Austinwx Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 After yesterday, Central Park is sitting at +0.6 for September. With the forecasted temps going into the last week of September, it looks like the month may finish a hair above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 After yesterday, Central Park is sitting at +0.6 for September. With the forecasted temps going into the last week of September, it looks like the month may finish a hair above normal. The onshore flow this weekend and early next week could really keep the high temperatures down so I'm sure it's not impossible to finish somewhere between -0.2-0.2 this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 After yesterday, Central Park is sitting at +0.6 for September. With the forecasted temps going into the last week of September, it looks like the month may finish a hair above normal. LGA, EWR, ISP and BDR are all now negative for the month. JFK will be negative after today. NYC is running a touch warmer then all stations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 Should be a great fall foliage season if this keeps up in the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 Should be a great fall foliage season if this keeps up in the Northeast. will have to see what if anything the impact of the recent stretch of dry weather has. it also looks to continue over the next couple of weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 Low temp here this morning was 42. I saw 33 listed for KFOK and a bunch of other 30s central and eastern LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 Weekend isnt looking all that bad at first glance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 Only got down to 50, dew point was too high -low was at 2am, the wind started to pick up then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 Interesting little system being depicted on the models. The GFS is the furthest south, but there is a nice signal for a storm in the day 6-8 timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 The coastal type storm coincides nicely with the change in the NAO from positive to negative. It could ultimately become the first nor'easter of the season with possibly some sub-tropical characteristics if it sits and spins for days like the gfs indicates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 44.8 the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 The coastal is the remnants of 95L. We need that high to the north to speed up a little faster and help push the system closer to the coast. Right now it's a surpressed pattern with strong high pressure over northern New England. On the other hand the 12z GGEM has the high displaced far enough that it allows the coastal to get close enough to throw a slug of moisture up this way. In this scenario we would have several inches of rain over a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 The coastal is the remnants of 95L. We need that high to the north to speed up a little faster and help push the system closer to the coast. Right now it's a surpressed pattern with strong high pressure over northern New England. On the other hand the 12z GGEM has the high displaced far enough that it allows the coastal to get close enough to throw a slug of moisture up this way. In this scenario we would have several inches of rain over a few days. The other models being further north, including the Euro, while the GFS plays catch up indicates to me that this is probably coming further NW than the 12z GFS had it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 The GGEM is definitely a nor'easter, very nice pressure gradient so it could be quite gusty for coastal regions and the storm is likely to linger as it's essentially blocked from heading out to sea. Early winter test with the models perhaps? We'll see what the gfs does in future runs but all signs point to some sort of coastal low nearby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 The 12z Euro breaks to the more suppressed 0z ensemble mean solution. It's been tough to get a decent rain for much of Long Island which is in D0 conditions. The grass is really brown here which is especially evident along the parkways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 long Island will probably make up the precip deficit in the winter with another 30" blizzard while NYC gets 10... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 long Island will probably make up the precip deficit in the winter with another 30" blizzard while NYC gets 10... I'll take it, as long as W LI is the bullseye, haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 68/40 outside.... Feels amazing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted September 18, 2013 Share Posted September 18, 2013 Low temp here this morning was 42. I saw 33 listed for KFOK and a bunch of other 30s central and eastern LI. Upton had a low of 37 F...record for the date is 29 F set in 1959. http://www.bnl.gov/w...09-septemp.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 long Island will probably make up the precip deficit in the winter with another 30" blizzard while NYC gets 10... We can use any moisture that we can get out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Another cool morning here, got down to 44.2F. Not bad, 8 nights this month in the 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 These past 4 months have to have been some of the most boring months of weather I have ever experienced. The only thing that was memorable these past 4 months was the mid July high heat/high humidity affair and possibly those two almost random super hot days this month. The thunderstorm season was virtually non-existent, the overall temperatures were not too extreme this summer, and the one thing that I love following more than coastal storms/snowstorms is the hurricane season, which has been completely dead. Latest gfs shows the front could have some punch and that's the only thing noteworthy heading forward. Otherwise it looks like it'll alternate between cooler and warmer weather with above normal conditions probably winning out for the rest of this month and into October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Think the month ends up around normal... Maybe even below with next weeks cool....may actually struggle to touch 70 for a few days next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Just returned from Florida. Quite nice out here. Havent looked much at any guidance or weather the last few days but today is a gem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 We can use any moisture that we can get out here. 90dPDeptNRCC.png It's a usual cycle out here of dry summers due to the influence of the marine layer, and then more active rest of the year with nor'easters and coastal storms. I think we catch up in the fall/winter. We have a long way to go before we can call this a real drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 These past 4 months have to have been some of the most boring months of weather I have ever experienced. The only thing that was memorable these past 4 months was the mid July high heat/high humidity affair and possibly those two almost random super hot days this month. The thunderstorm season was virtually non-existent, the overall temperatures were not too extreme this summer, and the one thing that I love following more than coastal storms/snowstorms is the hurricane season, which has been completely dead. Latest gfs shows the front could have some punch and that's the only thing noteworthy heading forward. Otherwise it looks like it'll alternate between cooler and warmer weather with above normal conditions probably winning out for the rest of this month and into October. I'd say after Sandy, we should welcome it. I am actually enjoying the normal regime we have enjoyed for most of 2013 and I love the extremes just as much as anyone here but admittedly I needed a break after Sandy even if my backyard was only slightly impacted. My old haunts growing up along the Jersey shore of course took it on the chin and I remain distraught over the damage that was done down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 We can use any moisture that we can get out here. 90dPDeptNRCC.png the nyc area had a lackluster convective season while philly got dumped on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 the nyc area had a lackluster convective season while philly got dumped on Major diffeerences between Jersey and NYC and especially LI this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Running a -0.4 degree temp departure here so far this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bkviking Posted September 19, 2013 Share Posted September 19, 2013 Wow, at 70F now in Port Jefferson, LI, and will really miss this type of weather after leaving work until the real big swing changes things. Hard to believe being in shorts with SW winds to my back will shortly yield to full clothing and--worst thing IMHO--shortened daylight. Let the snow start early if its gonna happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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