Brian5671 Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 so where do we go next week? Cooldown Tues-Thur and then what.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 What a bunch of whining old men. Dear Lord Its so weird that people would want to read about weather on a weather forum. ORH up to 77. Mos may be ok after all today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 ORH up to 77. Mos may be ok after all today. Yeah I am impressed at how quickly it cleared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 NWS Boston @NWSBoston3m 12z EC shows the mid-level disturbance across the Great Lakes pushing SE into SNE towards morning & lingering thru the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 NWS Boston @NWSBoston3m 12z EC shows the mid-level disturbance across the Great Lakes pushing SE into SNE towards morning & lingering thru the day I still think tomorrow will be ok once we burn off any low clouds in the morning SE of ORH. Maybe shwrs storms in western SNE, but heights rising during th day too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 I still think tomorrow will be ok once we burn off any low clouds in the morning SE of ORH. Maybe shwrs storms in western SNE, but heights rising during th day too. interesting Euro is exactly opposite of your prediction, clouds increase during the morning and thicken with a 5H vort max passing through kicking off stratiform rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 30, 2013 Author Share Posted August 30, 2013 interesting Euro is exactly opposite of your prediction, clouds increase during the morning and thicken with a 5H vort max passing through kicking off stratiform rain GFS would appear ugly based off of the 500mb chart alone, but the low and mid-levels aren't all that moist. Not much QPF across central/eastern SNE. 21z Sat: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 interesting Euro is exactly opposite of your prediction, clouds increase during the morning and thicken with a 5H vort max passing through kicking off stratiform rain I don't buy stratiform rains here. I'm not saying it will be sunny all day, but I think better weather per se will be farther east and south. Thought that for a while now, however we may have low clouds in the morning. Sunday may be one of those days that perhaps are cloudy with LLJ induced shwrs in spots. Not really a trigger aloft..just kind of garbage airmass. Could be sunny breaks too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Yeah the weekend is largely fine... Sun until early afternoon,, then showers and storms each afternoon. Typical summer stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Yeah the weekend is largely fine... Sun until early afternoon,, then showers and storms each afternoon. Typical summer stuff IDK the govt sees it differently A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Saturday NightA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 65. South wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. SundayA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Sunday NightA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Labor DayShowers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday NightShowers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 30, 2013 Author Share Posted August 30, 2013 18z RAP brings the convective activity over the Great Lakes SEward, but it collapses by the time it reaches the NY/PA border. I think in term of sensible weather, the first half of tomorrow is probably OK across most of SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 18z RAP brings the convective activity over the Great Lakes SEward, but it collapses by the time it reaches the NY/PA border. I think in term of sensible weather, the first half of tomorrow is probably OK across most of SNE. I still think tomorrow will be ok once we burn off any low clouds in the morning SE of ORH. Maybe shwrs storms in western SNE, but heights rising during th day too. Yeah the weekend is largely fine... Sun until early afternoon,, then showers and storms each afternoon. Typical summer stuff 18z RAP brings the convective activity over the Great Lakes SEward, but it collapses by the time it reaches the NY/PA border. I think in term of sensible weather, the first half of tomorrow is probably OK across most of SNE. Lots of confused signals , hopefully its sunny tomorrow afternoon like scooter says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 IDK the govt sees it differently A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Saturday NightA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 65. South wind 5 to 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. SundayA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Sunday NightA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Labor DayShowers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Monday NightShowers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 66. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Low -mid 80's with dews galore would be my forecast for the weekend. Sun /cloud mix/pm storms scattered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Lots of confused signals , hopefully its sunny tomorrow afternoon like scooter says LOL, not totally sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Even Sunday may eek out ok, but it looks messy with weak disturbances moving through. Not an easy call at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Even Sunday may eek out ok, but it looks messy with weak disturbances moving through. Not an easy call at all. Of course the worst day is Labor day the day we celebrate the hard workers of America, the backbone of society. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Of course the worst day is Labor day the day we celebrate the hard workers of America, the backbone of society. And I'm working. