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Ridge Builds In - Humidity Sticks Around - Wx Disc


CT Rain

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I'm happy to have had the chance to dry out a bit...literally had mold starting to grow on the lawn. But as a weenie...it's been tough watching all this convection miss us sometimes by a couple miles to the north.

Quite the stretch here-a foot of rain and then nothing for weeks-today we finally got a good 1/2 inch.  Feast or famine I guess

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I'm happy to have had the chance to dry out a bit...literally had mold starting to grow on the lawn. But as a weenie...it's been tough watching all this convection miss us sometimes by a couple miles to the north.

 

I had that the other day, but convection doesn't excite me like it used to unless it's a legit SVR storm.

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Nice depiction there. Yeah that's the damage path i saw yesterday. Loehr had the worst damage..That's where I think it could have actually been OTG

so nobody gets banned for giving out your street and full name like the one from the picture shown on NBC 30, lol, bring back Snow NH and Chris M. congrats bro still amazed to see that. the vid from Mansfield was fantastic, I know a couple of folks who were very close by. Cool stuff

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so nobody gets banned for giving out your street and full name like the one from the picture shown on NBC 30, lol, bring back Snow NH and Chris M. congrats bro still amazed to see that. the vid from Mansfield was fantastic, I know a couple of folks who were very close by. Cool stuff

Just right weenie in right place at right time. Never did I think one would move almost over my head lol. Pretty hilly area where it hit. It looks like it tickled treetops and bounced a bit and maybe touched down on Loehr Rd
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From Upton's AFD this morning-severe torch next week?

THEREAFTER...WITH INDICATIONS THAT RIDGING WILL EVENTUALLY EXERT A
GREATER INFLUENCE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...POTENTIAL EXISTS
FOR A BUILDING HEATWAVE. IF 00Z OPERATIONAL GFS/GEM/ECMWF
VERIFY...FORECAST TEMPS COULD BE CONSERVATIVE...WITH POTENTIAL FOR
EXTENDED PERIOD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR NEXT WEEK. STAY
TUNED.

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Just right weenie in right place at right time. Never did I think one would move almost over my head lol. Pretty hilly area where it hit. It looks like it tickled treetops and bounced a bit and maybe touched down on Loehr Rd

Did you say tickled on TV?

 

I just tried to get in some mowing, a la the King... rain kicked in, but I got some done. Holy crud at the mushrooms.

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Did you say tickled on TV?

I just tried to get in some mowing, a la the King... rain kicked in, but I got some done. Holy crud at the mushrooms.

Lol no. I wAs out driving around assessing damage when they called so had to pull over to talk.

Yeah shrooms everywhere. Lawns look like late May with the lushness and no dry periods. Had almost 2 inches yesterday and another .25 this morning and more earlier in the week.

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I hope today delivers. This month has been dry for the most part in the NW corridor 

 

My PWS has only recorded 0.10" this month and BOX only 0.05" That's a -0.89 deficit.

The convective nature will do that, feast or famine.

God that is unreal.  We have basically had a disaster up here.  I have been travelling a lot, but flash flooding worse than we have ever seen,  corn crops lost, a flood that washed out the area around our pond, other crops at risk or ruined.  Farmers can't hay the fields.  Absolutely awful and the most rain over a sustained period in the summer that I have ever seen.

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I had that the other day, but convection doesn't excite me like it used to unless it's a legit SVR storm.

 

I've lived in CT going on 7 years and haven't seen anything approaching legit SVR outside the hurricanes. The way I see it...I might as well be happy with lots of thunder and lightning and heavy downpours and a few gusts to 25-30 mph...cause anything more is a rarity.

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Well, like Ryan and others mentioned, the velocity signature was extremely weak to near non-existent on the Tolland cell yesterday.  Given the known ground truth, it's fair to say the meso was entirely in the lowest levels... or there was none.   Classic curvature of the earth radar problem. 

 

However the reflectivity did give a clue that something could be up... You can see the small embedded hook echo from all 3 nexrads.  I see these things very often, especially in line segments.  They usually extend out, then curl back in like your arm bending at the elbow and touching your shoulder.  Then a small velocity spike is noted before fizzling and possibly reoccurring a few minutes later.  Alone they aren't grounds for a TOR unless you don't mind a ton of false alarms... many times they don't produce much of anything.  However, on days like yesterday decent low level helicity, and high dews perhaps extra weight should be given.  Also, the 800' in elevation probably didn't hurt considering LCLs weren't tremendously low, but lowering. 

 

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From Upton's AFD this morning-severe torch next week? I

THEREAFTER...WITH INDICATIONS THAT RIDGING WILL EVENTUALLY EXERT A

GREATER INFLUENCE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...POTENTIAL EXISTS

FOR A BUILDING HEATWAVE. IF 00Z OPERATIONAL GFS/GEM/ECMWF

VERIFY...FORECAST TEMPS COULD BE CONSERVATIVE...WITH POTENTIAL FOR

EXTENDED PERIOD OF HEAT ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR NEXT WEEK. STAY

TUNED.

120 heat index for some?

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Well, like Ryan and others mentioned, the velocity signature was extremely weak to near non-existent on the Tolland cell yesterday. Given the known ground truth, it's fair to say the meso was entirely in the lowest levels... or there was none. Classic curvature of the earth radar problem.

However the reflectivity did give a clue that something could be up... You can see the small embedded hook echo from all 3 nexrads. I see these things very often, especially in line segments. They usually extend out, then curl back in like your arm bending at the elbow and touching your shoulder. Then a small velocity spike is noted before fizzling and possibly reoccurring a few minutes later. Alone they aren't grounds for a TOR unless you don't mind a ton of false alarms... many times they don't produce much of anything. However, on days like yesterday decent low level helicity, and high dews perhaps extra weight should be given. Also, the 800' in elevation probably didn't hurt considering LCLs weren't tremendously low, but lowering.

Tolland_tor.png

Thanks for posting. I was hoping you'd be able to get that up on here. Yeah there's virtually no way they could have issued a warning yesterday based on that. The weird thing is though , people reported seeing it near Vernon and it crossed over 84 and up into Tolland, so it was evident at least at tree level for a good 10 minutes or more. I still think there's only one small area where it made contact with the ground. I think we'll see that in the BOX report on Loehr Rd. The other areas I think were more treetop TOR stuff, though I did see whole trees snapped also in those areas along with the sheared limbs
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