Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I have a hard time seeing any highs below 80 next weekend . Maybe the hills but no one lives there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I have a hard time seeing any highs below 80 next weekend . Maybe the hills but no one lives there I wouldn't bet against that but given 850 mb temps it may be hard to eclipse that for most. Stick to that call though I'd be interested to see how that verifies. I'm sticking with mid 70s for now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I wouldn't bet against that but given 850 mb temps it may be hard to eclipse that for most. Stick to that call though I'd be interested to see how that verifies. I'm sticking with mid 70s for now though.850's this past week were cooler than next weekends progs and there was only 1 day with low- mid 70'. That air mass next weekend isn't nearly as cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 More importantly when will we see rain again? Getting dry on the top Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Btw Ginxy 850mb temps look between 12-16C on the Euro, and GFS is saying 6-12, with SNE obviously being closer to 12C. Still quite a difference in my opinion. Those 16C 850mb temps can easily put some places over 80 like Kev was saying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 More importantly when will we see rain again? Getting dry on the top Thursday and into early morning Friday looks rainy. I'm good with the rain for now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 850's this past week were cooler than next weekends progs and there was only 1 day with low- mid 70'. That air mass next weekend isn't nearly as cool Yeah I see what you're saying, where 850mb temps are between 6-12C right now. Like I said in my previous post if we fall in the 12-16C range then you'd likely be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I was looking at that. I'm excited because Countryfest is next weekend and it's looking like nothing but perfect grilling weather. I'll take temps in the mid 70s and dews in the 50s any day. Yea with a high overhead probably a good day for that and probably a good day to test the old 850 skew T conversion method, 10c drying it adiabect yields about 75-78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Yeah I see what you're saying, where 850mb temps are between 6-12C right now. Like I said in my previous post if we fall in the 12-16C range then you'd likely be right.Yup it's a meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Btw Ginxy 850mb temps look between 12-16C on the Euro, and GFS is saying 6-12, with SNE obviously being closer to 12C. Still quite a difference in my opinion. Those 16C 850mb temps can easily put some places over 80 like Kev was saying. I was looking at ENS day 7 which are on the Euro 12-13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 i'm looking to climb mt.greylock with a couple friends tmrw. any expeience / advice with the mountain / area would be appreciated. pretty excited for the scenic drive up rt.2 through gods country lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 850s around 11-12 yesterday yielded another below normal day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Looks like today is headed for the 20th consecutive day without hitting 80F at ORH...its been just an awesome stretch since the last week of July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Looks like today is headed for the 20th consecutive day without hitting 80F at ORH...its been just an awesome stretch since the last week of July. what the GFs has at 850 and surface for ORH is not too hard to take http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 For now I'd just go with "seasonally above average", code for non-record breaking heat that fits within the expectation for late August. The MET and MEX guidance are 88 and 89, for Tues, Wed, and Thur, for locations such as BED, FIT...etc. Therein is a low probability for a heat-wave where just touching 90 at one or two locations for the 3 days this week. MOS products have been doing fairly well, though. The general theme over the next 10 days is to transition into midland above normal temperatures, then recession back to climo (perhaps) next weekend, then monitor for the possibility of a more important warm departure period next week. There's contention (of course) in where to place the more important ridge amplitude out in time. Recent operational Euro runs have been a tad E of it's own mean, although the 00z mean did come a little farther E compared to the 12z run yesterday. This 12z oper. GFS is a bit too far W to get us really hot. The problem is, if there is that NW flow aloft we are prone to everything from fronts, to MCS', to BDs; these can fluctuate highs some 25 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 More importantly when will we see rain again? Getting dry on the top Should we prepare for another damaging drought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Euro Op and Ens agree Wed Thurs will be scorchers near 90 in favored spots then back to upper 70s lower 80s dews look moderate so not stifling actually kind of perfection. Great end of summer beach days if you can get the time off. When will the surf pick up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Should we prepare for another damaging drought? No and we never should had one. It was just speculation that many worried about..and in the end proved to be a short term problem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Under those heavier echoes,,DXR is reporting partly Cloudy..LOL. Hopefully Friday can give us all some much needed rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I won't be surprised if Friday is a fairly dry FROPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I won't be surprised if Friday is a fairly dry FROPA. Euro has it noticeably drier than the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Hopefully Friday can give us all some much needed rain BDL already has 5.31" of rain this month, so I wouldn't worry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 I won't be surprised if Friday is a fairly dry FROPA. Awesome. Getting to that time of year when fronts come thru meh and dry. with nothing but some gentle wind behind them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 Awesome. Getting to that time of year when fronts come thru meh and dry. with nothing but some gentle wind behind them This whole summer has been meh wx wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 As we expected, 12z euro corrected off the warmer 00z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 As we expected, 12z euro corrected off the warmer 00z run. Yeah looks like a pleasant period after a mild-up on the 12z Euro. Nice stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 By the way - could this severe weather season been any more boring? Dear lord what a train wreck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 If it doesn't rain this week, when is the next chance of rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted August 18, 2013 Share Posted August 18, 2013 By the way - could this severe weather season been any more boring? Dear lord what a train wreck. Pretty sad... only had thunder a few times all summer here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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