weathafella Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 A decent analog for the upcoming winter is 1960-61..really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 BOS could hit 90 tomorrow...long shot bit possible.There could be some sneaky convection tomorrow morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 A decent analog for the upcoming winter is 1960-61..really. If we see that PAcific pattern again, I'll be shocked. That was about as good as PAC pattern as you can possibly get. Maybe '02-'03 was better, but same ballpark. '62-'63 is in there too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Euro rules again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 There could be some sneaky convection tomorrow morning If only we had better shear tomorrow. We do have to watch that S/w though, if the models are too fast with deamifying it, tomorrow could be a bit more interesting with widespread storms. Stronger arc convergence could help too so have to watch sea breeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NECT Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Huh??It's gonna be sunny with storms in the afternoons. Where did you get that forecast? It's a classic summer weeeknd Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN27m As clouds break for sun, temps return to 80s. Humidity climbs tonight. Weekend & 10-day Forecast: http://mattnoyes.net SaturdayScattered showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Patchy fog before 11am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Saturday NightA chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. South wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. SundayA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 78. Southwest wind 7 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Sunday NightA chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Labor DayShowers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 30, 2013 Author Share Posted August 30, 2013 This is a weird weekend for convection, little pieces of the puzzle here and there. If they could come into better alignment... LI's are on the higher side tomorrow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Euro is the king! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Nope BDR and PVD did not so 2008 Yep that was the last time that all four stations did not reach 90 at least once in August. It has only happened eight other times besides 2008: 1986, 1967, 1950, 1940, 1934, 1927, 1915, and 1910. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 A decent analog for the upcoming winter is 1960-61..really. If we see that PAcific pattern again, I'll be shocked. That was about as good as PAC pattern as you can possibly get. Maybe '02-'03 was better, but same ballpark. '62-'63 is in there too. Prepare to be shocked. Low tropical year though Donna made the entire east coast. Strong Pirate team though the Yankees aren't close. Enough similarities...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Funny when I go cold and others flip warm..fun times ahead I've got the Eye of the Tiger this fall and winter..ROAR I feel like this is the first time you've ever really admitted on here that your posts are not sincere! Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 I feel like this is the first time you've ever really admitted on here that your posts are not sincere! Wow. He likes Katy Perry and his love of high heat and humidity is insincere. Incredible turn of events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 30, 2013 Author Share Posted August 30, 2013 If only we had better shear tomorrow. We do have to watch that S/w though, if the models are too fast with deamifying it, tomorrow could be a bit more interesting with widespread storms. Stronger arc convergence could help too so have to watch sea breeze The 12z GFS actually has it re-amplifying a bit by 18-21z over SW CT. Not a terrible setup with the surface low over NY and the timing of the shortwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Yep that was the last time that all four stations did not reach 90 at least once in August. It has only happened eight other times besides 2008: 1986, 1967, 1950, 1940, 1934, 1927, 1915, and 1910.huge West highs east troughs. Winter at Boston that followed 1910/11 40", 15/16 79", 27/28 20", 34/35, 45", 40/41 47", 50/51 30", 67/68 44", 86/87 43", 8/9 65" so about 41" average Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 MAV had 79F for ORH and MET had 81F...71F at noontime...could be another healthy bust for MOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 MAV had 79F for ORH and MET had 81F...71F at noontime...could be another healthy bust for MOS. Looks like clouds moving out now though, so temps might jump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 GFS has the cool shot too next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 GFS has the cool shot too next week. The Euro ensembles started agreeing with it a few days ago, but the magnitude was obviously not like the OP Euro...I'm sure we're getting a taste of autumn, but the question is whether we see a lot of 30s for lows or just some 40s in the typical rad spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 The Euro ensembles started agreeing with it a few days ago, but the magnitude was obviously not like the OP Euro...I'm sure we're getting a taste of autumn, but the question is whether we see a lot of 30s for lows or just some 40s in the typical rad spots. Probably verifying warmer than this... lol at the 540 lobe along the international border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 12z GFS is actually pretty similar but probably a quicker in and out cold shot with no closed H5 feature crawling to the north. Still would get us our first sub-freezing H85 air of the season up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 The Euro ensembles started agreeing with it a few days ago, but the magnitude was obviously not like the OP Euro...I'm sure we're getting a taste of autumn, but the question is whether we see a lot of 30s for lows or just some 40s in the typical rad spots. I wonder if you or me will have our first 40's for lows of the summer. Been a long time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 The Euro ensembles started agreeing with it a few days ago, but the magnitude was obviously not like the OP Euro...I'm sure we're getting a taste of autumn, but the question is whether we see a lot of 30s for lows or just some 40s in the typical rad spots. Yeah both op and ensembles have the ridge out west building and a transient -NAO, but the ensembles are a bit more of a glancing shot. I wonder if part if the differences have to do with the s/w trough pushing into the Pacific NW at that time. May act as a kicker and boot the ridge east a bit. Either way like you said, should be a nice cool shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Yeah both op and ensembles have the ridge out west building and a transient -NAO, but the ensembles are a bit more of a glancing shot. I wonder if part if the differences have to do with the s/w trough pushing into the Pacific NW at that time. May act as a kicker and boot the ridge east a bit. Either way like you said, should be a nice cool shot.It looks like that's exactly what is happening. The models with less of a cool shot have much more robust energy pushing through the Pac NW...and likewise have stronger and higher heights pushing NE across Canada ahead of that feature.To me that looks like something very transient with heights that'll rise real quickly after the trough clears our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 I wonder if you or me will have our first 40's for lows of the summer. Been a long time ORH had 4 lows in the 40s in June...unless you are talking about the new cold season which technically starts July 1st (at least that is how the snowfall season is reset) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 Labor day looking like a scattered shower event? 12:30 tee time at Marshfield Country club. I will play as long as its not dumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 ORH had 4 lows in the 40s in June...unless you are talking about the new cold season which technically starts July 1st (at least that is how the snowfall season is reset) Yeah i thought there may have been some backdoor fiascos in June..but since june 20th or so give or take the hills have not been in the 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 30, 2013 Author Share Posted August 30, 2013 12z isn't out yet, but the 00z OP Euro was much cooler than the ensembles for the day 6-10 period in SNE. Seems to be a broken-record as of late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 It looks like that's exactly what is happening. The models with less of a cool shot have much more robust energy pushing through the Pac NW...and likewise have stronger and higher heights pushing NE across Canada ahead of that feature. To me that looks like something very transient with heights that'll rise real quickly after the trough clears our area. The euro ensembles did lift the cool air out and warmed us up, but with the ridge still out in western Canada, we are left with a lingering trough over the East Coast. That's why I said it may also try to get wet at times. I certainly don't see oppressive heat or humidity, but it will try to tickle SNE at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 I wonder if you or me will have our first 40's for lows of the summer. Been a long time ORH had 4 lows in the 40s in June...unless you are talking about the new cold season which technically starts July 1st (at least that is how the snowfall season is reset) Same as Los Angeles rainfall season ironically but in both cases it's logical. Neither get much of their respective ptypes before deep into fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 30, 2013 Share Posted August 30, 2013 next wednesday could be a really nice late summer day...75 to 80F with much lower humidity and lots of sunshine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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