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Gentle, nurturing showers discussion


Damage In Tolland

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...DISCUSSION...
SUPPRESSION OF UPPER RIDGING ACROSS THE NRN U.S. IS EXPECTED FROM
TIME TO TIME DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD AS TRANSITORY
SHORT-WAVES EJECT ACROSS THE NRN INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION...ACROSS SRN
CANADA BEFORE TURNING SEWD INTO NEW ENGLAND. EACH OF THESE
FEATURES...HANDLED A BIT DIFFERENTLY BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF...MAY
INDUCE POCKETS OF STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER...TIMING AND PLACEMENT
REQUIRED FOR GREATER PREDICTABILITY ARE LACKING AND A 30 PERCENT
SEVERE PROBABILITY WILL NOT BE INTRODUCED THIS PERIOD.

 

D4-8

:violin:

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might be able to get one slight risk day in there

...DISCUSSION...
SUPPRESSION OF UPPER RIDGING ACROSS THE NRN U.S. IS EXPECTED FROM
TIME TO TIME DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD AS TRANSITORY
SHORT-WAVES EJECT ACROSS THE NRN INTER-MOUNTAIN REGION...ACROSS SRN
CANADA BEFORE TURNING SEWD INTO NEW ENGLAND. EACH OF THESE
FEATURES...HANDLED A BIT DIFFERENTLY BETWEEN THE GFS/ECMWF...MAY
INDUCE POCKETS OF STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION...ESPECIALLY DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. HOWEVER...TIMING AND PLACEMENT
REQUIRED FOR GREATER PREDICTABILITY ARE LACKING AND A 30 PERCENT
SEVERE PROBABILITY WILL NOT BE INTRODUCED THIS PERIOD.

 

D4-8

:violin:

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Looks like we could be in for quite a light show tonight. Lightning wise..and historically we've seen some of our best storms(lightning)..waters being at their warmest helps with this

 

I don't see that connection.  Lightning intensity/amount has to do more with the amount of Cape in the -10C to -30C layer.

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Looks like we could be in for quite a light show tonight. Lightning wise..and historically we've seen some of our best storms(lightning)..waters being at their warmest helps with this

 

Probably because during June and July you're asleep before it really gets dark... 

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Lightning can sometimes appear more vivid at night with less light pollution, so it's all about perception.

 

Thunder can be louder at night, too, due to a phenomenon known as ducting -- basically, CG through a lower level inversion causes the sound-waves to bounce about a bit longer than well mixed during max heating. 

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Thunder can be louder at night, too, due to a phenomenon known as ducting -- basically, CG through a lower level inversion causes the sound-waves to bounce about a bit longer than well mixed during max heating. 

 

That's why thundersnow can be heard for so long. 

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