weatherwiz Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Actually the upcoming pattern could be fairly active with numerous chances for showers/t'storms and perhaps MCS activity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 It does feel a couple ticks cooler this morning at the start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 It's AWT, nothing has changed. There will also be a low to the south developing with cool temperatures into mid week. We turn warmer and muggy and then another fropa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 The 11-15 day is the period to watch because any such fropa may be more like a staller with the front overhead meaning warmer wx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Sounds right to me. I'm pretty bummed though I'm supposed to be hiking Mt. Washington next Saturday and that's exactly when that trough will be moving in. Lots of moisture moving through starting around Thursday. Yeah unfortunately those looking for wholescale pattern change are kind of left wondering when it will happen. I wonder if we've ever had a summer with so few frontal passages? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Yeah unfortunately those looking for wholescale pattern change are kind of left wondering when it will happen. I wonder if we've ever had a summer with so few frontal passages? Look at all the severe wx you have to show for it. Summer blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Yeah unfortunately those looking for wholescale pattern change are kind of left wondering when it will happen. I wonder if we've ever had a summer with so few frontal passages? Well technically after Saturday we will see a fairly big pattern change. We have been dominated by ridging across much of the country, however, the eastern 1/3 of the US will be dominated by troughing through at least much of next week. Not saying it still won't be humid but we won't be dealing with temps into the 90's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Look at all the severe wx you have to show for it. Summer blows.1 fauxnado Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Well technically after Saturday we will see a fairly big pattern change. We have been dominated by ridging across much of the country, however, the eastern 1/3 of the US will be dominated by troughing through at least much of next week. Not saying it still won't be humid but we won't be dealing with temps into the 90's. It could actually turn inclement too if that front stalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 1 fauxnado 1 hypenado that turned out to be 1 fakenado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 It could actually turn inclement too if that front stalls. The ridging doesn't really re-develop in the western Atlantic this time, more towards west-central Atlantic so that could allow the front to stall in our vicinity and with a pretty strong ULJ/MLJ, the jet stream could be pretty active with lots of energy so we could have some days coming up that are like 75/67 with clouds and showers...maybe a t'storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Wiz has gained an incredible amount of knowledge or at lest the ability to express it. Nice to see. Definite big change Sunday - mid week. Thereafter are we beginning a rinse and repeat that gives us this week a few weeks down the road? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Look at all the severe wx you have to show for it. Summer blows.I don't need severe to enjoy summer wx in summer. Hopefully all summers from here on out are like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 I hope August features a cutoff low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 August 1st shows something interesting in the western Gulf... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 I don't need severe to enjoy summer wx in summer. Hopefully all summers from here on out are like thisEnjoy your NYC snow climo if global warming accelerates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 I am looking forward to Aug and Sept and tracking canes as they head Twds East Coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 I am looking forward to Aug and Sept and tracking canes as they head Twds East Coast Right there w ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 euro beats down the western US ridge a bit next week so it's a short lived cool down. ens are actually a little cooler now for a couple of days early next week. GFS hinting at more oppressive humidity late next week as well. At least we get a brief break early to mid next week. reminds of last weekend-supposed to be several days of nice weather and it got shorter and shorter as we approached it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 It seems everything is AWT at times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Imagine what MOS would be printing out if 850s were +22 or +23 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 3 days left in the quarter, 3 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 It's AWT, nothing has changed. There will also be a low to the south developing with cool temperatures into mid week. We turn warmer and muggy and then another fropa. Yep, looks more like more cooler days than warmer with frontal passages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 It seems everything is AWT at timesI think most of us said a near to slightly below for a couple of days and then a slow warmup. The high heat is done for awhile. We don't need a prolonged below normal period to call it a pattern change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Well technically after Saturday we will see a fairly big pattern change. We have been dominated by ridging across much of the country, however, the eastern 1/3 of the US will be dominated by troughing through at least much of next week. Not saying it still won't be humid but we won't be dealing with temps into the 90's. don"t bother Wiz, everyone has told him but once he makes a statement he does not have the nuts to retract. It is what it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 NAM MOS spitting out 94F for KBOS compared to 89F from GFS. Jeez. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 don"t bother Wiz, everyone has told him but once he makes a statement he does not have the nuts to retract. It is what it is. I don't know how anyone can look at the pattern from Sunday and beyond and not look at it as a pattern change. The only way I can think that is happening is if someone isn't actually looking at the models and simply trolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 Imagine what MOS would be printing out if 850s were +22 or +23 lol107F at TAN like 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 107F at TAN like 2011 Yeah exactly. I still don't get why it does this every time it gets hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 17, 2013 Share Posted July 17, 2013 I don't know how anyone can look at the pattern from Sunday and beyond and not look at it as a pattern change. The only way I can think that is happening is if someone isn't actually looking at the models and simply trolling.See here lies the whole problem. It's a change from high heat yes. No arguments there. It's not a wholesale regime change to dry and cool. That is a true pattern change. This whole thing started as 6-10 days of rain/ storms/ high dews and culminated into several different searing heat waves. We go back to warm, moist , wet with high dews after a 1-2 day break. Is it a change from 90's to cooler highs? Sure. Is it a pattern change to dry cool frequent fronts? No . Stop trying to misconstrue what this is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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