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July high heat WX disco


CapturedNature

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That's an awful lot of easterly flow up here to be considered very swampy for D5-7...wet? Yes. Maybe if the D7 low goes inland we get the subtropical airmass, but the Euro tracks it over SE MA.  

 

It (the Euro) has been trying to do this all season with that range and it really hasn't succeeded too well.  Not sure what that is, whether it is related to its bias of lowering heights over SE Canada or not.  

 

I will say this, the WAR is little less prevalent but still enough to force a S flow at 850mbs for a couple of days... if there is an east west boundary underneath, and that can set up, then that is a HUGELY wet pattern.

 

I don't trust the deep trough carving out in the extended at all though.   Plays right into the bias there I think

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Well if BOS does it, it will be 3 out of past 4 years. Has that ever happened? (3 of 4 aoa 100 in any 4 year cycle on record?)

Funny you brought this up, Jer'

 

I was just thinking at lunch that out of the past 5 years, I think 3 of them had a hundo day in Boston, and I was wondering if that is a kind or record in its self.

 

I would be surprised if the 6-hourlies didn't pick up a 100 or 101 flash

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Norwood and springfield both 99

 

We may not make the MET highs at a lot of locations, but I wouldn't hang up the gloves on it nicking a buck at these sites.  Typically the high in this type of air mass and time of year is right around 4 to 4:15...actually closer to 4:45 down near Logan.   We'll see how it plays out.   

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Nope, just 99 on the 6-hourlies for Boston. 

 

Phew, dodged one there -- It could have gotten hot

 

Well that was the 18z high...we don't know if they hit 100F between 18z and 19z...but I would think some of our twitter friends would have gotten an update from BOX if they did. That, and the fact it dropped from 99 to 98 in that hour makes it tougher to think they did reach 100F. But we won't know for sure until the CLI comes out or if BOX gives an update that the high was 99 if BOS drops further in the next hour.

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Well that was the 18z high...we don't know if they hit 100F between 18z and 19z...but I would think some of our twitter friends would have gotten an update from BOX if they did. That, and the fact it dropped from 99 to 98 in that hour makes it tougher to think they did reach 100F. But we won't know for sure until the CLI comes out or if BOX gives an update that the high was 99 if BOS drops further in the next hour.

yeah there is nothing from them at this point.

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Well that was the 18z high...we don't know if they hit 100F between 18z and 19z...but I would think some of our twitter friends would have gotten an update from BOX if they did. That, and the fact it dropped from 99 to 98 in that hour makes it tougher to think they did reach 100F. But we won't know for sure until the CLI comes out or if BOX gives an update that the high was 99 if BOS drops further in the next hour.

 

Yeah, I know -- just being a dh

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For those that "want" the 100 (posterity or whatever ...)  you are kinda getting gypped.   ALB was 96 last hour, and it's usually 5F warmer in BOS than ALB on this sort of wind trajectory.  That's 101 but ... heh, we ain't there.  

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That last one is almost not believable (102 is 2 off the alltime record, nevermind the date), but I guess it happened. It was at the older site further away from the water, so that probably gave it a slightly better chance.

 

Those are also NYC's only Sept triples, 101 in 1881 and 102 in 1953.

 

Thanks for the 8/2/75 info.  If they maintained the 70 TD as the temp touched 102, I think the HI would've been 109-110.

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You can tell that the sun is starting to go below the hill by my house from the temperature readings.  After being 90-91 all afternoon it starting going down right after 1500:

 

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KCTSTAFF4

 

I'll have to see what the mercury thermometer reads when I get home for the actual high but I always enjoy skipping the last couple of hours of baking on a day like this.

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