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July high heat WX disco


CapturedNature

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haven't seen euro weeklies but heard they look AOB going forward as well.

CFS is certainly cooler than normal (week 2 shown...but pretty similar throughout) and argues for the heat dome that is in the process of shifting west to shrink further and general mean troughing to persist over the northeast / lakes / ohio valley.

cmc ens basically locks in lower heights through new england and keeps them there for 2 weeks straight.

would be nice to get a more active weather pattern out of it. heat is fun and all to track...but i'm all set.

cfs_weeklies.jpg

great post
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I wonder if the Texas A&M atmos. sciences ob source differs from NWS...   They are reporting 72 dp at 3:54 and NWS has 71 for the same time:

 

The weather observed at BOSTON, MA (KBOS) at 03:54 PM EDT was:
The skies were partly cloudy.
Temperature: 97F ( 36C) Dewpoint: 72F ( 22C) Relative Humidity: 44%
Winds from the SW (240 degs) at 20 mph.
Pressure: 1006.9 millibars. Altimeter:29.74 inches of mercury.
The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

 

-vs-

 

191954 FEW060 SCT180 10 97 71 2417G25 G 32 069

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I wonder if the Texas A&M atmos. sciences ob source differs from NWS...   They are reporting 72 dp at 3:54 and NWS has 71 for the same time:

 

The weather observed at BOSTON, MA (KBOS) at 03:54 PM EDT was:

The skies were partly cloudy.

Temperature: 97F ( 36C) Dewpoint: 72F ( 22C) Relative Humidity: 44%

Winds from the SW (240 degs) at 20 mph.

Pressure: 1006.9 millibars. Altimeter:29.74 inches of mercury.

The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

 

-vs-

 

191954 FEW060 SCT180 10 97 71 2417G25 G 32 069

 

 

The NWS one is correct from what I have seen regarding actual temps. Dewpoints are less precise than temps though too, so its really just a trivial matter on which one is "correct".

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this is going to be a horrible night to be in a city. BOS will probably be sitting at like 88F at 10PM.

Launching pad at Fenway tonight.

I went to a Yankee ge about 50 years ago and it was a very hot night. Jim Bouton lost 9 lbs of water wt.

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I wonder if the Texas A&M atmos. sciences ob source differs from NWS...   They are reporting 72 dp at 3:54 and NWS has 71 for the same time:

 

The weather observed at BOSTON, MA (KBOS) at 03:54 PM EDT was:

The skies were partly cloudy.

Temperature: 97F ( 36C) Dewpoint: 72F ( 22C) Relative Humidity: 44%

Winds from the SW (240 degs) at 20 mph.

Pressure: 1006.9 millibars. Altimeter:29.74 inches of mercury.

The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

 

-vs-

 

191954 FEW060 SCT180 10 97 71 2417G25 G 32 069

i believe it's a conversion issue. c to f

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I wonder if the Texas A&M atmos. sciences ob source differs from NWS... They are reporting 72 dp at 3:54 and NWS has 71 for the same time:

The weather observed at BOSTON, MA (KBOS) at 03:54 PM EDT was:

The skies were partly cloudy.

Temperature: 97F ( 36C) Dewpoint: 72F ( 22C) Relative Humidity: 44%

Winds from the SW (240 degs) at 20 mph.

Pressure: 1006.9 millibars. Altimeter:29.74 inches of mercury.

The prevailing visibility was 10 miles.

-vs-

191954 FEW060 SCT180 10 97 71 2417G25 G 32 069

It's 71F. Sometimes during the hour they get duplicate obs and not all have the remarks. So the T group is 21.7C in the ob which is 71F, but if they get a remarkless ob then they decode the rounded 21.7C which is 22C. Convert that to F and you get 71.6F or something which is 72F. If you want the precise readings then the best way is to just view the raw METARs and to decode the T group in your head yourself.
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It's 71F. Sometimes during the hour they get duplicate obs and not all have the remarks. So the T group is 21.7C in the ob which is 71F, but if they get a remarkless ob then they decode the rounded 21.7C which is 22C. Convert that to F and you get 71.6F or something which is 72F. If you want the precise readings then the best way is to just view the raw METARs and to decode the T group in your head yourself.

 

Yeah makes sense ... Will's right it is a trivial matter, but I just wanted to get accustomed to any biases with the TAM product going forward.  That's acceptable though -

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On second look, their decoder just takes the reading from the body of the METAR so some values will get skipped when converted to F.

John, do you know METAR well? I know you're good with stuff like FOUS.

