Ji Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 Dec 1-2 above January normal Feb -2 Total 15-25 inches. DCA 18 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 Dec -1 Jan Normal Feb -1 DCA 6.2 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 4 of the 6.2" might come in April as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted August 16, 2013 Share Posted August 16, 2013 Dec.-Normal Jan. -1 Feb -2 Mar -1 Snowfall Dulles- 21.5 Reagan- 13.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 A lot of whining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 Mega-thread's for 3" of snow and <1 at DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 Dec +2 Jan +1 Feb +2.5 DCA 8.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 DJF avg -0.5 to +0.5 at DCA... 8-14" snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 Really don't care about temp departures as it only takes one cold day to get a good snow. IAD: 25" BWI: 21" DCA: 16" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 DJF avg -0.5 to +0.5 at DCA... 8-14" snow is that a forecast or climo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 is that a forecast or climo? Both. #LowConfidence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 How far from normal is considered above/below normal? +/- 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 I feel like we had our dose of "cold/wet" this summer and spring and so we are due for some dry weather which will hit DJF. Just my totally unscientific opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 Third week of December excitement with .5 inches of slop in the Western burbs. January mega threads of mostly banter with some heated trash talking thrown in, all of which result in 2 inches of snow for the Western burbs and 0 for DCA. Ji cancels Winter six times. February with below average temperatures and normal precipitation making Richmond to Roanoke the snow capitals of Virginia. (Congrats) A total of two events fringing Baltimore but not the northern Baltimre suburbs, just in time to prevent some weenie suicides. NOVA and DCA and due East are in the snow hole. Ji goes into hiding, having already cancelled Winter in January. Bob Chill is optimistic for March. Ian begins packing for his trip to the mid-West. First week of March produces 2-4 inches for entire MA, with NOVA Western burbs cashing in on 4 inches. A warm March followed by a chilly April. Much whining and complaining about the lousy Winter followed by a lousy Spring. The word "cancel" associated with snow or Winter is used 1000 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 Dec -1 January -.5 Feb +.5 Total 14-20 inches. DCA 15 Came to me in a dream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 Third week of December excitement with .5 inches of slop in the Western burbs. January mega threads of mostly banter with some heated trash talking thrown in, all of which result in 2 inches of snow for the Western burbs and 0 for DCA. Ji cancels Winter six times. February with below average temperatures and normal precipitation making Richmond to Roanoke the snow capitals of Virginia. (Congrats) A total of two events fringing Baltimore but not the northern Baltimre suburbs, just in time to prevent some weenie suicides. NOVA and DCA and due East are in the snow hole. Ji goes into hiding, having already cancelled Winter in January. Bob Chill is optimistic for March. Ian begins packing for his trip to the mid-West. First week of March produces 2-4 inches for entire MA, with NOVA Western burbs cashing in on 4 inches. A warm March followed by a chilly April. Much whining and complaining about the lousy Winter followed by a lousy Spring. The word "cancel" associated with snow or Winter is used 1000 times. Welcome to 2012-2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 Welcome to 2012-2013. Exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 I will be out of town the first week of Feb, so lock that in as our sole 4"+ event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 DEC -7 January: +5 February: +2 DCA- 6.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 DEC -7 January: +5 February: +2 DCA- 6.7" Hard to get a -7 w/o snowcover. White Christmas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted August 17, 2013 Share Posted August 17, 2013 Hard to get a -7 w/o snowcover. White Christmas? Yes. From a 0.3" grasstopper. Our big storms will be October 15th and May 8th. There will be a clipper in January that drop 23" at CHO and 1.1 at DCA. The NAM 6 hours before it begins will show 3.5" of QPF and we will get 0.07". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Yes. From a 0.3" grasstopper. Our big storms will be October 15th and May 8th. There will be a clipper in January that drop 23" at CHO and 1.1 at DCA. The NAM 6 hours before it begins will show 3.5" of QPF and we will get 0.07". Do you see this being a big winter for storms that pound Norfolk, head out to sea, and then swing back and crawl up 95 from PHL north before turning into an historic blizzard for NYC and BOS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 If someone forced you to make a winter forecast today............ ................you'd be wrong...............or lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I fear a pronounced lack of blocking this winter. Not saying torch or anything but we've had a heck of a run of -ao winters. It's not a permanent feature and always evens out over time. Then again we've had some mega -ao's produce jack squat recently so it probably won't matter. Seasonal temps within a degree or 2 one way or another for djf and below climo snow is the easiest call and probably the best odds. Can't rule out a period of a good long wave pattern regardless of enso/pdo but expecting it is a mistake. Prolonged cold and aoa climo snow seems quite unlikely but one or the other is possible at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Happy so far. More later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I can see 8-12" this winter at DCA, especially if they get 300 events. That' maybe tough in a 90 day winter, but well see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Temps: +1-2 Snow: 6-12" DCA 12-18" IAD/BWI/N+W burbs 30-40" CHO/EZF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 The tropics thread is starting to look like one of our winter threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 this time of year there is great expectations...as it gets closer to winter the expectations are lowered...1981-82 is my top analog as of now...January 82 was cold and snowy in DC...Things could change before December comes and this analog could be trashed... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted August 19, 2013 Share Posted August 19, 2013 I think expectations are set very low. Whatever we get in terms of freezing/ snow will be welcomed nonetheless. Happy to have August turn out pleasant. That is a nice highlight of our climo this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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