DLI4SCwx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Canadian qpf: HKY/iNT/GSO/IGX/RDU/RWI: .5 roughly BNA/TYS/TNB/ATL/AVL/GSP/CLT/FAY: .5-.75 AHN/AGS/CAE/FLO/MYR/ILM: .75-1.00 Do you by chance know what the Euro totals are? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farleydawg79 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yes please! How much of that do you think will be snow for Athens? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I see we have 47 guests... sign on up folks....... No reason to remain nameless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Do you by chance know what the Euro totals are? 1/4th-1/3rd of that depending on your location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Correct me if Im wrong but wouldn't the NW burbs of Atlanta be just as well off on this one. Is CAD really that big of a factor in this storm? People are quick to include the NE burbs in everything but not all of us live on that side of the state. I'll go back to my eager reading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Correct me if Im wrong but wouldn't the NW burbs of Atlanta be just as well of on this one. Is CAD really that big of a factor in this storm? People are quick to include the NE burbs in everything but not all of us live on that side of the state. I'll go back to my eager reading. IMHO...I think all of Atlanta would do good per today's canadian and EURO. Personally I can't recall a past situation where the NE burbs got snow while the rest of ATL got screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Plenty of time for the low to get right...and get down to Fla. If not, well, we can enjoy our rain and make up drinking songs about how much we wish N.C. would share the snow...just once Another warm day here...48.5, 49.8, and 50...take your pick. T I'll bring the guitar..... the Jose is already on ice just waiting for 12/31 Currently 48.9 here at work...... T - 1 hour and 29 minutes before my Christmas vacation begins Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Correct me if Im wrong but wouldn't the NW burbs of Atlanta be just as well off on this one. Is CAD really that big of a factor in this storm? People are quick to include the NE burbs in everything but not all of us live on that side of the state. I'll go back to my eager reading. Further east has more liquid as the low intensifies, but I thinkl most of the north ATL burbs do well.. From what I see, could be wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Folks, folks........I'm a total weenie and I know it. That is why I rarely post. And with this event the number of useless posts is going to skyrocket to the point where I have to block many of you just to keep up with the METS and more educated posters. PLEASE refrain from commentary unless you have substance to add. It makes the board unreadable when you log in and have to sort through 250 posts just to find the model discussion. Not trying to be negative, just practical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
georgiawx11 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Further east has more liquid as the low intensifies, but I thinkl most of the north ATL burbs do well.. From what I see, could be wrong Further east has more liquid ? I thought I read somewhere that OKC could get over 1" of precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 How things changed...I can't wait for their afternoon disco. They'll probably play things down for now since we're still far out and this is a relatively recent trend, but this is shaping up to be a fun week for our WFOs... I see a lot of people will be glued to models and this forum. Fun times aheah for sure! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fig Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Wow this thing looks good thus far! Of course I'll probably get screwed being down here on the SE coast of NC (all forecasts have me at 55ish and rain ), but it looks like 90% of NC could have a white Christmas!!! Reel this one in boys and girls! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ams30721us Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 How things changed...I can't wait for their afternoon disco. They'll probably play things down for now since we're still far out and this is a relatively recent trend, but this is shaping up to be a fun week for our WFOs... Ha I am actually gonna be heading back south to Dalton tonight and will be filling in this week and next for the holidays at my old station so I am getting a little excited myself on possible forecasts! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 here is a good read on Miller A / B Page 22 and on. http://www.soest.hawaii.edu/MET/Dept/meteorology/Faculty/businger/PDF/DOC17.pdf Why is all snow from a Miller A more unlikely in Late December than it is in January ?There has to be a reason behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 And we will certainly start getting lots of these posts for "when the next model run" is? (Thanks Daculaweather!) http://www.daculaweather.com/dacula_model_update.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EmersonGA Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Further east has more liquid as the low intensifies, but I thinkl most of the north ATL burbs do well.. From what I see, could be wrong Both March storms the past 2 years reminded me of this. This storm seems a little different. It seems to have its act together a little sooner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Cold Rain has posted a new thread: http://www.americanw...stmas-storm-ii/ And it's still GUARANTEED!!!! he said to post in this one till we get to 50 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Czar Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I wonder if Cheez will post euro ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lee Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I wouldnt' sweat the QPF amounts. Even in .50 to .75" amount liquid, theres going to be some good ratios on the north sheild. During 1988 (colder aloft I know) the storm only dropped about .25" or so if I recall, yet that was widespread 10" to 15" amounts. If youre in the north side, the amounts are going to be good I think. The models continue getting colder beause the NF vortex is so strong. The wave in the Southwest coming into Texas is due east the whole track. Its a golden setup, great overunning, and great qpf maker, even though its not labeled as that yet, It will be over time I think. Excellent divergence as well. Still the biggest question is the northenr stream. I know i'm a litlle late with this reply foot, but, speaking of the '88 storm, remember it well and yeah this is beginning to look an awful lot like that one. It was a dry one here in my neck of the woods but, as you said, high ratios allowed us to pick up a decent fall of 7 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 he said to post in this one till we get to 50 lol Reading fail on my part, LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepSouthSC Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 The amounts on the mods seem kinda low to me given the setup. The strength and size of the 500mb vort on the euro at day 5 sitting in TX would argue for a pretty big precip shield. There will certainly be a noticeable UL vortex in TX on the Water vapor in a few days if the mods are right. I'm glad I read through the last 4 or 5 pages. I was gonna ask a question, concerning the precip shield. That is one thing I noticed played a major role in the February 12th, 2010 snowstorm (as, far as amount and duration) in this neck-of-the-woods. Appreciate it, HKY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 They make me want to throw up with their VA north bias. I've boycotted reading their discos. Here is how it works on AmericanWx and with the HPC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Sad but true. However, I think te powers that be here, are better at keeping us SE folks in the mix! Here is how it works on AmericanWx and with the HPC: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCStateMMY Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Here is how it works on AmericanWx and with the HPC: Kinda like how TWC always seems to have the rain/snow EXACTLY on the NC/VA border whenever there is a winter wather threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keithinala Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Sad but true. However, I think te powers that be here, are better at keeping us SE folks in the mix! You missed the part that this thread goes to 50 first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I'm glad I read through the last 4 or 5 pages. I was gonna ask a question, concerning the precip shield. That is one thing I noticed played a major role in the February 12th, 2010 snowstorm in this neck-of-the-woods. Appreciate it, HKY! Where's your neck of the woods? You need to update your settings and input your location! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I am amazed that JB is sticking with his I-70 to I-80 snowstorm........then up the coast, in light of all the data trending south. IMO there is a lot bigger chance of a snowfall south of I-70(and it's looking like I-20 to I-40 becoming more likely. It's not like it will be his first miss though I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I'm glad I read through the last 4 or 5 pages. I was gonna ask a question, concerning the precip shield. That is one thing I noticed played a major role in the February 12th, 2010 snowstorm in this neck-of-the-woods. Appreciate it, HKY! This setup is kinda similar to January 29, 2010. Notice the radar image from that system below... Juicy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rob Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Nothing could be better for Xmas in Nashville than what is be depicted. I guess us here in TN have our own region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 You guys are hilarious, it is true about their disco's. :gun_bandana: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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