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Early August Wx Discussion


Baroclinic Zone

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Best descriptor for yesterday was September. It felt like a mid September evening last night.....and despite my enjoyment of heat, I certainly appreciated how abjectly beautiful it was outside.

I'm thinking ginxys call this summer stands out as a true gem........seriously many doubted including me but this period has verified beautifully.

Now.....I note that the late next week trof that has looked looked quite robust in the euro/ensembles may be the nadir before climbing up to the next pattern shift which I believe is in full force by 8/25. In fact late next weeks trof may be over modeled and we're at the bottom now but that remains to be seen.

But as others have said, late August heat isn't the same. However, some of our stellar winters have featured late August heat almost into September. Will mentioned 2010. Don't forget the big heat at the end of August 1993.

 

And 2002..lol.

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Looks like OWD is the winner at 44F...always a good darkhorse candidate. Several hit 45F including TAN/AFN/PSF. I thought we could do slightly better than 44F for the SNE low, but still pretty solid. ORE's 46F was somewhat disappointing though. Thought they would do better than that.

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Looks like OWD is the winner at 44F...always a good darkhorse candidate. Several hit 45F including TAN/AFN/PSF. I thought we could do slightly better than 44F for the SNE low, but still pretty solid. ORE's 46F was somewhat disappointing though. Thought they would do better than that.

 

I thought we could do better too...There's a couple of COOP's that I'd like to see when they come in.

 

I was 46° which isn't too bad.  My record low for the date is 42° in 1993 so it is possible to be a little lower.  I had the usual temp drop as I came down the hill into town so maybe some places had lows in low 40s that went unrecorded.  The coldest I could see was 39° up in NNE.  I thought they could do better too but clouds were an issue for a time up there.

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Here's a survey of low temps on the meso map in SNE: Alford, MA is the leader at 41°.  Storrs, CT was 45° along with one of the URI campuses in Rhode Island.  Lots of 45's across SE MA & several 43 & 44° readings elsewhere in the state.

 

It looks like 35° is the low in NNE at Estcourt Station, ME. 

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Here's a survey of low temps on the meso map in SNE: Alford, MA is the leader at 41°.  Storrs, CT was 45° along with one of the URI campuses in Rhode Island.  Lots of 45's across SE MA & several 43 & 44° readings elsewhere in the state.

 

It looks like 35° is the low in NNE at Estcourt Station, ME. 

 

Estcourt Sta. missed much of yesterday's rain, so probably avoided the moisture/fog that kept normal cold-pocket HUL from dropping below 44.  BML touched 38; my place might've gotten to 40 except for some high clouds moving in a bit before sunrise to prevent that typical last 2F pre-dawn drop.

 

 

Saturday could be a warm day, especially with the front slowing down. Euro ensembles are keeping the front over ern areas.

 

I'm hoping the CAA kicks in early enough up here to keep temps from climbing past the mid 70s.

 

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MVY came in with a respectable 46F. CEF also 46F. BED 47F, PYM 48F.

 

BDL at 51F was kind of weak. Figured they could make upper 40s considering how all the other places did. It seems like E MA did best relative to average in this. I wonder if there were some high clouds over north-central areas and NW areas for a time. I didnt really look at the satellite loop.

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MVY came in with a respectable 46F. CEF also 46F. BED 47F, PYM 48F.

 

BDL at 51F was kind of weak. Figured they could make upper 40s considering how all the other places did. It seems like E MA did best relative to average in this. I wonder if there were some high clouds over north-central areas and NW areas for a time. I didnt really look at the satellite loop.

 

There were. A finger of high clouds moved ESE into parts of nrn MA too.

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There were. A finger of high clouds moved ESE into parts of nrn MA too.

 

 

Then that makes sense. Otherwise if all those eastern areas were in the upper 40s, you would have expected places like ORE to put up a 42F or so.

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Here's a survey of low temps on the meso map in SNE: Alford, MA is the leader at 41°. Storrs, CT was 45° along with one of the URI campuses in Rhode Island. Lots of 45's across SE MA & several 43 & 44° readings elsewhere in the state.

It looks like 35° is the low in NNE at Estcourt Station, ME.

38F at the Sutton COOP was the coldest reading in VT.

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MVY came in with a respectable 46F. CEF also 46F. BED 47F, PYM 48F.

BDL at 51F was kind of weak. Figured they could make upper 40s considering how all the other places did. It seems like E MA did best relative to average in this. I wonder if there were some high clouds over north-central areas and NW areas for a time. I didnt really look at the satellite loop.

The Adirondacks and even this area of VT wasn't remarkable (46F here), as it looks like the best cooling was E.VT/NH/ME/E.MA...I wonder if we were getting dews to rise a but from the west, or high clouds like you said, or the ridge axis aligned better out east...a little bit of a let down. I thought we were good for a 40-43F up here.

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Looks to me like at least for the MET, the MOS nailed the lows last night within a tick or two -- definitely within reason.   I had wondered whether things might settle out slightly warmer as the DP spike that's typical for sunset was a bit anomalously large, but such was not the case.   Although, I did imagine temps could get cool, provided there was a helluva lot of dew.  It was pretty amazing to see some places with 35F type DPs at 4pm, rocket to 52F by 8 or 9 last evening.  

