Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,584
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

2nd Half of August WX Discussion


Quincy

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Yesterday was 77...today looks like 80 but its slowly fading. I made it down to 56° this morning. I'm hoping for a 59° tomorrow morning to keep the trend of <60 going.

Nice...been hotter up here, but we tend to mini-torch on the drier WNW flow heat (relative to other New England areas). Southern Canada has been quite warm the last two days too. Warmest readings are north of MSS in north/west NY.

80F yesterday, and 82F today.

BTV put up 84F yesterday and 85F today.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

A already posted about the OP Euro run earlier this afternoon...decent little mini-shot of heat, though not as bullish as previous "hot" runs.

Euro is coming in with a bit better looking heat dome for next week..specifically next Wednesday/Thursday. It seems like the 12z runs push the idea while the 00z runs back off.

It is not as bullish as a couple days ago, but it does sneak a brief period of +18 850 temps in here on WNW flow which would give a solid shot at most hitting 90F outside of the highest hills.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

:o  :o  :o 

 

msl_uv850_z500!Geopotential%20500%20hPa%

up.gif

20-08-2013[/size]

 

 

detailer.gif

© ECMWF[/size]

 

shim.gifshim.gifshim.gif

That prog has 2m low 80s for that day...lol at a 216hr deterministic wow over +16C though. The ens mean for BDL is pretty much around 14-15C in the extended and not too far above H85 climo. Maybe we can sneak a piece of heat in here though for a day or two.
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's definitely going to be interesting to monitor the machine numbers for highs tomorrow and Thurs.  

 

MAV and MET were 3 to 6F too warm for BAF-FIT-BED, looking over the last three cycles, which is pretty large considering light wind and full sun. The MAV performed better by a tick or two, and this was also consistent through much of July's warm departure times.   Interesting.

 

Re next week:  Both oper. GFS and ECM do this.  They bulge the ridge larger than they have at any other preceding run, truly mammoth in spatial coverage, and exceeding 594dm at greatest depth.  They then bring the 500mb ridge rim pretty much right over New England, but because of a nuance in timing in the lower troposphere, they fail to bring the heat goods.  High pressure sets up an axis right over head Monday -- early Tuesday, and that means there is very little means to conveyor the MW heat into our area. Then, later on, the high finally slips S enough to do so, but the ridge is tending to flatten.   Who knows if things play out that way, but it's just something I am noticing.  Could dodge what very well is likely to be the last chance for this summer to produce heat.  There seems to be some kind of sloshing in the Euro that alters between cooler 00z and warm 12z.  Interesting

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Post the Saturday 12z image :o

Friday

Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

Friday Night through Saturday Night

Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs around 70.

Sunday

Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

In the words of a drunk Joe Namath at an interview....temps on Saturday will be strug-ga-ling.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...