BIG FROSTY Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Well when is the next chase ? I'm tired Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 This will be what mostly everyone will go to tomorrow if things don't turn out good: http://www.nooooooooooooooo.com/ (yes the link is real) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED SPELLING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 1048 PM EST FRI DEC 17 2010 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501>510-181100- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...CHEROKEE... WAYNESVILLE...ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD... HENDERSONVILLE...LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE... RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS 1048 PM EST FRI DEC 17 2010 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY... AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL CROSS THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY. A BAND OF SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS A LITTLE AFTER SUNRISE...AND THEN SPREAD NORTHEAST ACROSS THE REST OF THE MOUNTAINS DURING THE MORNING HOURS. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE FOOTHILLS AROUND NOON. UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THIS AREA. AS TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN TONIGHT...ROADS...PARTICULARLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...WILL QUICKLY BECOME SLICK AND TREACHEROUS ONCE THE PRECIPITATION STARTS. THE SNOW SHOULD EXIT THE REGION BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENIN What are they looking at???? must be discounting the GFS and going off the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Must be. Nice step however... What are they looking at???? must be discounting the GFS and going off the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I"m ready to ditch this pattern. The block is in the wrong spot (for me). The clippers in nw flow can still manage central NC from 40 north and the mountains and west of Apps , but for this area its dead precip wise. I'd like to see a central US trough, not east coast one. Yep, I am now of the opinion that a +PNA is significantly more important for us than a -NAO. It seems like the blocks w/o a decent pacific are only good for cold and no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Greater Rutherford REST OF TONIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. SATURDAY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SATURDAY NIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN IN THE EVENING. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. Cleveland County SATURDAY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. A CHANCE OF SLEET IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. LITTLE OR NO SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SATURDAY NIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. Snow and sleet with temps in the low 40s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow haven Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 does it seem to be moving faster? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Best spot will probably be up around Roanoke Rapids over to Gates and Bertie Counties. Wouldn't be surprised to see a couple inches up there. I think northeast sections of Wake county might be good for an inch. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Greater Rutherford REST OF TONIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. SATURDAY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SATURDAY NIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN IN THE EVENING. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. Cleveland County SATURDAY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. A CHANCE OF SLEET IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. LITTLE OR NO SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SATURDAY NIGHT MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. Snow and sleet with temps in the low 40s? Sounds about right. Gotta love the computer generated calls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Yep, I am now of the opinion that a +PNA is significantly more important for us than a -NAO. It seems like the blocks w/o a decent pacific are only good for cold and no snow. depends on where the block is. If we could have got a southern stream going or a split flow in Pac, we'd be in business I think. But the southern stream is extremely weak this year. I haven't had much precip here since August, just a very dry pattern for most of the Upstate (east of you I think) to CLT region. Just baby precip events, followed by extreme cold. Last years pattern was almost perfect but was alittle too strong and headed north just when we thought we'd be safe. Those big snows in Va and DC were just a few miles off from being ours had we had blocking then. At any rate, the pattern is probably going to be about the same, snow chances in I-40 and north in NC, but nothing overwhelming with stuff coming east of the mountains, light precip events in the Upstate to here, followed by cold, repeat the whole pattern. Parts of NC could end up with their annual AVG soon in the northern Piedmont, maybe coastal areas before the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Sounds about right. Gotta love the computer generated calls. then snow and rain at night, upper 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 does it seem to be moving faster? GFS hour 6 is still not where current moisture is on radar. So yes things are quicker than the GFS. The Global isn't the best short range model out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 via @bradwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NegativeTilt Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 via @bradwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 via @bradwx 1 to 2" for charlotte metro. I'm in the trace to 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 via @bradwx hmmm...3-4 up this way? I dunno about that but I would gladly take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 via @bradwx Where's He from ? He paints snow all the up in Va. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 QC Where's He from ? He paints snow all the up in Va. ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 18, 2010 Author Share Posted December 18, 2010 does it seem to be moving faster? Based on the 0z GFS 6hr QPF through 6z, I would say yes for that band in central AL, as well as the returns working through se AL and sw GA. Just mo looking at radar returns compared to what this model shows for 6hr QPF through 1am EST. via @bradwx I am not on the map, not that it really matters at this point. 25 here in Greenville already. Forecasted low verified, surprising considering our high today was 3F above the forecast. Keep it coming but we need to radiate into the lower 20's to have any hope, but even that will be easily offset with a stiff sw wind aloft come tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 25 here in Greenville already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
darkabyssus Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Hey all, dont post much, just read alot.. lol probably too much. Just wanted to stop in from northwestern ( just north of RDU) Raleigh and say thanks to all you guys who explain everything so well so people like me can understand. Also, Ill gladly take the 3-4" the nam and that map above give me. Edit: shows as my first post, but im a transplant from eastern, been reading since last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 via @bradwx I think that's a tad more than what WRAL is calling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Dont you love how the gfs takes a 1005 low in Utah/Nevada and shoves it back west heading off the coast of California from hr 90 to 108. Also way north of the euro with Tuesday clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 QC Thanks, Mark ! Maybe we'll all get lucky and see some flakes flying Down to 29 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Latest RUC showing lots of precip over AL around 6am. 35dbz. Interesting. GFS showed nothing. http://rapidrefresh....ref_sfc_f11.png Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 I think that's a tad more than what WRAL is calling. Who cares! Stop posting this one line crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Great call-map and disco FoothillsNC. Really appreciate it even if it doesn't give me snow. Anyways, 39 here currently with party cloudy skies and light winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted December 18, 2010 Author Share Posted December 18, 2010 Latest RUC showing lots of precip over AL around 6am. 35dbz. Interesting. GFS showed nothing. If the national mosaic looks anything close to that at 7 am, a lot of folks are going to be giddy about there chances. That image is not likely to verify given the current trends, especially through the TN Valley. But I could be wrong as my wife says, it happens from time to time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 next week looks a lot warmer across the Southeast. Big ridging centered in Texas spreads east and west, with cold on the ne corner and nw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 Dropped to 35 now with 33 DP under continued partly cloudy conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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