WeatherNC Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 144 hour. A 1004 low in myrtle beach, snow all over GA, the Caarolinas, Va eastern Ky. GREAT RUN!!! Now, to calculate the totals. From the sounds of it, you may just be better off posting that 18z DGEX sn-map from yesterday. Know if we can just get this to hold, but why do I have the feeling that will not be the case. I would feel much better if this is an OTS track too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 the size of the PNA ridge out west into Canada is enourmous and sends the s/w sharpening up and phasing it looks like . By 114 to 120 low is in central Louisaina. Unbelievablely gorgeous look so far. Hopefully nothing collapses. I really like the looks of this. Cold is pretty far south. Unbelieveable is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 .36 at AKH through 7PM on Christmas day. Unfreakin' real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdevil Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Is the Euro fairly accurate this far out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Is the Euro fairly accurate this far out? In my opinion, the Euro is one of the best models if not the best one to follow in the 3-7 day range. Still a long ways to go though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 on Va. Beach at 150, and starting to stack at 500. Huge deep trough is going to catchi it in the Ohio Valley. Big noreaster probably, after we've been dumped on. AWESOME track, now can we truly get this to hold? I'll worry about tems later (even though there fine for mos to fNC) I thnk with crashing heights, more of the Southeast will be in snow than implied, including Atlanta, if the gulf track holds up. Awesome look to this. I'd take this and be happy with 70 degrees from here on out. A White Christmas!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 heights and thicknesses crashing behind the system...probably numerous snow showers given rh numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdevil Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Thanks lilj4425 More accurate than the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 .36 at AKH through 7PM on Christmas day. Unfreakin' real. I won't sweat any qpf totals yet. Its a good half inch equivalent. Nice invertedd trough, damming frm the start, Gulf coast hugger, crashing heights, going negative just in the right spot Perfecto!! I'd take it ina flash. I know the qpf will be more than shown if we get that good of a 5H system. Its not weak at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 STILL snowing at 12z on the day after christmas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rankin5150 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Is the Euro fairly accurate this far out? Yes. Most dependable (from what I ascertain from the Pros) LR model out there. Thats why they call it Dr. NO. When it shows something going wrong (no wintry wx) then peeps start freaking out, because it has such a good track record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rob Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Yeah, the Euro was worth staying up for tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Is the Euro fairly accurate this far out? yes it does usually, BUT in this extreme case take it with a grain of salt until we can see multiple runs with this. But the ggem and ukie track it from akansas to alabama to norfolk . and the ggem had the storm going up the coast as well so imo this solution should be taken seriously but nothing for sure at all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Is the Euro fairly accurate this far out? The euro is my favorite model but it was not to accurate on Saturday's storm from this range. Hopefully things will be different w/ this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Ok guys, we've got the solution that most of us want...lets see if this can develop into a trend. Remember, you cant call it a trend until it shows up for 3 or 4 model runs. For all we know, the OP could be a huge outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I won't sweat any qpf totals yet. Its a good half inch equivalent. Nice invertedd trough, damming frm the start, Gulf coast hugger, crashing heights, going negative just in the right spot Perfecto!! I'd take it ina flash. I know the qpf will be more than shown if we get that good of a 5H system. Its not weak at all. Fresh snowpack...crashing 850's...could be a real cold night on the 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Carvers Gap Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Ok guys, we've got the solution that most of us want...lets see if this can develop into a trend. Remember, you cant call it a trend until it shows up for 3 or 4 model runs. For all we know, the OP could be a huge outlier. So true. Time to keep it level, but wow! The new server for AmericaWx is about to be tested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 One of the most orgasmic model runs I have ever seen, only 5 days out. Only way it gets any better is if the models lock on this track and we won't have to sweat it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 DT says this is a KU event as depicted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rob Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 This has been a great December even if a lot of us have not had a true beating of snow. The depiction of weather patterns over the last 4 weeks has been pretty awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY18 Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Ok guys, we've got the solution that most of us want...lets see if this can develop into a trend. Remember, you cant call it a trend until it shows up for 3 or 4 model runs. For all we know, the OP could be a huge outlier. i agree for sure. but every model came south at 00z so the south trend has started but the ggem ukie and euro all the low much farther south than the gfs and imo the gfs is the outlier. this probably sounds very weenieish. :weenie: weenie talk over now continue lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdevil Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Thanks guys Hopefully all the models start trending this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 DT says this is a KU event as depicted. What is a KU event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Looks like RDU gets screwed. I do hope that Jeremy gets dumped on. He deserves it after the last few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 It goes up the coast as a true blizz. Bitter cold in its wake. The theme to take away tonight is a good one. More southerly track, a split flow with that PnA ridge in western Canada (almost always needs to be there), the cold air is further south than progged, inverted trough helps with damming initally and a Gulf coast track to southeast Ga is climo good for us, especally this time of year, with Cont. Arctic air, Confluence stays put in the northeast, blocking. You couldn't ask for a better setup at all for Tenn, norther Miss, Ala, Ga western SC and most of NC atleast inland. The timing of everything is too perfect. Bill Gates couldn't have bought a better setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 What is a KU event? http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/snow-and-ice/nesis.php He means it's a major event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Looks like RDU gets screwed. I do hope that Jeremy gets dumped on. He deserves it after the last few years. Dude, there's no way RDU is left out. I appreciate the sentiment though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Looks like RDU gets screwed. I do hope that Jeremy gets dumped on. He deserves it after the last few years. I'll take my chances w/ that track. Especially this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I'll take my chances w/ that track. Especially this far out. Low inland from Wilmington? Yeah right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 00z Euro is by far the best run of any model for snow that affects a large portion the SE that I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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