Chicago Storm Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 prepare to be let down Most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 About 81/73 here. Partly to mostly sunny skies. That boundary coming out down through ARX is probably the only hope for things to fire off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Non-severe, but picked up around an inch in 30 min with the storms that rolled through with some 30mph gusts and occasional C2C lightning. Decent enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Lol at all the tor warned cells being outside of the risk areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Did get a reasonable wind-driven downpour. Very little thunder though (3 negligible faint rumbles), as the storms were falling apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 About 81/73 here. Partly to mostly sunny skies. That boundary coming out down through ARX is probably the only hope for things to fire off. I see that. And I keep looking at the radars to see if its firing off. I'll give it another hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Despite that boundary out west, I just noticed some low clouds pass me that are trying to build up. Hauling ass. Just zoomed past my view area outside. Tease. Just a slap on the face really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 visible says absolutely nothing will be going up over a massive area with high likely pops less than 12 hours ago...modest bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Yeah thanks, Iowa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 visible says absolutely nothing will be going up over a massive area with high likely pops less than 12 hours ago...modest bust Yeah I think we can punt this like LOT said. Probably see a line tomorrow with the actual front. 81/76 right now. yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Looks like capping is an issue. 12C at 700mb nosing into the DBQ area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 If morning convection/clouds actually stay away from Iowa (yeah right) it could be pretty interesting. As usual, it's a big time conditional threat. Typical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boogieman Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Got just enough rain here to push it to 90% humidity... absolutely stifling. Not even enough to go out and stand in the rain to cool off. The heaviest rains missed us by about three miles to the north. We got glorified drizzle. Central AC core is froze up from all the humidity so we've been trying to deal with window fans to keep cool... it's like having steam coming in the windows. Is that retarded cold front here yet? We hit 88 just before the "storms" went through. Airport ASOS (less than 3mi away) says it's 73 there but IMBY it is reading 79. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 10, 2013 Author Share Posted July 10, 2013 Pretty sizable fail regionwide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Pretty sizable fail regionwide. That didn't even rate a "See Text". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Yeah thanks, Obama Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 I'm perfectly fine with tonight being a bust. This will help Detroit make a last minute rally for its first 90*F high and severe weather before the cold front passes through tommorrow with ample morning sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Hopefully the cells in northeast/east Iowa will build up during the night and head this way. Hopefully get a rumble at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 a lonely cell fired up near Waterloo. Too little, too late it would appear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Initiation occurring west of DBQ...Towering CU along the rest of the front. Locked and loaded for a lightning photo op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 What kind of convection is that in Iowa? LLJ action? Just a warm, really humid night otherwise. 79/75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 What kind of convection is that in Iowa? LLJ action? Just a warm, really humid night otherwise. 79/75 Mid levels must have cooled just enough after sundown that the CF finally ignited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 9pm update from LOT still says little support for organized convection tonight/overnight. Cell in NE Iowa still going, and now a new cell popped west of Madison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Initiation occurring west of DBQ...Towering CU along the rest of the front. Locked and loaded for a lightning photo op. enjoy the show! ORD at 82/76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Cells really struggling to maintain. Tops have collapsed on a few of the individual cells. Not too impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 I'm perfectly fine with tonight being a bust. This will help Detroit make a last minute rally for its first 90*F high and severe weather before the cold front passes through tommorrow with ample morning sunshine. Total forecast bust. Good thing I drove to my destination instead of waiting for storms in Iowa. I drove east, and almost the whole time I saw the mid-clouds left over from the morning convection. I didn't encounter any really hot temperatures in Iowa or Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Great work on my part... Andy if you have one axe in your head I need two..based on what I posted at 12:46 am 07/09...I said this. "I completely agree with the SPC outlooks for day one, as a matter of fact, I was kind of perplexed by the afternoon day 2 outlook posted earlier on 07/08, based on the more consistent Euro output I thought the center line of the 30% risk area should run from DMX to Green Bay. With the hatched hail risk overlaid with the 30% wind outlook I could see some wind driven 2" hail events." When I got up this morning to approaching storms near the metro TC, I said ok the system did develop, but coming this early it should allow us to destabilize during the rest of the day. As the Euro was depicting a surface low over the international border dragging a cold front into the TC metro area about 23z or so. By about 830 this morning as I was getting ready to leave for work I pulled up the visable 1km satellite from the COD site centered on MPX and it showed a nice clearing trend in SW MN that should transverse into the metro area. But at the same time I saw something disturbing around the Alexandria MN area as well, so I overlaid the wind vectors and saw a nice low pressure system near that area. That formation was interesting as it could act to bring the frontal passage sooner than expected thus not allowing us to destabilize as most models were showing. Sure enough, even though we saw a clearing trend in the late morning we got some good cloud cover during the afternoon. I personally think this was big win by the 09/06z Reg Gem as it showed this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 a very difficult forecast as the SPC eluded to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Well the one storm that remains in Iowa is a pretty strong one. Tops over 50kft now, and seems to be maintaining. Looks like it should head towards the west side of Cedar Rapids with a small hail threat. The rest of the front remains silent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minnesota Meso Posted July 10, 2013 Share Posted July 10, 2013 Well the one storm that remains in Iowa is a pretty strong one. Tops over 50kft now, and seems to be maintaining. Looks like it should head towards the west side of Cedar Rapids with a small hail threat. The rest of the front remains silent. quickly dieing out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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