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Weekend Storm Disco/Obs (Dec 18th & 19th) ---> Part 2

WeatherNC

By WeatherNC,
in Southeastern States

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Gastonwxman

Gastonwxman

Posted
Posted
  On 12/18/2010 at 4:37 PM, FoothillsNC said:

its about time. The radar shows that maybe the back edge is going to clip you as long as here, but maybe you'll be in it longer. Gaston is about to be out of it already too. I think my area sort of "lucked out" because the moisture did a little bit of a lurch north, but the dry slot was working in underneath it quickly and already that dry slot is heading toward Meck. County quickly. Either way, its about what we expected here, not much. The temps barely did it for us, just to my south Gaffney had rain from what I understand, just 10 miles south. Hopefully we can get a real gulf low to develop something widespread this Winter. I don't like the looks of the next 10 days, its more of the same clipper /northwest events, which doesnt' do us any favors from CLT -west.

Yeah. It was great while it lasted, though. I got a quick covering on the ground at the moment, which is nice. It has been doing light sleet for about a few minutes now.

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Amos83

Amos83

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Posted

A good dusting already on the ground.... temp crashed once the snow kicked in. Temp currently 30. Roof toops are completely white thanks to some of the largest flakes I have seen in years! I wouldn't call it moderate snow but just the size of the flakes on cold ground is doing the trick baby :snowman:

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FoothillsNC

FoothillsNC

Posted
Posted
  On 12/18/2010 at 4:43 PM, eyewall said:

FAIL in Southern Pines but what else is new :gun_bandana:

Its not over for you, you'll probably have a changeover before ending.

  On 12/18/2010 at 4:43 PM, BIG FROSTY said:

I thought some of the models was showing a gulf low around Christmas ?

I looked more closely and its the same old, same old . You stand a shot at something, but not in southern NC I don't think. The systems coming in from northwest or due west don't do much really for anybody in NC, but north of 40 that can atleast do a little bit. Its not a gulf low. The ridge in northern Central Canada sends spokes and waves southeast right toward the Ohio or Tenn Valley or Midatlantic, which can allow quick overrunning , but the overall setup is what we've been through several times already, which would favor Ky, Ohio, Wva and Va more than much of NC. Theres a chance that something could dive far enough west into the central plains that then heads south toward Mississippi, which would be a much better setup for us, but thats a long shot still. That mega-block in Canada needs to either move east a 1000 miles , or west 1000 miles.:axe:

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WxKnurd

WxKnurd

Posted
Posted
  On 12/18/2010 at 4:47 PM, burgertime said:

WTF...still sleet off of Sharon Rd. West.

That sucks man, I am off of North Tryon in the NODA area and we have just slacked off to light snow with smaller flakes after a brief burst of moderate snow with quarter-sized flakes.

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eyewall

eyewall

Posted
Posted
  On 12/18/2010 at 4:48 PM, FoothillsNC said:

Its not over for you, you'll probably have a changeover before ending.

I looked more closely and its the same old, same old . You stand a shot at something, but not in southern NC I don't think. The systems coming in from northwest or due west don't do much really for anybody in NC, but north of 40 that can atleast do a little bit. Its not a gulf low. The ridge in northern Central Canada sends spokes and waves southeast right toward the Ohio or Tenn Valley or Midatlantic, which can allow quick overrunning , but the overall setup is what we've been through several times already, which would favor Ky, Ohio, Wva and Va more than much of NC. Theres a chance that something could dive far enough west into the central plains that then heads south toward Mississippi, which would be a much better setup for us, but thats a long shot still. That mega-block in Canada needs to either move east a 1000 miles , or west 1000 miles.:axe:

Foothills I know it probably will I was just hoping I would see it sooner being my forecast busted for CLT in their favor.

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NEGa

NEGa

Posted
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  On 12/18/2010 at 4:49 PM, eyewall said:

Foothills I know it probably will I was just hoping I would see it sooner being my forecast busted for CLT in their favor.

  On 12/18/2010 at 4:50 PM, burgertime said:

Finally starting to mix with some bigger flakes.

  On 12/18/2010 at 5:00 PM, Wow said:

heavy snow.. big flakes right now.

:thumbsup: awesome - yall are high on my list too :snowing:

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burrel2

burrel2

Posted
Posted
  On 12/18/2010 at 4:48 PM, FoothillsNC said:

Its not over for you, you'll probably have a changeover before ending.

I looked more closely and its the same old, same old . You stand a shot at something, but not in southern NC I don't think. The systems coming in from northwest or due west don't do much really for anybody in NC, but north of 40 that can atleast do a little bit. Its not a gulf low. The ridge in northern Central Canada sends spokes and waves southeast right toward the Ohio or Tenn Valley or Midatlantic, which can allow quick overrunning , but the overall setup is what we've been through several times already, which would favor Ky, Ohio, Wva and Va more than much of NC. Theres a chance that something could dive far enough west into the central plains that then heads south toward Mississippi, which would be a much better setup for us, but thats a long shot still. That mega-block in Canada needs to either move east a 1000 miles , or west 1000 miles.:axe:

You're probably right, but next weeks system does have something to do with a piece of pacific energy that breaks off and comes across California. I think there are scenerios where that could create a favorable setup for us. Take a look at the 00z CMC and you can watch that piece of energy traverse the west and then it tries to spark a gulf low but doesn't quite do it. I think the key to that happening is for that piece of energy to miss any kind of interaction with the northern stream.

I'm not saying that's how things will play out, but it's anybody's guess right now and something like that is definitely possible.

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downeastnc

downeastnc

Posted
Posted
  On 12/18/2010 at 5:04 PM, eyewall said:

yeah it was sleeting east of me earlier but for now just a very cold rain.

Just started here and its all sleet for now temp on my truck was 37 DP is still in the upper 20's be nice if it never goes to rain even though I doubt we get the suface below freezing until later when 99.99% of the moisture is gone.

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eyewall

eyewall

Posted
Posted
  On 12/18/2010 at 5:16 PM, downeastnc said:

Just started here and its all sleet for now temp on my truck was 37 DP is still in the upper 20's be nice if it never goes to rain even though I doubt we get the suface below freezing until later when 99.99% of the moisture is gone.

Yeah we have 33 and Rain still. Everyone's favorite weather condition. I am hoping we can salvage a token dusting at the end of this thing.

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