 

Yeah, we had to decode a lot of those as under-grads up there at UML.  But, what I am not sure of is if there are new codes implemented or any retired ones over the last decade.  

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Yeah, we had to decode a lot of those as under-grads up there at UML. But, what I am not sure of is if there are new codes implemented or any retired ones over the last decade.

I don't think much has changed other than PE to PL for sleet so that we don't get the RAPE obs.

Just look in the RMK section for the T group. the first 4 digits are temp in tenths C and the last 4 are dewpoint in tenths C. The first digit of each group is a 1 or a 0 for the sign. 0 = positive and 1 = negative. So an ob of 99/71 would be coded as T03720217 which reads temp = 37.2C and dew = 21.7C. You probably already know this, but maybe it'll help someone else reading.

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Sorry - not to be a jerk but this at a glance could almost be droll humor.

It's been there multiple obs in a row now. I don't think anyone is calling for a stretch of below normal temps, but other guidance supports it too. The cool down will verify this weekend after being progged from about d10. Persistence can be dangerous at our latitude.
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Man it's hot... MPV at 1200ft has a heat index of 95F with 89/71. I've got 90/71 at 800ft.

Anyone else seeing pretty crazy southwest winds today? Most spots up here seeing 20-30mph.

Massena (MSS) NY is currently 92/71 with a HI of 98F....and is SW 29G39.

That's like a hairdryer with 40mph winds blowing 98 apparent temp in your face.

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I don't think much has changed other than PE to PL for sleet so that we don't get the RAPE obs.

Just look in the RMK section for the T group. the first 4 digits are temp in tenths C and the last 4 are dewpoint in tenths C. The first digit of each group is a 1 or a 0 for the sign. 0 = positive and 1 = negative. So an ob of 99/71 would be coded as T03720217 which reads temp = 37.2C and dew = 21.7C. You probably already know this, but maybe it'll help someone else reading.

 

 

 

Oh yeah... I forgot about those. What a dope!  I could have answered my own question. :)

 

Yeah

KBOS 191954Z 24017G25KT 10SM FEW060 SCT180 36/22 A2974 RMK AO2 PK WND

26032/1920 SLP069 T03610217=

 

I read that as Boston, the 19th, at 19:54 hour (z time), wind 240 degrees at 17 gusting to 25 knots, ...less sure on "10 SM", but a few clouds at 6000 and 18000 respectively, 36C temp and 22C dp, Remarks: peak wind was 260 at 32kt   sea-lvl pressure 1006.9 and the temperature are +36.10, and +21.7 C\

 

It's good enough to understand pretty fluently what is going on...

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It's been there multiple obs in a row now. I don't think anyone is calling for a stretch of below normal temps, but other guidance supports it too. The cool down will verify this weekend after being progged from about d10. Persistence can be dangerous at our latitude.

It's not a pattern change....but it might be.

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Man it's hot... MPV at 1200ft has a heat index of 95F with 89/71. I've got 90/71 at 800ft.

Anyone else seeing pretty crazy southwest winds today? Most spots up here seeing 20-30mph.

Massena (MSS) NY is currently 92/71 with a HI of 98F....and is SW 29G39.

That's like a hairdryer with 40mph winds blowing 98 apparent temp in your face.

 

Lol, no schnikies!

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It's been there multiple obs in a row now. I don't think anyone is calling for a stretch of below normal temps, but other guidance supports it too. The cool down will verify this weekend after being progged from about d10. Persistence can be dangerous at our latitude.

 

It has been there.  Humor aside, I'm a little skeptical.  As I was mentioning the other day, the trough into the NE routine has been overplayed but the Euro --- actually, the GGEM is the worst for this.    I'm proceeding with question as more than couple times the those troughs haven't worked out too well.   

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Wow thought 100 was lock if they were 99 just after 1.

 

This will probably be the last chance on this ob.   Will and I did voice some doubts about these MOS products this morning, but even I was swung the other direction when I saw that.  Yet, slam!   typical....

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Oh yeah... I forgot about those. What a dope! I could have answered my own question. :)

Yeah

KBOS 191954Z 24017G25KT 10SM FEW060 SCT180 36/22 A2974 RMK AO2 PK WND

26032/1920 SLP069 T03610217=

I read that as Boston, the 19th, at 19:54 hour (z time), wind 240 degrees at 17 gusting to 25 knots, ...less sure on "10 SM", but a few clouds at 6000 and 18000 respectively, 36C temp and 22C dp, Remarks: peak wind was 260 at 32kt sea-lvl pressure 1006.9 and the temperature are +36.10, and +21.7 C\

It's good enough to understand pretty fluently what is going on...

10SM is visibility
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