 

Anyway, this is really kind of weird.  I have lived in Ayer now for 4 years (come this October), and being that I am hyper attentive to excruciatingly nerdy observations about nature, I know which trees turn early around here.  Granted, local time scale climate plays a role to some degree (pun absolutely intended...), most of what triggers leaf color change is the seasonally changing weakness in the sun.   Anyway, there is huge maple on my street that isn't sick, but is definitely nauseated a bit. It's currently turning orange and yellow.  This is 3 to 4 weeks ahead of the last 3 years.  I thought it was just a fluke and that it might be that the tree is just ailing that much more, but there were two other maples en route to the bank up in Groton that were also tinged yellow and orange.   This just happened in the last 2 to 3 days.   The idea boiled over when Facebook poster said they just returned from the U.P. of Michigan and said there are color starting to tinge up that way.  It's early even for sickies... 

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Best descriptor for yesterday was September. It felt like a mid September evening last night.....and despite my enjoyment of heat, I certainly appreciated how abjectly beautiful it was outside.

I'm thinking ginxys call this summer stands out as a true gem........seriously many doubted including me but this period has verified beautifully.

Now.....I note that the late next week trof that has looked looked quite robust in the euro/ensembles may be the nadir before climbing up to the next pattern shift which I believe is in full force by 8/25. In fact late next weeks trof may be over modeled and we're at the bottom now but that remains to be seen.

But as others have said, late August heat isn't the same. However, some of our stellar winters have featured late August heat almost into September. Will mentioned 2010. Don't forget the big heat at the end of August 1993.

I think you are very correct Jerry.
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Does anyone have list of the top 10 coolest August's at BDL or have a link where I could get one?  The data on BOX's site only goes to 2002 and I'm curious.  Not because I think we have a shot at that record, but I want to see where this month lies as we go along.

 

TOP TEN WARMEST AUGUSTS                                  TOP TEN COLDEST AUGUSTS
 
WINDSOR LOCKS , CONNECTICUT                            WINDSOR LOCKS,  CONNECTICUT 
 
1.   76.4 DEGREES IN 1973                                               1.   66.6 DEGREES IN 1927                
 
2.   75.2 DEGREES IN 2001,1939                                      2.   67.5 DEGREES IN 1957,1946       
 
3.   75.1 DEGREES IN 2005                                               3.   67.7 DEGREES IN 1954           
 
4.   74.6 DEGREES IN 1937                                               4.   68.0 DEGREES IN 1940,34,19
 
5.   74.5 DEGREES IN 1988                                               5.   68.1 DEGREES IN 1964            
 
6    74.3 DEGREES IN 2003                                               6.   68.2 DEGREES IN 1912,1905       
 
7.   74.2 DEGREES IN 1938                                               7.   68.6 DEGREES IN 1909   
 
8.   73.9 DEGREES IN 1955                                               8.   68.7 DEGREES IN 1915
 
9.   73.8 DEGREES IN 1970                                               9.   68.8 DEGREES IN 1910
 
10. 73.6 DEGREES IN 1998, 1959, 1928                         10.   68.9 DEGREES IN 1963,1921    
 
                                           1971-2000 30 YEAR MEAN = 71.6F
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Does anyone have list of the top 10 coolest August's at BDL or have a link where I could get one?  The data on BOX's site only goes to 2002 and I'm curious.  Not because I think we have a shot at that record, but I want to see where this month lies as we go along.

 

 

You can try here...but it goes by site, so it won't have the old site's data on the same list:

 

http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/summary/ct_ma_riF.html

 

BDL starts in 1954. In a way its nice to look at though because you aren't splicing inhomogenous records together. The top two are 67.5 in 1957 and 67.7 in 1954. 68.1 in 1964, 68.9 in 1963 and 68.9 in 1987 round out the top 5.

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TOP TEN WARMEST AUGUSTS                                  TOP TEN COLDEST AUGUSTS
 
WINDSOR LOCKS , CONNECTICUT                            WINDSOR LOCKS,  CONNECTICUT 
 
1.   76.4 DEGREES IN 1973                                               1.   66.6 DEGREES IN 1927                
 
2.   75.2 DEGREES IN 2001,1939                                      2.   67.5 DEGREES IN 1957,1946       
 
3.   75.1 DEGREES IN 2005                                               3.   67.7 DEGREES IN 1954           
 
4.   74.6 DEGREES IN 1937                                               4.   68.0 DEGREES IN 1940,34,19
 
5.   74.5 DEGREES IN 1988                                               5.   68.1 DEGREES IN 1964            
 
6    74.3 DEGREES IN 2003                                               6.   68.2 DEGREES IN 1912,1905       
 
7.   74.2 DEGREES IN 1938                                               7.   68.6 DEGREES IN 1909   
 
8.   73.9 DEGREES IN 1955                                               8.   68.7 DEGREES IN 1915
 
9.   73.8 DEGREES IN 1970                                               9.   68.8 DEGREES IN 1910
 
10. 73.6 DEGREES IN 1998, 1959, 1928                         10.   68.9 DEGREES IN 1963,1921    
 
                                           1971-2000 30 YEAR MEAN = 71.6F

 

 

Thanks - where did you find that?  I'm usually fine finding stuff on my own but I can't find that data (beyond 2002).

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Thanks - where did you find that?  I'm usually fine finding stuff on my own but I can't find that data (beyond 2002).

Before or after 2002?

This form goes up to 2002: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/box/climate/bdlave.shtml

This is from 1949-2012: http://weather-warehouse.com/WeatherHistory/PastWeatherData_HartfordBradleyIntlArpt_WindsorLocks_CT_August.html

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