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 And I'm working. OT? 1.5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 I can agree about the mobile aspect as it can be a bit more of a pain, especially with load times and giving funky looks. When the weather is quiet like it has been and really with no major interesting weather on the horizon it's just so much easier to just post in one thread...as much as it is a pain for those to read the banter posts in main threads, it's every bit of a pain for people to post one thing in one thread and then have to move to another thread to post something else and then move back and so forth. You are essentially saying that its annoying for both parties...but that the ones breaking the rules should get the pass and the ones who aren't are SOL. Sorry, but that isn't the way it works. Again, personally I don't care too much, but being a mod I have to side with what is right and what the forum is here for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Of course the worst day is Labor day the day we celebrate the hard workers of America, the backbone of society. Movie theatres will like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 OT? 1.5? Yeah I could use the money. Things have been hectic lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Yeah I could use the money. Things have been hectic lately. I do not blame you I grab every ot shift i can, got to do what ya got to do to keep things afloat. at least it will be a crappy day so you will be busy and not missing epic picnics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Managed to put together a clad summery appeal to this day. 85/64. What a juxtaposition to yesterday's autumnal marine invasion. It's like a different country ... I was just looking at the soundings for tomorrow for a couple inland sites and I believe that a sneaky pulse severe day could take place. Areal coverage won't be too great with a relatively low K-index, but CAPEs up over 2,000 at BAF, turns over around 18z as CIN is modeled (NAM) to "lift the lid" so to speak. CIN gets critical as BAF suddenly loses almost a 1,000 in CAPE is a strong argument for a heavy thunder presence. Trigger comes by way of subtle convergence by weak low translating through NY, and what is probable to be a bit of a diffused prefrontal trough. With CAPE approaching 2,000 and CIN receding over the top of even subtle convergence, should see any LFC parcels really start tickling the tropopause. Negatives are the weak deep layer wind fields, and the fairly high wet-bulb 0. But, strong CAPE exhaustion can result in pulse outflow that may approach severe (isolated). Edit: ahh, the 24-hour lag teleconnector to GL severe weather may certainly apply. Things firing in Michigan should translate similarly here tomorrow, however more or less organized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Euro ens definitely cooled off long term from last night, looks pretty normal after the fall cool shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 These warm nights are going to add up the positive departures quickly as we head into the first week of September. After 4 straight mornings in the 40s, we switched to 4 straight in the 60s so far...with another 4 in the forecast. Average low is 51F now and dropping every few days, so these low to mid 60s in a humid pattern are killers. Like yesterday was a daily departure of +7 due to a +11 on the low, and only +2 on the high. September will start above normal up here due to the overnight mins forecast, even with high temps being near average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Hot and humid this afternoon...buuuuuutttt Went to WaWa Wife bought skis (used rental skis and boots, shiny new helmet) Some decent deals on new stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted August 31, 2013 Share Posted August 31, 2013 Of course the worst day is Labor day the day we celebrate the hard workers of America, the backbone of society. No real "worker" celebrates Labor day, the gov't holiday...we celebrate May Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted August 31, 2013 Share Posted August 31, 2013 These warm nights are going to add up the positive departures quickly as we head into the first week of September. After 4 straight mornings in the 40s, we switched to 4 straight in the 60s so far...with another 4 in the forecast. Average low is 51F now and dropping every few days, so these low to mid 60s in a humid pattern are killers. Like yesterday was a daily departure of +7 due to a +11 on the low, and only +2 on the high. September will start above normal up here due to the overnight mins forecast, even with high temps being near average. BTV will end August above normal now lol. As of yesterday it was +0.2. Normal high is 77F so mid 80's are almost 10 above as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 31, 2013 Share Posted August 31, 2013 BTV will end August above normal now lol. As of yesterday it was +0.2. Normal high is 77F so mid 80's are almost 10 above as well. I can't see what MVL will end at...there's bad data in the F-6 climate report...there's one day with an average temp of 99F resulting in a departure of +35 that day and skewing the monthly mean. If that's fixed I bet we'll be a touch below at MVL but MPV and 1V4 should be solidly below normal as their departures are always lower than MVL's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2013 Share Posted August 31, 2013 No real "worker" celebrates Labor day, the gov't holiday...we celebrate May Day.wrong Recent research seems to support the contention that Matthew Maguire, later the secretary of Local 344 of the International Association of Machinists in Paterson, N.J., proposed the holiday in 1882 while serving as secretary of the Central Labor Union in New York. What is clear is that the Central Labor Union adopted a Labor Day proposal and appointed a committee to plan a demonstration and picnic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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