CT Rain Posted July 29, 2013 Author Share Posted July 29, 2013 The KWO (Kevin Weenie Oscillation) is also a semi-annular one. This tends to exist only in extremes. The +KWO runs from April-October and then violently shifts to a -KWO from October through April. This year the +KWO has been an astounding 5-6 sigma above normal. lol It supports high humidity, major hurricane strikes, fakenadoes, landphoons, damaging ice storms, damaging synoptic high wind events, damaging nor'easters, record snow, record cold, record heat, tsunamis, damaging droughts, damaging floods, and just damaging weather in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 The KWO (Kevin Weenie Oscillation) is also a semi-annular one. This tends to exist only in extremes. The +KWO runs from April-October and then violently shifts to a -KWO from October through April. This year the +KWO has been an astounding 5-6 sigma above normal. definitely in record territory. so extreme it yielded a fakenado *over* the glacier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 lol It supports high humidity, major hurricane strikes, fakenadoes, landphoons, damaging ice storms, damaging synoptic high wind events, damaging nor'easters, record snow, record cold, record heat, tsunamis, damaging droughts, damaging floods, and just damaging weather in general. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 The KWO (Kevin Weenie Oscillation) is also a semi-annular one. This tends to exist only in extremes. The +KWO runs from April-October and then violently shifts to a -KWO from October through April. This year the +KWO has been an astounding 5-6 sigma above normal. lol It supports high humidity, major hurricane strikes, fakenadoes, landphoons, damaging ice storms, damaging synoptic high wind events, damaging nor'easters, record snow, record cold, record heat, tsunamis, damaging droughts, damaging floods, and just damaging weather in general. That's just too funny....literally laughing out loud here at work! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 I think that there are different types of patterns. Most, like you describe, last about 4-6 weeks. Then there are the semi-annual ones like winter 2011-2012. It was dry and warm for a longer period than that. Then there are annual ones that can last for a few years, like the many crappy winters we had in the '80s or like hurricane seasons which seem to favor one region over another for a few years. We seem to be in one that favors the east coast vs. 10 years ago. Then there are the even longer decadal patterns where we see "hot" decades. I think the '90s were like that along with the '30s. There's probably even longer ones that last for 100s of years like the Vikings found a thousand years ago. The bottom line though is you're right and that you shouldn't expect most patterns to last more than a few weeks. You're right too on the longer patterns and general background noise that can linger for years (like we still average warm on an annual basis)...but I just tend to have a very general rule of thumb that stuff tends to "stick and repeat" in 4-6 week cycles at least in sensible weather. Absolutely no research to back that up though lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 The KWO (Kevin Weenie Oscillation) is also a semi-annular one. This tends to exist only in extremes. The +KWO runs from April-October and then violently shifts to a -KWO from October through April. This year the +KWO has been an astounding 5-6 sigma above normal. awesomely well-played. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 awesomely well-played. Yeah, that is just too perfect. Maybe when I added the sub-title to the high heat thread "How high can we get?" some took it literally. Who knows but the KFS was adamant that a pattern change was not going to happen and that we'd be right back to the high dp's in short order. He had his hopes up a couple days last week and I really think he thought it would stick. Oh well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 The KWO (Kevin Weenie Oscillation) is also a semi-annular one. This tends to exist only in extremes. The +KWO runs from April-October and then violently shifts to a -KWO from October through April. This year the +KWO has been an astounding 5-6 sigma above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Good start to the work-week up here at the ski resort... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Good start to the work-week up here at the ski resort... so what do you get to do on a day like today? what does "work" constitute? i'm very jealous. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 so what do you get to do on a day like today? what does "work" constitute? i'm very jealous. lol. Straightening out those picnic tables...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Straightening out those picnic tables...lol. Washing the snow stick at 3k to its easy to read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Washing the snow stick at 3k to its easy to read. Like Fenway Park, every year they repaint the stick..