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2nd Half of August WX Discussion


Quincy

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F August and September....lately it's been a west coast type of summer....nada...zilch....thanks for playing....this stinks to high heaven....so I did 3 shots of vodka and decided to post some BS....whatever.....maybe the 0z GFS will have that Bermuda cane 500 miles west at 300....lol... F this...

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F August and September....lately it's been a west coast type of summer....nada...zilch....thanks for playing....this stinks to high heaven....so I did 3 shots of vodka and decided to post some BS....whatever.....maybe the 0z GFS will have that Bermuda cane 500 miles west at 300....lol... F this...

:lol: tremendous....

D9289263-38E7-42E1-AB97-AE8BAE025796-185

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The ensembles still keep most of it SW. It probably will get warm for a day or so, but it looks like fropas save the day. Maybe another heat attempt near 9/1, but that is far away.

I'm beginning to feel like we're going to get a couple of days of less intense heat...that is compared to what they will get west of us. Like you said, fropas should save us from a prolonged period of it. There's a few weenie members skewing the ec ens mean temps down a bit so I'm thinking the torch spots aren't necessarily done with 90F yet.
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I'm beginning to feel like we're going to get a couple of days of less intense heat...that is compared to what they will get west of us. Like you said, fropas should save us from a prolonged period of it. There's a few weenie members skewing the ec ens mean temps down a bit so I'm thinking the torch spots aren't necessarily done with 90F yet.

Those weenie members, are they the same weenie members who have nailed the cooldowns? Your post reminded me of a similar post you made concerning another cool down this month the Euro Ens insisted on. Seems the Ens mean has been spot on since July 12th

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I'm beginning to feel like we're going to get a couple of days of less intense heat...that is compared to what they will get west of us. Like you said, fropas should save us from a prolonged period of it. There's a few weenie members skewing the ec ens mean temps down a bit so I'm thinking the torch spots aren't necessarily done with 90F yet.

 

Yeah I agree...it may try to get in here...maybe one of those brief one day stints....gets cooler but still mild...and then maybe another push a few days later. It's not going to be an easy forecast with over the top complexes diving SE into the OV and Lakes region. I wouldn't be shocked if one of these "hot" days gets mucked by debris clouds. 

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Those weenie members, are they the same weenie members who have nailed the cooldowns? Your post reminded me of a similar post you made concerning another cool down this month the Euro Ens insisted on. Seems the Ens mean has been spot on since July 12th

I don't recall the time period I mentioned that for, but last week ended up fairly warm, albeit nothing earth shattering. I'm not saying mid 90s or high dews in the extended...just maybe a couple of well AN days before any fropa cool downs. The torch spots flirting with 90F during the 1st week of Sep isn't anything historical either.
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The KOI (Kevin Oscillation Index) is known to violently switch at this time from a +6SD index to a -6SD index.

Yeah, but this is the earliest I can remember it leaning negative since the times it was always negative in 07-08. Does this mean an early winter? Above normal sleet? North of Pike winter? Cold but little snow?
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