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Ridge Builds In - Humidity Sticks Around - Wx Disc


CT Rain

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Well it's just that we can't remember a time when he's actually called for weather that he doesnt want. When you are always gunning for your personal interest, you're bound to get burned haha.

it's kind of like a post you'd never see from JB in the middle of January "10 day blowtorch about ready to start!"

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it's kind of like a post you'd never see from JB in the middle of January "10 day blowtorch about ready to start!"

lol...yeah it's just one of those things that you'll never hear from him. Some folks are just so stubborn that a week of 50s in January can stare them in the face and they will find a way to keep posting cold/snow.

Then when reality hits they have a mental breakdown and start "taking breaks" from the weather lol.

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Here are two images from the Belchertown/Ludlow storm yesterday, 5 minutes apart.

 

You can see a well structured mid-level meso, not particularly intense, and dual rain cores, predominantly in the FFD with a secondary max on the southeastern tip of the RFD.  No rain was reaching the surface along the western edge of the RFD.  (Beam is about a kilometer OTG)

 

As it wrapped up a little tighter there is some strengthening in the meso, but it never reached levels that would cause concerns, despite the ominous look to the sky.

 

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I think western SNE is going to be in a bit of a screw zone until the better forcing over C PA arrives. At least for the time being the best forcing is to our NE up in S NH/NE Mass and well west over PA near teh ULL. 

 

That BDF is flying SW...I wonder how shallow it is. If it's like 3000ft deep or so..usually that will focus the storms more along the front, instead of anafrontal like shallow BDF. I wonder how much coverage we'll see here.

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I think western SNE is going to be in a bit of a screw zone until the better forcing over C PA arrives. At least for the time being the best forcing is to our NE up in S NH/NE Mass and well west over PA near teh ULL. 

 

I also noticed some models trying to generate stuff after 00z too, thanks to what you mentioned.

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I also noticed some models trying to generate stuff after 00z too, thanks to what you mentioned.

 

The earlier batch of clouds/showers over DCA/BWI that fizzled toward Philly appeared to be from a weak vort/shortwave out ahead of the main closed low. That's producing some QG forcing over SNE now and where you have some sfc convergence and better instability in NE Mass/S NH it's popping some showers. Behind it though there's going to be a period of subsidence that should put a lid on stuff until the better QG forcing moves in later?

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