Chicago Storm Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 That tor warned supercell NW of LAF is riding SE along that OFB. Decent rotation, tops near 60kft and a ton of lightning with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Temps way overachieved today. MLI set a new record again at 93. This is after two record highs followed by a record tied low last week lol. What a month. Hit 92 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 To demonstrate how tenuous severe weather chances are at any time of the year, let alone in mid to late September, many locations have just flipped to onshore winds (Kenosha, Waukegan, Waukesha, etc). Chances of the line holding together and making enough of an eastward push not looking good, but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 To demonstrate how tenuous severe weather chances are at any time of the year, let alone in mid to late September, many locations have just flipped to onshore winds (Kenosha, Waukegan, Waukesha, etc). Chances of the line holding together and making enough of an eastward push not looking good, but we'll see. haha sucks for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Storms in central Iowa look to cruise down I-80 and slam the QC in a few hours. They're moving away from some of the better mid-level support, but the mid-levels out ahead of it aint terrible either. That and the decent instability in place, and the well established cold pool should keep these storms rocking well into the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 To demonstrate how tenuous severe weather chances are at any time of the year, let alone in mid to late September, many locations have just flipped to onshore winds (Kenosha, Waukegan, Waukesha, etc). Chances of the line holding together and making enough of an eastward push not looking good, but we'll see. I think eventually as the line approaches the wind will shift SW ahead of the warm front. 73°/67° here right now. High 76° so far. Thinking the line in WI and the one in IA will eventually meet up and become one line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 haha sucks for you DLL and Cyclone have had it the worst (although Cyclone will probably cash in on some good rains/t'storms tonight). They had day after day of 90F in the past few weeks, and can barely get any t'storm action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Not bad Hoosier and Tim could have ran right up the interstate to that one lol. I could actually see the tops of that storm to the southeast on the horizon on the way home from work a bit ago. I was wondering why there were storms down that way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Can clearly see where the winds shift SW ahead of that line of storms. Storms should have no problem making it eastward tonight. Very cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Nice SVR polygon out of MKX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Can clearly see where the winds shift SW ahead of that line of storms. Storms should have no problem making it eastward tonight. 091913wind.png The southern edge of the northern line looks like it is starting to make an eastward push, which will help it accelerate. Hope you get some nice storms tonight, Geos. How much rain with this morning's storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 The southern edge of the northern line looks like it is starting to make an eastward push, which will help it accelerate. Hope you get some nice storms tonight, Geos. How much rain with this morning's storms? 1.91" Up to 2.94" for the month. Hope you get some storms also. Did your area get a lot of rain this morning also? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Can clearly see where the winds shift SW ahead of that line of storms. Storms should have no problem making it eastward tonight. 091913wind.png Very cool. Your visual of the OFB/lake breeze is too far west in IL. Runs from near Lake Geneva down to Schaumburg and C. Dupage Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Can clearly see where the winds shift SW ahead of that line of storms. Storms should have no problem making it eastward tonight. 091913wind.png Very cool. It is further east than that...it's in DuPage county along I-355. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Conditions over S WI a very unstable at the moment, so it will interesting to see if the storms can hold their own despite marginal bulk shear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Will be interesting to see if we get new development as the wave pushes east along with the LLJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Conditions over S WI a very unstable at the moment, so it will interesting to see if the storms can hold their own despite marginal bulk shear. Given they're still an organized line and not breaking into separate cells, that's probably a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 1.91" Up to 2.94" for the month. Hope you get some storms also. Did your area get a lot of rain this morning also? A couple tenths of an inch or so. MKE (the airport) got around a tenth I believe, I'll check on it. Edit: it turns out a measly 0.03" of rain. The airport has been shafted on precip recently compared to most of the surrounding areas. Really has happened in the bigger events all year. Probably have at least a few more inches of precip even here than the airport on the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Your visual of the OFB/lake breeze is too far west in IL. Runs from near Lake Geneva down to Schaumburg and C. Dupage Co. It is further east than that...it's in DuPage county along I-355. wind shift.png Ok. I was trying to pick out where the wind shift was. Thinking that where the SE winds ended was the OFB. Probably start warming up here eventually. Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Ok. I was trying to pick out where the wind shift was. Thinking that where the SE winds ended was the OFB. Probably start warming up here eventually. Like we tell jonger, don't use personal weather stations...they're terrible with many things. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Ok. I was trying to pick out where the wind shift was. Thinking that where the SE winds ended was the OFB. Probably start warming up here eventually. Like we tell jonger, don't use personal weather stations...they're terrible with many things. Wind and humidity.... For temps, they require a fan for sunny days, but have really good accuracy for night time lows. My opinion of PWS's Daily High: Accurate W/Fan Daily Low: Accurate Wind: Accurate Humidity: They Suck Dewpoint: They Suck Precipitation: Good Pressure: Accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Wind and humidity.... For temps, they require a fan for sunny days, but have really good accuracy for night time lows. My opinion of PWS's Daily High: Accurate W/Fan Daily Low: Accurate Wind: Accurate Humidity: They Suck Dewpoint: They Suck Precipitation: Good Pressure: Accurate The only thing mine isn't very accurate at is wind direction, but that's because it's too low to the ground. Other than that it's very accurate. Don't know why others seem to have so many issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 A couple tenths of an inch or so. MKE (the airport) got around a tenth I believe, I'll check on it. Edit: it turns out a measly 0.03" of rain. The airport has been shafted on precip recently compared to most of the surrounding areas. Really has happened in the bigger events all year. Probably have at least a few more inches of precip even here than the airport on the year. Airport and I crushed TOSA in August.. Hopefully all the rain dries up or misses here.. I'm sick of cutting the lawn twice a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Popcorn cell poppin' near you Cyclone. ...well just north. Maybe it will help fill the gap in the line...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Airport and I crushed TOSA in August.. Hopefully all the rain dries up or misses here.. I'm sick of cutting the lawn twice a week. Not exactly crushed, but that was the one month of the year I can remember when it seemed the airport cashed in relative to other areas, relative being the key term. That one nocturnal complex that gave the airport a couple quick inches sure helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Storms are beginning to weaken a bit. Severe reports have fallen to almost nothing now. I hope I can get a half inch of rain out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Storms are beginning to weaken a bit. Severe reports have fallen to almost nothing now. I hope I can get a half inch of rain out of this. I hope you can as well. Like DLL I know it had been dry out your way for awhile. Based on the looks of radar it's hard to say the storms are in weakening mode. You should have zero problem getting a half inch of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Popcorn cell poppin' near you Cyclone. ...well just north. Maybe it will help fill the gap in the line...? Yeah seen there was a nice updraft going up to the north. Was too lazy to go out and time lapse/take pics. Ate too much food for supper lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Storms are beginning to weaken a bit. Severe reports have fallen to almost nothing now. I hope I can get a half inch of rain out of this. Not really. Storms and the severe threat is being maintained for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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