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2nd Half of August WX Discussion


Quincy

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That doesn't look like the NW flow nonsense we've had the last 3 weeks though. The trough is much farther east. Almost keeping ene coolest . Sort of like in the spring where Interior warns but ene cool

I'm standing in a warming NW flow right now that's gusting over 40mph...63F here and rising at 3700ft.

The whole NW flow is irrelevant depending on where the source region is. Last week the same 35kt NW flow produced temps holding in the upper 30s to low 40s.

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That's almost as impressive as BDL's low temp streak in July.

For a large interior section of New England to not see 80F for 3 weeks in mid -summer is a solid feat.

 

It looks like a max of 77° is going to do it for me.  I typically don't see a max beyond this time of day but who knows so that'll be another day below 80°.  Maybe tomorrow will break the streak.  NWS going for 85 so low 80s look to be possible.

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It is pretty amazing/strange how well The Pike, Rt 2 and I-495 work as defining lines for winter wx forecasting.

 

I don't think there's any mystery.  The engineers designed the roads  to 'fit' within easiest topographical elements.  These same elements likely drive the subtle--yet significant--weather/temp profile differences that allow ORH to pile up hefty snows while it's pinging on the mastiff.

 

At least that's what I was led to believe at some poitn.

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That's almost as impressive as BDL's low temp streak in July.

For a large interior section of New England to not see 80F for 3 weeks in mid -summer is a solid feat.

9th day of 80+ here as measured at KCON 

I'd check around before concluding that this is widespread.

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Looks like ORH is going to fail to hit 80F again as well. Only 75F at 3pm. That will be 21 consecutive days without hitting 80F.

 

 

Euro has a classic heat dome sneaking in here at D8. Its brief, but its more of the classic way we get heat here coming in over the top through the Great Lakes.

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Looks like ORH is going to fail to hit 80F again as well. Only 75F at 3pm. That will be 21 consecutive days without hitting 80F.

 

 

Euro has a classic heat dome sneaking in here at D8. Its brief, but its more of the classic way we get heat here coming in over the top through the Great Lakes.

 

 

Dude!  did you see the la-la range GFS?     

 

...obviously I am not bringing it up for any deteministic value whatsoever -- but wow what a SPV and early transition season cold shot, en route, that would be.

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Is that the same map from last week that showed big heat this week? 

 

 

Yeah its been the D8-10 OP Euro that has been showing these heat domes. Until it gets inside of 5 or 6 days, I'll be a bit skeptical of them. There is a window to sneak one in here sometime next week, but ensembles are still keeping the brunt SW of us

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They had a 79.6 on the 12th, but the non-reporting KCTTOLLA5 that is over 100ft higher probably only reached 78-79F.

 

 

Oh I missed the decimal getting to .6...so yeah technically that could be rounded up to 80F...but you already mentioned that since he is 150 feet higher than that site, we can safely assume he didn't hit 80F.

 

He usually reports winter temps of at least 2-3F colder than KCTTOLLA4 so he probably had a hard time reaching 78 unless his location magically starts reporting warmer temps in the summer.

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Oh I missed the decimal getting to .6...so yeah technically that could be rounded up to 80F...but you already mentioned that since he is 150 feet higher than that site, we can safely assume he didn't hit 80F.

 

He usually reports winter temps of at least 2-3F colder than KCTTOLLA4 so he probably had a hard time reaching 78 unless his location magically starts reporting warmer temps in the summer.

 

It's wild that Kevin hasn't had one 80+ day this month. Talk about a dramatic turnaround. Tough news for the high heat and dew crowd.

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