Geos Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Impressive rainfall rates in SE WI. (not quite as intense the GTA experienced though). 1.76"/hr, Caledonia, WI by Racine, WI. 1.92"/hr, Milwaukee, WI 1.96"/hr, Shorewood, WI 0.76"/hr, Oak Creek, WI Edit: Another storm commencing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 The southern end of the line built up quite nicely. Heavy rain and constant thunder here. Not severe though. Seems like the air is thick enough to cut with a knife right now. Rain down for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YHM Supercell Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 SWS Just issued for parts of Southern Ontario for the potential of strong thunderstorms tonight/tomorrow. 176 WOCN11 CWTO 091848 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 2:48 PM EDT TUESDAY 9 JULY 2013. --------------------------------------------------------------------- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR: =NEW= CITY OF TORONTO =NEW= WINDSOR - ESSEX - CHATHAM-KENT =NEW= SARNIA - LAMBTON =NEW= ELGIN =NEW= LONDON - MIDDLESEX =NEW= SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK =NEW= DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND =NEW= OXFORD - BRANT =NEW= NIAGARA =NEW= CITY OF HAMILTON =NEW= HALTON - PEEL =NEW= YORK - DURHAM =NEW= HURON - PERTH =NEW= WATERLOO - WELLINGTON =NEW= DUFFERIN - INNISFIL =NEW= GREY - BRUCE =NEW= BARRIE - ORILLIA - MIDLAND =NEW= PARRY SOUND - MUSKOKA =NEW= HALIBURTON =NEW= ALGONQUIN =NEW= BURK'S FALLS - BAYFIELD INLET. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. --------------------------------------------------------------------- ==DISCUSSION== A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO CROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO EARLY WEDNESDAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVOURABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE TROUGH OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD CONTAIN TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS, DAMAGING WINDS, AND LARGE HAIL. THE LOCATION AND COVERAGE OF THE STORMS IS VERY UNCERTAIN. ENVIRONMENT CANADA WILL MONITOR THIS SITUATION CLOSELY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES MAY BE ISSUED THIS EVENING AS MORE DATA BECOMES AVAILABLE. THE PUBLIC IS ADVISED TO MONITOR FUTURE STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS CLOSELY. END Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 saw this dud of a day coming a mile away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted July 9, 2013 Author Share Posted July 9, 2013 Having trouble pulling up current satellite for some reason but based on obs it looks like a good chunk of Iowa into southwestern WI is experiencing good heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Having trouble pulling up current satellite for some reason but based on obs it looks like a good chunk of Iowa into southwestern WI is experiencing good heating. yeah...rap is weird today...been using this... http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/wisc/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 I bet the CAPE is going to skyrocket once that clearing gets here. 76/74 here right now. 0.77" of rain today now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Cleared off in Rockford after the rain shower. Walked into the mall and it was pouring, walked out, sunny an very sticky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 moisture transport improving behind the line of showers in the LOT region...PWATs behind the line also rebounding up to 2.2...ample clearing...I suppose there should/could be some left over boundaries from the more organized convection in Eastern Iowa earlier today to possibly get something going later this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 18z LOT update is close to a punt with only low chances into this evening...mentions better chances south into central IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 saw this dud of a day coming a mile awayJust a turd of a day. I'm outside. Getting some drizzle right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0300 PM CDT TUE JUL 09 2013 VALID 092000Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS EWD INTO THE OHIO VALLEY... TWO PRIMARY CHANGES HAVE BEEN MADE WITH THIS OUTLOOK. FIRST...REMOVED SLIGHT RISK ACROSS MUCH OF WI/NERN MN WHERE STABILIZING INFLUENCE OF MORNING CONVECTION AND WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER HAVE MITIGATED AFTERNOON DESTABILIZATION...WITH VALUES GENERALLY AOB 1000 J/KG OF MLCAPE. AN ISOLATED SVR TSTM CANNOT BE RULED OUT WHERE MODEST ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION IN THE VICINITY OF SURFACE BOUNDARIES AND 30-40 KTS OF EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR IS PRESENT...BUT COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE TOO SPARSE FOR 15 PERCENT PROBS AND SLIGHT RISK. THE SECOND SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IS TO EXTEND THE SLIGHT RISK FARTHER WEST ACROSS PORTIONS OF IOWA WHERE HEATING/DESTABILIZATION HAS OCCURRED IN ADVANCE OF SURFACE TROUGH/FRONT. SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S RESIDE BENEATH ERN EDGE OF STEEPER MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...RESULTING IN MLCAPE VALUES BETWEEN 2000 AND 3000 J/KG. EFFECTIVE SHEARS WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED TSTMS WITH A SVR WIND AND HAIL THREAT WITH ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 End stage complex tomorrow morning and a miss south/east tomorrow afternoon/evening. meh $ call Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 LOT officially punted with the afternoon AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 $ call yeah...spiked that one pretty good....threat isn't dead imo, but certainly waning EDIT: sidenote....holy surfaced base CAPE in NW Mizzu....5700+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Algonquin. Port Edward at Rt. 31 & Fox River. Sun just broke out. Getting hot and soupy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Algonquin. Port Edward at Rt. 31 & Fox River. Sun just broke out. Getting hot and soupy. crab leg time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Destabilization has rapidly occurred in the wake of early activity across IA/SW. WI/N. IL. Nice CU field in part of the area too... The question is will frontal forcing and a weak wave be enough to pop decent storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Destabilization has rapidly occurred in the wake of early activity across IA/SW. WI/N. IL. Nice CU field in part of the area too... The question is will frontal forcing and a weak wave be enough to pop decent storms. If northeast IA goes like it looks like it could, should come right at you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Shear looking decent in eastern Iowa and SW Wisco.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevlon62 Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Algonquin. Port Edward at Rt. 31 & Fox River. Sun just broke out. Getting hot and soupy. crab leg time? Tuesday night delight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chase_stormz Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Destabilization has rapidly occurred in the wake of early activity across IA/SW. WI/N. IL. Nice CU field in part of the area too... The question is will frontal forcing and a weak wave be enough to pop decent storms. Really nice supercell composite and significant tornado parameter increases towards 00z-01z across north central illinois if something can go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Shear looking decent in eastern Iowa and SW Wisco.... Yeah there's still a chance. And cloud cover is going to clear up soon too. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 84/79 in Pontiac....deliciousness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Should start to clear nicely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Castaway Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 79/73 currently in dupage county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nwohweather Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Storm damage here in Genoa, Ohio. I get a phone call, come home and downed branches and even one down tree of pretty good size Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 Full sunshine overhead. 82/75. As long as the energy is available, it might as well be used. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 If northeast IA goes like it looks like it could, should come right at you.That's what I'm hoping for. Really would like a lightning photo op at least. Would be perfect to sit on one of these hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted July 9, 2013 Share Posted July 9, 2013 That's what I'm hoping for. Really would like a lightning photo op at least. Would be perfect to sit on one of these hills. prepare to be let down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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