Wow Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 This runs colder at 850 over Northern GA/AL/MS. By 12z Sat 850 zero from Athens to ATL to BHM thru the northern half of MS. definitely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 "That High pressure is headed south like a locomotive going downhill" (my favorite Keith Jacksonism) You are the Keith Jackson of weather play by play!!!! Literally hanging on the edge of my chair...this far out too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 One effect of all of this is DELAYING the onset of precip quite a bit -- instead of Christmas Eve it's Christmas Day. 1012 low in Fl, and snow over most of the interior Southeast at 126. Looks like good amounts have already occurred in N. Ala, Ga, Tenn and western Carolinas. Cold! Snow is about to ATL or the burbs. The full phase maybe delayed or denied thanks to the strong newfoundland vortex though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Well the track of the surface feature is excellent for most of us. The model doesn't generate a ton of precip , but several inches is not shabby. Intesnifying low over southe Georgia and snow all over the Carolinas, north and west of CAE is the line, east Tenn to southeast Ky and Va. Looks like as the coastal gets going most eveyrone goes over (like CAE and southeast NC where initially rain) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Surface temp here of 26!!!! as the snow starts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 1012 low in Fl, and snow over most of the interior Southeast at 126. Looks like good amounts have already occurred in N. Ala, Ga, Tenn and western Carolinas. Cold! Snow is about to ATL or the burbs. The full phase maybe delayed or denied thanks to the strong newfoundland vortex though Looks just delayed...at hr 138 things look good to ride the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 This Euro is looking very similar to the CMC- would be snow for a lot of folks including far north and NE Georgia, probably just a very close miss here. If this is true a Xmas road trip up to the NE part of the state seems in order... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RaleighWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 pretty sweet run here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 996mb over or east of HAT at 144 . Eastern NC is getting hammerd by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 You will like this then!! Holy baby jebus Can I frame this or send it to the 12Z guidance for Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 FYI, 850's are remarkably colder here this run...by 3c or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Any QPF details? Hard to believe the Gulf wouldn't be tapped with a low over Mobile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 You will like this then!! Man, feels like I'm in a dream or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Looks just delayed...at hr 138 things look good to ride the coast. How far north does the precip get? Does any of it make it into NW KY? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Any QPF details? Hard to believe the Gulf wouldn't be tapped with a low over Mobile. We sacrifice a tenth of qpf for colder 850's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Man, feels like I'm in a dream or something. Here is the link to the animation up through 120 hours. http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DLI4SCwx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Did the Euro trend more towards the GGEM run solution? That GGEM run was cool as ice for a lot of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Any QPF details? Hard to believe the Gulf wouldn't be tapped with a low over Mobile. Ignore the QPF numerical output until we're within 72 hours. But, yes, by the track of this system originating from the Gulf, it should have plenty of moisture to pull from. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 wow i hope this can hold for 4 days but i have a feeling it wont. but this kind of storm can be picked up a littler sooner than others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 QPF a little less than what I would expect in Upstate SC into NC. But that is a detail that I will not quibble with and is likely not overly accurate at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Burger, put the cherry on top and spill the qpf for the fun of it. Charlotte surface in mid 20's got be some good ratios as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 This Euro is looking very similar to the CMC- would be snow for a lot of folks including far north and NE Georgia, probably just a very close miss here. If this is true a Xmas road trip up to the NE part of the state seems in order... I'll take this is a dream run. Love the track of all teh features involved, and for LOTS of the southeast, you' cant beat this. of course not every single location wil hit the jackpot, but this is the best setup to give many of us the most possible. A greatest common denominator. I'd say the snow DOES get to ATL but they re ont eh line verbatim, the trend though is a little colder. With the surface low so far south, their in the Game but a safer bet now is the I-20 and north. Its overall very remininscent of Jan 88 but without a jetstreak ahead of the overrunning, dont know haven't seen that yet. The GGEM had the looks for sure. Great run, we can worry about amounts later. If the phase is later and not aas strong, then it won't be a big time dumping snow, but some places getting over 6" is a good snowstorm in my opinion. The fact it starts in less than 5 days is great as well. Hopefully things trend better and better. You' can't ask for a better past 24 hours of model watching, ever , probably for the Southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beanskip Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Can you give us a general idea on the QPF the Euro paints? QPF a little less than what I would expect in Upstate SC into NC. But that is a detail that I will not quibble with and is likely not overly accurate at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Folks go ahead and save this quote. Read as needed over the next few days!!!! QPF a little less than what I would expect in Upstate SC into NC. But that is a detail that I will not quibble with and is likely not overly accurate at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Euro at 144 per Allan's site: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msuwx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 All in all, some very good stuff for snow fans on the 12z data. Couldn't ask for anything better for most of the region at this stage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 It would probably be fun to visit the Mid-Atlantic and Philly threads about now, while we are whooping it up about this run, they are likely not too happy... Seriously, there is a long way to go here folks- but at this point the trend is certainly our friend.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BNAwx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Man, feels like I'm in a dream or something. I hear ya! Nice to come back from lunch and see 5 new pages of GOOD news! It'll make the Chinese buffet I had for lunch digest a little better.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HWY316wx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 This Euro is looking very similar to the CMC- would be snow for a lot of folks including far north and NE Georgia, probably just a very close miss here. If this is true a Xmas road trip up to the NE part of the state seems in order... Cheeze, not to be fical, but the CMC at face value would be a hit for the NE burbs... even looks I-20 northward at the 12Z mark on Christmas day. One thing is for sure, the trend has come south.... I hate being on that fine line, a ton of models between now and Saturday for sure. At least we are in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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