Typhoon Tip Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 Euro is still not showing any signs of big warmth through D10 today. Looks like the best we can muster is maybe a bit more humid on Sunday otherwise its either chilly/wet or seasonable and dry. Yes, but it backed off on the middle range trough depth -vs- the 00z version. It's suspiciously playing up to its bias/tendency to over-develop troughs in the extended, only to have to modulate them toward less. I'm just wondering if we are going to have a D9 snow storm on every run from October 15 onward ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 Euro is still not showing any signs of big warmth through D10 today. Looks like the best we can muster is maybe a bit more humid on Sunday otherwise its either chilly/wet or seasonable and dry. Wheeeeeeeeee? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 Yes, but it backed off on the middle range trough depth -vs- the 00z version. It's suspiciously playing up to its bias/tendency to over-develop troughs in the extended, only to have to modulate them toward less. I'm just wondering if we are going to have a D9 snow storm on every run from October 15 onward ... Well I don't think the trough it showed in the extended had anywhere to go but less amplified. It was showing probably record low temps on the 00z run. I would doubt much of any detail beyond D7 on the Euro...but through that time, I don't see the return of the previous pattern. The ensembles somewhat support the idea of general troughiness though around D10-12...just nothing obscene. Still hints that the ridging may try to fight back during the 2nd week of August, but the signal is pretty dampened still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 Well I don't think the trough it showed in the extended had anywhere to go but less amplified. It was showing probably record low temps on the 00z run. I would doubt much of any detail beyond D7 on the Euro...but through that time, I don't see the return of the previous pattern. The ensembles somewhat support the idea of general troughiness though around D10-12...just nothing obscene. Still hints that the ridging may try to fight back during the 2nd week of August, but the signal is pretty dampened still. Hard to argue with 2 near double digit departure days yesterday and today. Euro advertised this period from way way out. Return to normal or slightly below seems logical. Mid month ridging and slightly above normal seems logical too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 Well I don't think the trough it showed in the extended had anywhere to go but less amplified. It was showing probably record low temps on the 00z run. I would doubt much of any detail beyond D7 on the Euro...but through that time, I don't see the return of the previous pattern. The ensembles somewhat support the idea of general troughiness though around D10-12...just nothing obscene. Still hints that the ridging may try to fight back during the 2nd week of August, but the signal is pretty dampened still. Ha ha, tru dhat! Yeah, I'm honestly losing confidence on that latter ridge deal. The primary means that I use to assess probabilities at those ranges are backing off the throttle on that over the last 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 I miss Kevin's pot stirring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 Hard to argue with 2 near double digit departure days yesterday and today. Euro advertised this period from way way out. Return to normal or slightly below seems logical. Mid month ridging and slightly above normal seems logical too. 5 out of the last 6 days below normal at BTV. Great call by folks touting a below normal week after last week's heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 5 out of the last 6 days below normal at BTV. Great call by folks touting a below normal week after last week's heat. To be fair in SNE it's been just about normal for the past week with only 2 days below normal in the last 5 at BOS and 1 at ORH though a handful right near normal (probably will be 3 below in the last 7 counting today). Certainly still a good call since that was a huge change from the +10 departures day after day prior to this past week of nice cool temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 To be fair in SNE it's been just about normal for the past week with only 2 days below normal in the last 5 at BOS and 1 at ORH though a handful right near normal (probably will be 3 below in the last 7 counting today). Certainly still a good call since that was a huge change from the +10 departures day after day prior to this past week of nice cool temps. Yeah, we had the intrusion of cooler air a day or two earlier up here. But still no doubt this week will be much different than last week. Even normal is a 10-15F drop between this week and last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 Ginxy lookin like ave to a touch below. Good bye dews f off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 26, 2013 Share Posted July 26, 2013 I miss Kevin's pot stirring.YesIs he sulking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Yes Is he sulking? Might it have been a wager that he couldn't go a week without posting ? If so look for a rousing return come Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Pretty evening.. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Sweet photo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Nice shot... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Will temps come up now (next few hours)? I'm thinking BOS makes it to 72-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Another awesome night for sleeping with the windows open...45-55F is just perfect for night in July. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 I miss Kevin's pot stirring. Thankfully the dews come back to stay this weekend Huh? Even the Kuro doesn't have high dews next week! Euro with cool shot bust after bust this summer. Ride the new and improved GFS!! Meh - the Euro did the best with yesterday's storm. The GFS was atrocious. Euro has overamplified troughs all summer. It's not going to be in the 60's and 70's all next week,,but if you used the Euro you'd have to forecast that. fail fail fail fail fail Just like your forecast yesterday!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Did kev get a suspension? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Did kev get a suspension? The dew fell below 60F so he suspended himself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Euro with cool shot bust after bust this summer. Ride the new and improved GFS!! [*] Ride the model that shows the weather you desire... rule #1 I never thought I'd hear him say go with the GFS instead of the ECMWF.... someone remember this in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 The dew fell below 60F so he suspended himself. Well, I appreciate the sacrifice. lol Great day in the valley with clouds and sun (a few sprinkles) temps in the mid 70's. 61/58 atm and windows open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Ride the model that shows the weather you desire... rule #1 I never thought I'd hear him say go with the GFS instead of the ECMWF.... someone remember this in the winter. Yes sir, ride it like a angry bull this winter if it has a continuous train of day 10 Nor'Easters roaring up the coast into a cold Quebec high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 The dew fell below 60F so he suspended himself. Kevin ran in the Narragansett 10 mile race today, so I'm sure he was happy that the dews were only in the 60s instead of 70s! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 ec ens are pretty damn cold for a few days around d10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Kevin ran in the Narragansett 10 mile race today, so I'm sure he was happy that the dews were only in the 60s instead of 70s! Our daily negative departures are eating away at the monthly departure from normal for the record at BDL. We'll probably still make it with the help of the high minimum temperatures early in the month and standard heatwave last week but it's not as impressive as it once was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Our daily negative departures are eating away at the monthly departure from normal for the record at BDL. We'll probably still make it with the help of the high minimum temperatures early in the month and standard heatwave last week but it's not as impressive as it once was. Today and early next week should stem the tide a bit with highs in the mid 80's....Thurs/Fri really put a dent in it with temps in the 60's and low 70's for highs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Last 5 days here have run about -6 compared to my 15-yr avg, though the month is still +1.6. No chance of matching 2010, my warmest July, and we've dropped 0.1F below that month's avg minimum, so I think we miss that one, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 This would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 27, 2013 Share Posted July 27, 2013 Going in record...great call by ginxy, I didn't think It would have the legs it's had, Gorgeous day today....ideal summer wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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