Brian5671 Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Hard to see much in the way of a severe threat north of NYC metro-heavy rains look to continue much of the day for a good chunk of SNE.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Temp bust en route??? This Afternoon: Showers with isolated thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Some thunderstorms may produce heavy rainfall. Locally heavy rainfall possible. Near steady temperature in the mid 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent 68.4/68 1.39" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Hard to see much in the way of a severe threat north of NYC metro-heavy rains look to continue much of the day for a good chunk of SNE.... Eh - I dunno. There's a window of severe potential after 12 or 1 I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Eh - I dunno. There's a window of severe potential after 12 or 1 I think. Going to have to clear out in a hurry then. Radar looks like northern half of CT sees moderate/heavy rain for quite some time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Going to have to clear out in a hurry then. Radar looks like northern half of CT sees moderate/heavy rain for quite some time... Yeah - I don't think we really need much sun really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Down to just some light rain now. Looks like 1.41" in about 7 hours. Not flood-worthy, but a good soaking. 69.0/69 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Yeah - I don't think we really need much sun really. no even that, but to rid the atmosphere of rain cooled air--if that's still ongoing, could be tough to get a severe threat? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Bit of a mesocyclone (quite broad) near POU. Probably helping that updraft maintain itself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 no even that, but to rid the atmosphere of rain cooled air--if that's still ongoing, could be tough to get a severe threat? Yeah we'll need that to clear out/break up - already has happened along the shoreline. Interestingly, biggest svr threat might be around HVN lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Bit of a mesocyclone (quite broad) near POU. Probably helping that updraft maintain itself.There also seems to be some sort of feature showing up on satellite near the NJ/PA border. That region up to POU appears to be the focus of developing early afternoon convection on the high res models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Inner tube spilling over so hit 1" here. Kent to Goshen must be 2+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Inner tube spilling over so hit 1" here. Kent to Goshen must be 2+. 3" in Falls Village Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 This does not bode well for those hoping for sunny breaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 3" in Falls Village Nice!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 3" in Falls Village Is KMGJ at 5.09"? not all hours are showing up for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 This does not bode well for those hoping for sunny breaks. Well CT Rain says we don't need any but it's a longshot that severe makes it up here I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Keep an eye on that meso in NW CT. Rotation may be trying to tighten up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 06z NAM and GFS don't look nearly as impressive today as the evening runs yesterday did. Indeed ... in fact, "today" is not as impressive as today is, either. ha. yeah, thing is... this batch of heavy strata vomit (that may be kissed with some convective features) is IN the warm sector. It's kind of odd. Unless HPC is analyzing things wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 wonder if we can get a line of cells to develop in C / N NJ and then pivot ENE into CT. i'd watch a Stamford, Hartford to New London-type of triangle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 wonder if we can get a line of cells to develop in C / N NJ and then pivot ENE into CT. i'd watch a Stamford, Hartford to New London-type of triangle. Send a spinner to LL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 wonder if we can get a line of cells to develop in C / N NJ and then pivot ENE into CT. i'd watch a Stamford, Hartford to New London-type of triangle. Would rather not do tornado coverage in the middle of plane crash coverage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Would rather not do tornado coverage in the middle of plane crash coverage. there's so little info on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 We're up to 2.25" in the gauge. There seems to be an area of enhanced lift embedded within the large mess of precip, and it's training right through here. We might really push the totals by later this afternoon. Gauge is normally underdone too. There is a massive organic farming conference at UMass this weekend and hundreds of people camp in tents in the fields. Should be like a mini-Woodstock without the awesome music. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 We're up to 2.25" in the gauge. There seems to be an area of enhanced lift embedded within the large mess of precip, and it's training right through here. We might really push the totals by later this afternoon. Gauge is normally underdone too. There is a massive organic farming conference at UMass this weekend and hundreds of people camp in tents in the fields. Should be like a mini-Woodstock without the awesome music. there's a bit of a meso-low in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
amarshall Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 dumping here in the hood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 some rotation on the cell right near holyoke area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 one near torrington looking healthy too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 About to get dumped on. Not much thunder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Is there good shear back in e ny where skies have breaks of sun, or just east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted August 9, 2013 Share Posted August 9, 2013 Is there good shear back in e ny where skies have breaks of sun, or just east it's much better further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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