Geos Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 Less than a week before the last month of met summer starts. Probably more heat coming, but how much? More troughs for next month possibly?! Discuss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 August starts warm if the op GFS has anything to say about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 Gonna heat up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 NAEFS 8-14 day outlook. Inferno. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 The past several days of CFS runs have been advertising cooler than average conditions for August, which I think has some significance since we are approaching the end of July. Hopefully we're not wondering where this is come winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 below normal is the smart call here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 26, 2013 Author Share Posted July 26, 2013 I think I am going to lean towards cooler than normal as well. Probably -1° - -2° range for the local area. Looks like the first 2 or 3 days will be in the mid 80s though - according to Caplan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 I think I am going to lean towards cooler than normal as well. Probably -1° - -2° range for the local area. Looks like the first 2 or 3 days will be in the mid 80s though - according to Caplan. Sounds about right, the first week or so definitely will not be torchy as it looks atm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 1st Weekend of August (mainly saturday) looking toasty for a good portion of the southern half of the sub forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 NAEFS 8-14 day outlook. Inferno. NAEFS 8:3-10:2013.png The new climo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 28, 2013 Author Share Posted July 28, 2013 CFS take on next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted July 28, 2013 Share Posted July 28, 2013 Don't want to jump the gun, but should the CFS be correct, it is very possible that Detroits entire allotment of 90F days in 2013 came all in a row, July 15-19th. If every summer could be like this, confine the heat/humidity into one oppressive work-week (M-F), I wouldnt even complain (ok, maybe a little ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted July 28, 2013 Share Posted July 28, 2013 Certainly looks like there is a potential for more heavy rains across the region this week, around the lakes today and tomorrow, then Wednesday into Thursday and again next weekend as well. One thing that could be a concern for the region would be if later into September we have tropical remnants move up into the region, there could really be a potential of some major flooding considering how waterlogged some of the areas are. This is especially true for Michigan, Ohio and Kentucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted July 28, 2013 Share Posted July 28, 2013 Don't want to jump the gun, but should the CFS be correct, it is very possible that Detroits entire allotment of 90F days in 2013 came all in a row, July 15-19th. If every summer could be like this, confine the heat/humidity into one oppressive work-week (M-F), I wouldnt even complain (ok, maybe a little ) We have the entire month of August and a couple weeks of Sep to go. I dont think DTW is finished with obtaining at least a couple or more 90 readings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 29, 2013 Author Share Posted July 29, 2013 Newest CPC 6-10 and 8-14 outlooks have the almost the entire sub forum in the 50-60% below normal probability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Newest CPC 6-10 and 8-14 outlooks have the almost the entire sub forum in the 50-60% below normal probability. Or as my wife likes to remind me, about a 45% chance of near normal probability . The great thing about below normal this time of year is that it makes it very comfortable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Or as my wife likes to remind me, about a 45% chance of near normal probability . The great thing about below normal this time of year is that it makes it very comfortable. That sounds like my wife too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Summers sure fly by and with spring warmth virtually MIA and only a handful of torch days this summer it sorta sucks we're heading in to august already with no midnight swimming weather in sight for now. Novelty of summer weather wears off by the middle of August for me anyways just like it does in winter for some here once we hit later in to Feb.. Its been another boring severe weather spring and summer here anyways so might as well scoot on through August ASAP and see what the start of MET Fall can start mustering up for tropical/severe/torches/and snow.. Only 60 more days and the north woods of Wisconsin's fall foliage will already be putting on its 3 billion dollar tourism show Temps looking perfect for at least the first half of the 11 day state fair starting Thursday. Always feel sorry for the animals cooped up in the barns sweating their Yam sacks off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 29, 2013 Author Share Posted July 29, 2013 Summers sure fly by and with spring warmth virtually MIA and only a handful of torch days this summer it sorta sucks we're heading in to august already with no midnight swimming weather in sight for now. Novelty of summer weather wears off by the middle of August for me anyways just like it does in winter for some here once we hit later in to Feb.. Its been another boring severe weather spring and summer here anyways so might as well scoot on through August ASAP and see what the start of MET Fall can start mustering up for tropical/severe/torches/and snow.. Only 60 more days and the north woods of Wisconsin's fall foliage will already be putting on its 3 billion dollar tourism show Temps looking perfect for at least the first half of the 11 day state fair starting Thursday. Always feel sorry for the animals cooped up in the barns sweating their Yam sacks off. Yeah by the time you get to August 20th or so, it feels like Fall. Especially when I was in college/school it felt that way. Could get interesting if tropical storm remnants pay a visit to the region this month. August is my least favorite month mainly due to my ragweed allergies. Usually those last until about Sept. 15th. I have a feeling summer weather will be cut short this year. Edit: First weekend of August looks like a near repeat of the last 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 NAEFS continues to show way below normal 2nd week of August... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Hopefully we cash in on good storms sometime, otherwise this pattern is about as dull as it gets. Not too hot, not too cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 Hopefully we cash in on good storms sometime, otherwise this pattern is about as dull as it gets. Not too hot, not too cold. It's just right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 It's just right! Doesn't do much from an excitement standpoint. I like storms/extremes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 It looks like the polar vortex may be paying us another visit in the near future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 30, 2013 Author Share Posted July 30, 2013 It looks like the polar vortex may be paying us another visit in the near future. What! Is it coming down to the Hudson Bay region then? No 80s in the forecast whatsoever! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 What! Is it coming down to the Hudson Bay region then? No 80s in the forecast whatsoever! Yeah. If we can keep that ridging over the western Atlantic there will be the possibility of cold air funneling into the region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 There's been some hints of a major cool shot well in the extended (like 10 days away), but whether it materializes remains to be seen. I doubt there will be anything on the level of what just happened at least for the next 7-10 days, but overall it does look below average with perhaps some temps near average mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 There's been some hints of a major cool shot well in the extended (like 10 days away), but whether it materializes remains to be seen. I doubt there will be anything on the level of what just happened at least for the next 7-10 days, but overall it does look below average with perhaps some temps near average mixed in. Yeah, the HPC Outlooks indicate even sustained near-normal temps will be difficult to come by in the region, let alone any warmer than normal periods. Not out of the question that we go nearly 3 weeks in a row in the dog days of summer without seeing 80F for a high around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted July 30, 2013 Share Posted July 30, 2013 SYNOPTIC OVERVIEW...30.12Z ECMWF/GFS/CANADIAN ALL SUGGEST A REX BLOCK STAYING MOSTLY INPLACE OVER WESTERN CANADA INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA...ALONG WITHTROUGHING OVER SOUTHEAST CANADA INTO THE GREAT LAKESREGION...THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THIS MEANS THE FORECAST AREAWILL STAY IN COOL...NORTHWEST FLOW WITH SHORTWAVES COMING THROUGHTHAT CAN BE HARD TO TIME. WHETHER OR NOT THESE SHORTWAVES PRODUCEPRECIPITATION WILL DEPEND ON MOISTURE AVAILABILITY. I'm liking this weather... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 31, 2013 Author Share Posted July 31, 2013 Yeah. If we can keep that ridging over the western Atlantic there will be the possibility of cold air funneling into the region I think this is what you were getting at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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