviously different during the winter. Around here usually a 12" storm occurs every 3 winters. Back to September type weather. Snapped this shot of the corn fields about to be harvested in Kenosha County. Couple fields over it was being harvested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Point at 39 for tonight. No 30s yet this season here. 40 is the coldest so far. A lot of the corn around here has already been harvested. It matured on time, and due to the very dry conditions for a month it dried out earlier than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 21, 2013 Share Posted September 21, 2013 Perfect day...clouds cleared out around noon and it felt great...was a little windy, but still perfect. I'm going back to my Wisconsin roots tonite and plan on getting plowed ... i love hangovers College bar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted September 21, 2013 Author Share Posted September 21, 2013 College bar? Not sure we'll end up downtown... Applefest is going on...Next weekend is Octoberfest, but i wouldn't go near that. I've seen things during Oktoberfest that would make your head spin and your eyes roll back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Looks like it will make a run at 40° tonight. LAF is in a mild wedge tonight. Yeah, the 4KM NAM is picking up on the lake effect clouds holding temps up south of the lake. Meanwhile, it's showing 40 over on my side of the state. I don't think we'll decouple enough to radiate. I'm calling 44 for the FWA area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Yeah, the 4KM NAM is picking up on the lake effect clouds holding temps up south of the lake. Meanwhile, it's showing 40 over on my side of the state. I don't think we'll decouple enough to radiate. I'm calling 44 for the FWA area. I think it can decouple around here. Winds were already really light during the day. Clouds just about out of here. Edit: 0z run, little bit colder here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Down to 47°. Should have no problem hitting 40° tonight. Edit: 46° at midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Woke up to a heavy stratocumulus deck and a balmy 54°. NAM bust. The HRRR did pick up on this lake effect cloud cover. I think I'll get a little fishing in this morning, especially since it's 10° warmer than predicted. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 NWS and locals had upper 30s for a low overnight, but we didn't go below 45. The decent rain chances in the extended forecast seem to be disappearing. My September total is 1.31" and that may be about where we finish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 NAM was just a bit too cold. Hit 44° this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Despite winds staying around 5mph the entire night, MKE fell to 45 and 46 here at RAC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 43 here this morning. Looks like we'll make it into October without hitting the 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Made it to 44. Point forecast has 41 tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 very chilly all day... has stayed around 50 with clouds. tonight will be the 3rd frost/freeze advisory this fall. one patchy frost and one decent frost so far. If it clears, a heavy frost is looking likely.... leaves have really started to color up. one good thing is my ragweed allergy has improved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Only hitting a high of 54 (we were supposed to hit 60!) today it seems at YYZ... with a low of 37 forecast tonight. Wonder if it'll be lower if we can get that clearing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 Even though it is sunny, the temperature is about the same as yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 22, 2013 Share Posted September 22, 2013 61° is all it could do under mostly sunny skies. Temperature fall ahead of yesterday. Edit: The minutes leading up to sunset I watched the sun set. Last time the sun will set at or north of the end of my street (street is lined perfectly E-W) until March 20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted September 23, 2013 Share Posted September 23, 2013 11-12 was a clunker almost region wide but DTW at least had above average snow last winter. Numbers can mislead but they don't lie. How you get to the endpoint matters but it's a lofty standard when an average to above average year sucks. Anyhow, things are kinda getting off track in this thread. This. Jongers area didnt get 6"+ from the Dec 26th storm last year..plus it was a very I-94 centered winter (ARB had well over 60" of snow).... But hey the complaints will always rule. Hopefully we get the BIG one this year. Not that it would satisfy all...itll probably be a 14-17" event when models had 20-26", and...well...you know how that goes Anyway yes...to get back on topic...HAPPY FIRST DAY OF FALL to all. The last several years Ive learned to temper my worries, fears, or excitement for the coming winter because Fall is way too gorgeous- and short- of a season to be waste being worried about the snow months ahead. Love that crisp smell in the air right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 23, 2013 Share Posted September 23, 2013 This. Jongers area didnt get 6"+ from the Dec 26th storm last year..plus it was a very I-94 centered winter (ARB had well over 60" of snow).... But hey the complaints will always rule. Hopefully we get the BIG one this year. Not that it would satisfy all...itll probably be a 14-17" event when models had 20-26", and...well...you know how that goes Anyway yes...to get back on topic...HAPPY FIRST DAY OF FALL to all. The last several years Ive learned to temper my worries, fears, or excitement for the coming winter because Fall is way too gorgeous- and short- of a season to be waste being worried about the snow months ahead. Love that crisp smell in the air right now... +1 If you really think about Autumn is only about 5 weeks long as far as how the long the trees are in color. Loving the 40s at night. Already 48° here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 23, 2013 Share Posted September 23, 2013 Not really a big deal, but still pretty cool to start seeing some snow showing up on some of the obs and on the radars inside the conus. Some of the mountain areas in Colorado getting some decent snow this evening... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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