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Line starting to get it's act together. Just started raining here at the office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 OT, but a real nice pattern as a whole so far for the US this year. More record low tornado counts, areas in the Plains are getting rains to help alleviate the drought.....a nice reprieve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Some lightning and thunder too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 I can't even buy a garden variety storm this year. Violent, Damaging Td's with nothing to show. Summer of '13 will go down as the "Relaxed Pattern Change" Scattered deluges within a drought, swarming scuds sworn to be OMG TOR's. So much potential... Where is Kevin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Holy @#$t this is a lot of rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New England Storm Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Getting darker, yard work might not be happening today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Worked hard this morning might get a nice afternoon reward if these can storm in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Winds now gusting. ~20-30mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Winds now gusting. ~20-30mph. Make that 40+. Rain going sideways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1235 PM EDT MON JUL 29 2013 MAZ013-016-017-291715- NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA- 1235 PM EDT MON JUL 29 2013 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS SOUTHWEST OF BOSTON... AT 1230 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR NORWOOD TO NEAR CUMBERLAND RHODE ISLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THESE STORMS WILL PRODUCE RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 1 INCH PER HOUR... AND POSSIBLY WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SUBURBS OF BOSTON THROUGH 130 PM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... NORTH ATTLEBOROUGH...WRENTHAM...NORWOOD...MILTON...PLAINVILLE... MANSFIELD...CANTON...SHARON...WALPOLE AND FOXBOROUGH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ALERT FOR MINOR STREET AND HIGHWAY FLOODING...AS WELL AS POOR VISIBILITY. THIS INCLUDES THE STRETCH OF INTERSTATE 95 BETWEEN MANSFIELD AND ROUTE 128. THOSE OUTDOORS SHOULD GET INSIDE OR IN A VEHICLE WHEN THE STORMS APPROACH. IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. && LAT...LON 4197 7126 4196 7138 4202 7138 4202 7141 4226 7115 4223 7113 4225 7111 4226 7111 4226 7097 TIME...MOT...LOC 1630Z 230DEG 20KT 4222 7117 4196 7147 $$ JWD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Straightening out those picnic tables...lol. Haha I gotta paint 'em white so they accumulate better in marginal temp profiles. Washing the snow stick at 3k to its easy to read. That actually reminds me, I gotta stop by there on the 4-wheeler later to make sure the porcupines haven't eaten it. Those things love to munch on treated and painted wood for some reason. The porcupines have compromised a few stakes over the years, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING MAC021-291730- /O.NEW.KBOX.SV.W.0065.130729T1645Z-130729T1730Z/ BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 1245 PM EDT MON JUL 29 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WESTERN NORFOLK COUNTY IN EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS... * UNTIL 130 PM EDT * AT 1244 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED OVER WRENTHAM AND FRANKLIN...AND WAS MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FRANKLIN...WALPOLE...SHARON...FOXBOROUGH...MEDFIELD...NORFOLK AND WRENTHAM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL... DEADLY LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 4204 7136 4208 7140 4217 7129 4210 7120 TIME...MOT...LOC 1644Z 236DEG 15KT 4208 7134 $$ JWD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Can see the winds on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 The garden beds outside are now moats. Parking lot is holding the water too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 Looks good on velocity. A legit strong storm in the east! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 29, 2013 Share Posted July 29, 2013 so what do you get to do on a day like today? what does "work" constitute? i'm very jealous. lol. I did some maintenance checks on the Gondola top terminal, did some food transport to the restaurant up top, basically now since the weather is so nice and the crowds are building, I'll spend the day educating folks going on hikes about trails/difficulty/preparedness/timing and stuff of that nature. Hopefully so we/I don't have to do any after-hours rescue later this afternoon and evening. We've also got a ton of on-trail construction going on for snowmaking improvements so trying to keep folks out of those areas. Essentially I spend the day talking to people about the mountain, the weather forecast, and making sure they know what they are getting into when they leave the resort boundary...like the families in flip flops trying to scale the summit, or the women hiking in heeled dress shoes that then requires medical attention when she breaks her ankle two miles out in the woods. You see some interesting things... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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