Ian Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Maybe not for us, maybe those further south? Also, from the 500 map, does the track look more due east this time as opposed to the last two diving SE then turning E as they approached the coast. well since ric etc mixed yesterday i'd assume that could be an issue again especially if it's warmer to start. not sure on the 500 track guess i didnt pay a ton of attention with the last but it was pretty ill defined anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 OMG GFS!!! WOW, CHECK OUT 30HR!! It looks pretty crappy still. slight shift nw as well.. if we had 12 more runs we'd be golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 slight shift nw as well.. if we had 12 more runs we'd be golden The clipper from hell is blasting through the Midwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 clipper looks good overall still ... surface temps might be an issue around here and south / east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 clipper looks good overall still ... surface temps might be an issue around here and south / east Good luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlewis1111 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 clipper looks like crap falls apart by time it gets to ur region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Good luck fits the pattern at least so it's somewhat believable.. still too far in range to worry much about anything other than it being there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 clipper looks like crap falls apart by time it gets to ur region i wouldnt worry about that.. both the last 2 juiced in the shorter term but of course you're going to get less east of the apps -- this looks like it has a fair amount of moisture on recent runs tho. 500 energy is pretty good too, maybe a little north of what i'd like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 clipper looks good overall still ... surface temps might be an issue around here and south / east True especially if the vortex off the coast shifts a little east. I'm not gonna worry about it until towards the end of the weekend. I need to write some xmas cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 OMG GFS!!! WOW, CHECK OUT 30HR!! It looks pretty crappy still. GFS and Christmas FTW MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 GFS and Christmas FTW MDstorm no cold high to the north. Might be rain??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC_WX Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 no cold high to the north. Might be rain??? That was a 10M map. Surface temps. Still, might be rain. The cold air is gonna go stale eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 That was a 10M map. Surface temps. Still, might be rain. The cold air is gonna go stale eventually. Looks cold enough back here but at that range who cares about temps. Probably our first ice show of this NINA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 0z euro did have an overrunning type of event around then which didnt match up to the previous gfs look of a coastal type storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 umm...it was 25 years in June for me It was 3 years for us sin July. Preggers now, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 Looks cold enough back here but at that range who cares about temps. Probably our first ice show of this NINA No Ice please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 If the vortex from Saturday is displaced east, I think the clipper has decent potential. Given the pattern, and the fact that the vortex has always been stronger than originally modeled, it still might be a miss to the south. As modeled right now, I'd be worried that Christmas event might be a bit warm. But given the fact 36 hours out, the models still seem shaky with this storm, no need to worry about a day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 17, 2010 Share Posted December 17, 2010 If the vortex from Saturday is displaced east, I think the clipper has decent potential. Given the pattern, and the fact that the vortex has always been stronger than originally modeled, it still might be a miss to the south. As modeled right now, I'd be worried that Christmas event might be a bit warm. But given the fact 36 hours out, the models still seem shaky with this storm, no need to worry about a day 7. I was zooming in on the graphics from the 18 Z GFS T 192 and that blue 0c 2m temp line appears to run right through the southern Prince William. If that came true as modeled it would be a wild Xmas day with light snow to heavy snow/sleet/ZR and maybe back to snow/sleet...I would give up all my presents to see that happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 18, 2010 Share Posted December 18, 2010 no cold high to the north. Might be rain??? at BWI at least, thicknesses never get higher than 540, so we should be good south of BWI, there may be some issues verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.