forkyfork Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 There were some upper 30's this morning in NW NJ. i found 1. http://climate.rutgers.edu/njwxnet/dataviewer-netnopt.php the nam was showing widespread 30s down to near trenton and the pine barrens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 a few days ago the nam was showing 30's in new jersey for this morning Agree that it overdid the scope of the cold, mostly due to the high winds. Monday morning however does have some support from other models. 12z GFS is not that far off: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 Glad everyone enjoyed the cool night! Just amazing! And to think it will get colder as we head to winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 Thankfully we always have you to come in here and set us straight He was forecast to get into the 40's, have no idea what he was expecting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 It reached 53F around Sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 What are the analogs for the upcoming winter with the first hurricane not being named until September? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 You are right. By reading this board I expected more. Should have known better Link it. Call out false posts so we can have better meteorological discussion here. Seems youre REALLY interested in that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 The CFSv2 continues to show Below average temps for the last 10 days of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 What are the analogs for the upcoming winter with the first hurricane not being named until September? 1977 and 2002 had late starts, FWIW. Both had great winters as everyone knows already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 Can someone tell Channel 7 that when they give the weather report for the Giants/Cowboys game this Sunday, that it will be in Dallas, not the Meadowlands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 1977 and 2002 had late starts, FWIW. Both had great winters as everyone knows already Is this the result of lack of tropical transport to polar regions and therefore our warm SSTAs in the subtropical regions now becomes fuel to winter storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 2002 was a nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 2002 was a nino 1977-1978 was also a weak Nino, so those may not be the greatest analogs going into the winter season unless we start to see some pretty good warming in the ENSO regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 Has there ever been a La Nada/Weak La Nina where the hurricane season was off to such a lackluster start? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 6, 2013 Share Posted September 6, 2013 Has there ever been a La Nada/Weak La Nina where the hurricane season was off to such a lackluster start? 1983 is one of those analogs...it could be that a la nina is developing again...mei is down to -.614 and oni-0.4...neutral is still forecast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 Link it. Call out false posts so we can have better meteorological discussion here. Seems youre REALLY interested in that. because I heard people say fall like and not topping 70, to me fall like is brisk breeze wearing a sweatshirt not t shirt and shorts weather....instead who knew it would turn out to be a comfortable late summer day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 Temps dropping off quickly tonight. I'm only 4 degrees off my low this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 Todays -8 at ewr was the largest departure..above or below..since 7/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 because I heard people say fall like and not topping 70, to me fall like is brisk breeze wearing a sweatshirt not t shirt and shorts weather....instead who knew it would turn out to be a comfortable late summer dayLINK?Btw, some of us in this subforum didnt hit 70. Your point makes no sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 because I heard people say fall like and not topping 70, to me fall like is brisk breeze wearing a sweatshirt not t shirt and shorts weather....instead who knew it would turn out to be a comfortable late summer day SMQ got to 72 as a high and TTN got to 71 as a high. Those are pretty darn close to 70. As BxEngine mentioned, some places didn't even reach 70 at the official stations. HPN was one of those places in the NYC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 Impressive radiative cooling in interior NJ so far. Already down to 53/50 into SMQ as of the 10 PM update. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 1983 is one of those analogs...it could be that a la nina is developing again...mei is down to -.614 and oni-0.4...neutral is still forecast... 1983-1984 was okay for the city in terms of snowfall.. FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 because I heard people say fall like and not topping 70, to me fall like is brisk breeze wearing a sweatshirt not t shirt and shorts weather....instead who knew it would turn out to be a comfortable late summer day Didn't you post that it was going to be warm in the 80's this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 49 here at 12:50AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 I had days that topped 80 and warm this week and will have them next week. What is your point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 52 here Low of 51.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 The models bring back 90 degree readings Wednesday as the strong ridge builds east. But it's quickly followed by a strong cold front with cooler temperatures heading into next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 Incredible chill this morning. Made it down to 44.8F here. Very impressive, ideal radiational cooling conditions. This low is my normal for about a month from now. Around 10-13 degrees cooler than normal and certainly hardly summer like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 I had days that topped 80 and warm this week and will have them next week. What is your point Widespread low/mid 40s this morning across N-CNJ with some mid/upper 40s is more akin to the start of October than beginning of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 7, 2013 Share Posted September 7, 2013 The models bring back 90 degree readings Wednesday as the strong ridge builds east. But it's quickly followed by a strong cold front with cooler temperatures heading into next weekend. Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_North32America_120.gif Screen shot 2013-09-07 at 7.45.27 AM.png wed - fri look very warm with wed or thu (9/11-12) potentially exceeding 90 with enough sunshine ahead of the front. Guidance doess lbring another cooldown next weekend 9/14 - 9/16 but we'll have to see if it is as cool as this weekend. Longer range it looks like the ridge builds back in by the week of the 17th with a trough into the west coast which would likely produce a stretch of above normal 9/17 - 9/21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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