Brian5671 Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Well it's just that we can't remember a time when he's actually called for weather that he doesnt want. When you are always gunning for your personal interest, you're bound to get burned haha. it's kind of like a post you'd never see from JB in the middle of January "10 day blowtorch about ready to start!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 8, 2013 Author Share Posted July 8, 2013 I'm really surprised that we don't even have a "see text" today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 I'm really surprised that we don't even have a "see text" today. that's when we usually see our best storms. Same thing for wind-wind advisory: result is nothing, no advisory, damaging winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 I'm really surprised that we don't even have a "see text" today.Maybe with the midday update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 it's kind of like a post you'd never see from JB in the middle of January "10 day blowtorch about ready to start!" lol...yeah it's just one of those things that you'll never hear from him. Some folks are just so stubborn that a week of 50s in January can stare them in the face and they will find a way to keep posting cold/snow. Then when reality hits they have a mental breakdown and start "taking breaks" from the weather lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 You can see the BDF nicely on radar now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 It looked like the 13z update has us in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 8, 2013 Author Share Posted July 8, 2013 It looked like the 13z update has us in it. 0 severe probs here.... 5% down in NC and SE VA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 0 severe probs here.... 5% down in NC and SE VA. Thundersprinkles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 You can see the BDF nicely on radar now. It will somehow fall just short of mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 wednesday looks fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 wednesday looks fun It looked like best shot with the WF was maybe near you into western SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Maybe SPC knows something? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Maybe SPC knows something? Maybe they know better than stomp on a beautiful day. 77.7/67 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Maybe SPC knows something? Well it's a see text and nothing really screams severe, but I wouldn't be shocked at some rpts later today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Maybe they know better than stomp on a beautiful day. 77.7/67 In a normal summer you'd be complaining how humid it is. Amazing how far we've come this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Here are two images from the Belchertown/Ludlow storm yesterday, 5 minutes apart. You can see a well structured mid-level meso, not particularly intense, and dual rain cores, predominantly in the FFD with a secondary max on the southeastern tip of the RFD. No rain was reaching the surface along the western edge of the RFD. (Beam is about a kilometer OTG) As it wrapped up a little tighter there is some strengthening in the meso, but it never reached levels that would cause concerns, despite the ominous look to the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Very overcast here in woburn, meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 temps quickly rose to 86 here, has dropped off to 84 as of now...still humid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Scoots, what you think for this weekend? Dry as models show or wet as front hangs up over us( which seems a distinct poss) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Yeah that's comparable.compare this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 8, 2013 Author Share Posted July 8, 2013 I think western SNE is going to be in a bit of a screw zone until the better forcing over C PA arrives. At least for the time being the best forcing is to our NE up in S NH/NE Mass and well west over PA near teh ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 I think western SNE is going to be in a bit of a screw zone until the better forcing over C PA arrives. At least for the time being the best forcing is to our NE up in S NH/NE Mass and well west over PA near teh ULL.So what timeframe are we looking at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 I think western SNE is going to be in a bit of a screw zone until the better forcing over C PA arrives. At least for the time being the best forcing is to our NE up in S NH/NE Mass and well west over PA near teh ULL. That BDF is flying SW...I wonder how shallow it is. If it's like 3000ft deep or so..usually that will focus the storms more along the front, instead of anafrontal like shallow BDF. I wonder how much coverage we'll see here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 I think western SNE is going to be in a bit of a screw zone until the better forcing over C PA arrives. At least for the time being the best forcing is to our NE up in S NH/NE Mass and well west over PA near teh ULL. I also noticed some models trying to generate stuff after 00z too, thanks to what you mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 That BDF is flying SW...I wonder how shallow it is. If it's like 3000ft deep or so..usually that will focus the storms more along the front, instead of anafrontal like shallow BDF. I wonder how much coverage we'll see here. where is it now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 where is it now? Just south and SW of BOS up towards KBED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 With backdoor thru BOS you wonder if their storm chances are done with NE wind and falling temps and screen door slam shut warnings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted July 8, 2013 Author Share Posted July 8, 2013 I also noticed some models trying to generate stuff after 00z too, thanks to what you mentioned. The earlier batch of clouds/showers over DCA/BWI that fizzled toward Philly appeared to be from a weak vort/shortwave out ahead of the main closed low. That's producing some QG forcing over SNE now and where you have some sfc convergence and better instability in NE Mass/S NH it's popping some showers. Behind it though there's going to be a period of subsidence that should put a lid on stuff until the better QG forcing moves in later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 8, 2013 Share Posted July 8, 2013 Just south and SW of BOS up towards KBED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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