weathafella Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Pretty good breeze going but it could be the warmest cbreeze I've ever felt in sne. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 MET 101 for BOS tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 winds are so light over the interior...this seabreeze may penetrate quite a ways westward and northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 visible on tdwr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 I'm running a little behind yesterday's pace despite a warmer start. 86F yesterday at 11am....only 81F today at 11am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 I'm sure you fine folks have hit on this but the NAM just went to plad on the heat for tomorrow. KASH NAM MOS N/X 71 102 74 90 66 That's ASH. BOS is 101 Looks like 850mb is right around 20.5 to 21.5, which is right about 100 (in that model), but as Taunton has noted in recent AFDs, the mixing depth has been extending to 800mb in this, and that would support eclipsing the century mark, tomorrow. Interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 wow... ASH, FIT, BED, BOS....everyone at or over 100 in the NAM mos for tomorrow. not sure I buy it just yet... though it's thermal fields may or may not support, they could also be overdone to begin with. Have to look it over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Boy...I hope we can pop some convection and crisscross some outflow boundaries... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 wow... ASH, FIT, BED, BOS....everyone at or over 100 in the NAM mos for tomorrow. not sure I buy it just yet... though it's thermal fields may or may not support, they could also be overdone to begin with. Have to look it over. Good luck on the century mark. BTW, you can keep that skanky high heat down there. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 I'm sure you fine folks have hit on this but the NAM just went to plad on the heat for tomorrow. KASH NAM MOS N/X 71 102 74 90 66 That's ASH. BOS is 101 Looks like 850mb is right around 20.5 to 21.5, which is right about 100 (in that model), but as Taunton has noted in recent AFDs, the mixing depth has been extending to 800mb in this, and that would support eclipsing the century mark, tomorrow. Interesting. Toasty, toasty. Seeing some 22C+ 850's, courtesy PSU E-Wall: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 looks like a heat wave is a slam dunk for ORH. They did nick 90 yesterday (in the books!) and it's already 88 there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Good luck on the century mark. BTW, you can keep that skanky high heat down there. LOL The 00z Euro had the one day inferno at 850mb for tomorrow, too. Huh - maybe that's the apex day in this lengthy run. Looking things over, looks like fropa is between 06z and 12z overnight Sat into Sun morning. Prefrontal trough does time favorably for late saturday after and evening for some convection. Sunday is going to be a whole lot different. NAM total 500mb thickness and 850mb still would allow mid 80s, but the DP will be in the 50s and just is going to feel a lot different if that happens. Thankfully -- at this point I feel like one of those rotisserie chickens you get that groc. store. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 The relief at nahant beach now is immeasureable as i type. 84 steady strong breeze, no sweat at all in beach chair! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Sea breeze is knocking. Rising air has to be replaced (Boston Harbor) by something. Last time I experienced 100F+ was back in the Service days 118F in Tucson Az. That was a dry heat. I wish I could drive or walk a visit to the beach would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Toasty, toasty. Seeing some 22C+ 850's, courtesy PSU E-Wall: t85w34.gif Yeah, GFS now over 21C, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Sea breeze is knocking. Rising air has to be replaced (Boston Harbor) by something. Last time I experienced 100F+ was back in the Service days 118F in Tucson Az. That was a dry heat. I wish I could drive or walk a visit to the beach would be nice. 106F and humid two years ago late July in Baltimore... broke the all time temp record. That was an unbelievable day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 seabreeze passing 128 now. not a huge change behind hit...but certainly 80s near the shore...and a drop in the td Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 seabreeze passing 128 now. not a huge change behind hit...but certainly 80s near the shore...and a drop in the td Good call on it flying west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 I'm starting to think this is legit for tomorrow guys. KFIT was 94 at noon, today -- a full 2F higher than yesterday at the same hour, and they managed a 96 for a high there. KBED was 92 at noon, today -- a full 3F higher than yesterday at the same hour, and they managed a 94 for a high there. Bedford may get breezed here shortly so that would likely cap them, but for FIT and other interior places, with thermal fields a tick warmer than yesterday and current trends... 97 to 99 is quite doable today, and with DPs holding in the 67 to 70 range, HIs over a hundo should be pretty common for several hours. We may have to wait for the 6-hourlies to see the absolute highs, but these sites should linger at 96 where not influenced by advancing sea-breeze. Tomorrow, ...it can get even hotter! All guidance now on the same page and adding a full 1 to 2C into the 850mb, in an air mass that has routinely been exceeding that sigma level as far as the mixing depth goes. The standard adiabat from 800mb tomorrow would suppor 100-104 across the area, and that is precisely what the usually less dependable NAM MOS (MET) is indicating. However, given to the other observed params/trends on-going and so forth, this may be one of those times to take that product seriously. Even the MAV is now 99, 98 and 98 for BED, FIT and BOS respectively. I'm willing to take the average and go with 100. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Sort of a FL sultry, salty feel to the air...the type on those real sticky days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 seabreeze passing 128 now. not a huge change behind hit...but certainly 80s near the shore...and a drop in the tdYeah still damn hot when you reflect on it. Some summers we barely make a heat wave at BOS... this summer is a freak extreme. What an incredible week of heat. I can't remember the sky being this clear and this hot here for so long. No backdoor 1/4sm fog stratus of death backing over west in the harbor this summer. Mighty cap too. Shame no EML's. EML's are rare and one of the last times I saw a truly severe storm was an EML storm on June 1 2010 in Belmont. Tree toppling microburst when the core of the storm collapsed just previous to reaching the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 The downfall to 100 tomorrow is a more SW wind (but no real marine influence). Not an ideal downslope dandy of a wind, but it will get close perhaps..especially perhaps places further north where they can downslope off the ORH hills and Monads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 A pack an extra pair of socks for work day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 92/75 102 heat index My home station graph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 The downfall to 100 tomorrow is a more SW wind (but no real marine influence). Not an ideal downslope dandy of a wind, but it will get close perhaps..especially perhaps places further north where they can downslope off the ORH hills and Monads. Tomorrow has a northeast MA and SNH torch look to it with WSW flow at H85... FIT/ASH/CON/LWM area is going to bake. Hope Tip has multiple AC units aimed at his work station. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 18, 2013 Author Share Posted July 18, 2013 I checked the temp in my shelter about 1230 and it looks like the max tickled 90°. I usually reach my peak between now and 1530. Unless tomorrow beats it, today is probably the peak of summer for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 seabreezed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 Sort of a FL sultry, salty feel to the air...the type on those real sticky days. Have to go check out the water temps in the near-shore buoys; one would think that they are up ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 If today is any semblance of the previous 4 than this SB is of short duration. Like clockwork the wind will shift back and the temp in turn will spike between 2-3. Tomorrow is looking like an UNBELIEVABLE WICKED SCORCHA! running out of words describing hot....LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tstorm723 Posted July 18, 2013 Share Posted July 18, 2013 looks like a heat wave is a slam dunk for ORH. They did nick 90 yesterday (in the books!) and it's already 88 there. I live 1.3 miles west of the airport and I just hit 91.3F (highest yet this year) so they should get there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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