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Late July Pattern Change - Wx Discussion


CT Rain

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Doubt it. Shear sucks, dew points suck, CAPE sucks, lapse rates suck. Looking just cloudy with chance of some showers and a couple isolated t-storms.

 

Well - there's a fair amount of 0-6km bulk shear and a nice surge of high theta-e air in the boundary layer. 

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 maybe we'll broil after day 10--anyone remember the August 2002 heatwave? That was epic...7-10 days of upper 80's and low 90's with humidity.  A true Kevin special.

 

Six-day heatwave for the Farmington COOP and 7 of 8, and it came a week after the AC quit on our old (200K miles) Subaru.

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CFS blows. I wish it weren't so given some of the long progs but it is.

I think CFS 2 has been much better .

66 at noon second hottest climo day of the year.

In the rain so bootleg but yes the change from a week ago is dramatic.

CFS progs run daily. 2 days ago a boreal December. Today's prog is a huge torch. Just sayin.

2 days ago August normal, today below, tomorrow above!

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In the rain so bootleg but yes the change from a week ago is dramatic.

CFS progs run daily. 2 days ago a boreal December. Today's prog is a huge torch. Just sayin.

2 days ago August normal, today below, tomorrow above!

LOL-that's why JB didnt post it today....

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I think CFS 2 has been much better .

66 at noon second hottest climo day of the year.

Either way cfs 2 has maine solidly above normal and most of emass /sne ave temps, while the rockies plains and lakes have the real cooler departures. Sort of near ave for western sne
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Either way cfs 2 has maine solidly above normal and most of emass /sne ave temps, while the rockies plains and lakes have the real cooler departures. Sort of near ave for western sne

I think the greatest negative departures stay to our west as has been the tendency throughout 2013. The trough is oriented over the Great Lakes with southerly flow ahead of it...850s get down into the lower single digits over Minnesota and Michigan.
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I think the greatest negative departures stay to our west as has been the tendency throughout 2013. The trough is oriented over the Great Lakes with southerly flow ahead of it...850s get down into the lower single digits over Minnesota and Michigan.

that may give us alot of muggy air if that verifies

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i remember Aug 09 being a muggy month after a wet June and Cool/dry July that year...

 

You were dry in July 2009?  Farther north, it was my wettest of 15 Julys with 7.29".  (We're just under 6" this year, and today's near whiff probably means 2009 keeps the lead.)  That year July had measurable rain on 24 days, most I've recorded in any month, with a trace on one more.

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