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September 2013 Observations And Discussions


sutherlandfan

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notable warmth waves for this time of year...

dates...........max...min...

9/10/1895...87...74

9/11/1895...92...73

9/12/1895...93...77

........................................................

9/09/1897...90...69

9/10/1897...93...73

9/11/1897...92...70

..........................................................

9/09/1931...91...66

9/10/1931...97...71

9/11/1931...99...75

...........................................................

9/10/1961...92...71

9/11/1961...92...70

9/12/1961...94...73

..............................................................

9/09/1964...92...63

9/10/1964...87...66

9/11/1964...92...63

..............................................................

9/12/1981...89...71

9/13/1981...85...65

9/14/1981...89...71

.................................................................

9/09/1983...88...65

9/10/1983...97...70

9/11/1983...99...78

....................................................................

 

 

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September 11th was a beautiful day. I think you mixed up your dates.

 

81/66 was the split for 9/11/01, dews dropping into the 50's through the day under sunny skies with an ominous northwesterly breeze (only ominous because of the canopy of smoke it took with it for miles from the WTC). Also on that day, Hurricane Erin was making her Northeast turn well offshore our waters. The trough/frontal passage the night before came with heavy rains and thunderstorms over the city. If those storms held off by twelve hours or so, 9/11 might have never been; who knows what might have transpired or not transpired because of visibility issues in any inclement weather. I remember Joe Bastardi saying that morning that if Erin were a few hundred miles west of her actual position, we might have been spared what was to unfold that day because of a marine layer or low clouds as the hurricane made a closer pass.

 

117322main_Erin_hurr.jpg

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Latest guidance has the roller coaster pattern continue through next tues (9/17).  Sharp cooldown fri - sat (9/13-14).  Warmup sun (9/15),  Cooldown mon (9/16) and moderating tues (9/17).  Heights build into the east with more sustained warmth 9/18 - 9/21.   Beyond there models are back and forth with sustaining the ridge into the east and continuing with a back and forth pattern.  Today should be the hottest day till next summer but i wouldnt doubt we make another run for 90 next week somewhere between wed and fri (9/18 - 9/20)

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There should be advisories, it hasn't felt this hot since mid July, probably would have seen 100s if it were July.

It'll make the cool down that much sweeter and its the only thing that makes today tolerable knowing how cool it'll get in a couple days.

I don't think Saturdays going to be much different from this past Monday. looks like most places crack 70.

absolutely should be an advisory today. even if it wasn't September the heat indices of 100+ warrant it

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