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Greenland 2013


LithiaWx

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Perhaps with this years melt behind us we'll have time for some study of the mechanism's at work. Everyone I assume is familiar with Dr. Box's and NASA's excellent sites. Another site that specifically addresses issues related to Nares Strait, Petermann Glacier and by extension the ice islands that have been spawned is Dr' Munchow's Icy Seas http://icyseas.org/author/muenchow/

A recent paper of his points to the increase by 15% to 30% in ice shelf velocity measured at the Petermann Glacier (links are at his page). Petermann drains ~4% of the GIS, but the huge calving events in 2010 and again in 2012 have made it almost a household word. Andreas has calculated that ~12Gt is lost through the Petermann Fjord each year with 5GT from basal melting. If one extrapolated the 12Gt annual loss as representing 4% of the ice sheet then 300Gt loss per year would be expected with 100Gt from basal melt.

The limitations proposed for GIS's contribution might be understated if they aren't taking the extent of basal melting into account since most of the limitation is based of the amount of ice that could wind it's way to the sea. My nightmare is that much of the ice sheet simply melts back from the narrow fjords and flows off as water. It's also interesting that PII-2012 and PII-2010 were about equal in having a mass of ~18 Gt even though 2010 was much larger (and thinner).

Terry

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  • 3 weeks later...

Here is the latest DMI Greenland Ice Sheet mass balance plot [source]:

 

Mass_tot_Small_en.png

 

 

The GIS is still on track for a net loss of 350 - 375 Gtons for 2013 - though high precipitation during the remainder of the year could lower the net loss to around 300 Gtons and hgh calving could raise it closer to 400 Gtons.  I think most people here know, but for those who don't,  Glaciers and ice streams within ice sheets flow year-round though there can be a seasonal variation to the rate of flow.  

 

Here is a NASA animation of the GIS and its ice streams [link]

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  • 4 weeks later...

According to some, you may only have to wait a couple more years to enjoy such pleasentries...while laying on the famed sandy beaches of southern Greenland, for that matter!

 

 If you can stand the massive methane releases that will be coming up out of the ground all around you. Hope you are not a smoker. :yikes:

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