CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Dew fell to 71 at HFD More realistic. Higher dews where temps can't really mix and you get some moisture off the waters of the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Good candid sort of disco from WTB, "..ALTHOUGH THE SIZZLE OF SUMMER MAY BE PRESENT...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS STRESSFUL THAN ON PREVIOUS DAYS. THEHEAT INDEX MAY REACH THE UPPER 90S. A FEW SPOTS MAY SEE THE HEATINDEX BRIEFLY REACH 100. EXPECTED CLOUD COVER AND THE POTENTIALFOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY SLOW THE SIZZLE AND KEEP EITHERTHE MAGNITUDE OR THE DURATION BELOW THE LEVEL NEEDED FOR A HEATADVISORY..." I think it was brief reprieve for areas along Rt 2, though. ALB's DP back to 72 last hour, and FIT popped back to 70. Looking over the last several hours, the DPs have been rising from west to east this morning. 850s still support 90 everywhere, so where it clears ... barring convective clouds the temp should respond. Having said that, I really haven't been impressed by the advisory verification. A few HIs of 100 year and there, but really not that ubiquitous. I suppose that doesn't matter. This has not even been a Big Heat event... though there were a few 95 and 96s on one afternoon. It's a deal where the HIs are like 98 unrelenting, so what's the sensible difference. Nice clearing has evolved. Thunderstorms should get an assist for having heights slightly lowered -- already rad shows a blip or two out around CEF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 TCU in streets on hi res imagery. Blip showers popping on rad. NY/western MA and CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Which sites have the highest heat index values currently?? BDL? HFD? IJD? BDR? Nope! GON and MMK. We need the govt to tell us its hot. I demand it LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Lots of overcast. Mid 80's kash. Action could b south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Lots of overcast. Mid 80's kash. Action could b south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 There it is. HI over 100F for 4th day in row now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Good candid sort of disco from WTB, "..ALTHOUGH THE SIZZLE OF SUMMER MAY BE PRESENT...CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY LESS STRESSFUL THAN ON PREVIOUS DAYS. THE HEAT INDEX MAY REACH THE UPPER 90S. A FEW SPOTS MAY SEE THE HEAT INDEX BRIEFLY REACH 100. EXPECTED CLOUD COVER AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY SLOW THE SIZZLE AND KEEP EITHER THE MAGNITUDE OR THE DURATION BELOW THE LEVEL NEEDED FOR A HEAT ADVISORY..." I think it was brief reprieve for areas along Rt 2, though. ALB's DP back to 72 last hour, and FIT popped back to 70. Looking over the last several hours, the DPs have been rising from west to east this morning. 850s still support 90 everywhere, so where it clears ... barring convective clouds the temp should respond. Having said that, I really haven't been impressed by the advisory verification. A few HIs of 100 year and there, but really not that ubiquitous. I suppose that doesn't matter. This has not even been a Big Heat event... though there were a few 95 and 96s on one afternoon. It's a deal where the HIs are like 98 unrelenting, so what's the sensible difference. Nice clearing has evolved. Thunderstorms should get an assist for having heights slightly lowered -- already rad shows a blip or two out around CEF. We had cloud cover out here from 8am to 11am and it was pleasnat but full sun since and feels pretty damn hot atm. 86/74 two hours in the yard/garden and I'm toasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 This 12z extended operational GFS from D7 to the end is outrageously hot looking. Huge ridge approach 600DM migrates slowly from SE of NE to the MV over that 4 to 5 days, with diurnal 850s approach 20C the entire times. That's like 5 straight days of 96/72. I tell you what... it can get even hotter. It's probably a hidden blessing that there isn't any continental processed heat... such as a Sonoran air layer involved. These cyclic weaknesses in the heights that carve in and then retrograde toward the lower MV are tending to shunt that air source from migrating out and getting involved in the larger scale circulation. Otherwise, this would be a dangerous heat pattern. As is, it's remarkableness is in the longevity of that potential. We'll see, but the operational Euro from 00z also hinted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 A tiny shower with giant drops just passed through. Barely even registered on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Judging by sat and rad trends alone we have a eruption of convection getting going. I can see wonderful crispy towers west of Ayer on the ridge lines out west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin W Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 A tiny shower with giant drops just passed through. Barely even registered on radar. WUNIDS_map.gif Looks like somethings brewin' to the west. Hopefully, we can get something from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Props to whom ever lives near this BAF ob... 071653 FEW037 10 91 75 VR03 147 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 You're probably in a better spot for that stuff forming to the west. Looks like somethings brewin' to the west. Hopefully, we can get something from that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Looks like somethings brewin' to the west. Hopefully, we can get something from that. Cumulus starting to build to my W. Looks like some storms popping on the NY/MA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 HIs are the worst yet in this heat wave. Nice 92/73-75 deals showing up. Yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Looking to be an active early evening re: Thunderstorms I'm surprised someone has not started a separate thread...Today is the day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Lots of overcast. Mid 80's kash. Action could b south Really? I've got almost all blue skies on 114 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 clouds definitely winning over. looks like there is a seabreeze boundary along the south coast and south shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 HIs are the worst yet in this heat wave. Nice 92/73-75 deals showing up. Yeah. Dry air ...well, relatively drier air, swept in late yesterday on a false hope. Many areas here along Rt 2 are bad. 90/72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nate Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Beautiful TCU to the south, look like mountains. One tower looked like it was going right through a small mid-level cloud and then had some pileus on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Headed back to CT...hoping to run into that stuff going down 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Pig of a storm crossing into Dutchess Co. right now. Beautiful weak echo region, big hail despite the high freezing levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 t-storm developing right overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 t-storm developing right overhead Cool view of it driving home Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 nice downpour with a few rumbles my plants and lawn are happy now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonkis Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1334NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0116 PM CDT SUN JUL 07 2013AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NY...SRN NEW ENGLANDCONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELYVALID 071816Z - 072015ZPROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENTSUMMARY...A FEW MULTICELL CLUSTERS WILL BE CAPABLE OF MARGINALLYSEVERE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS INTO EARLY EVENING.DISCUSSION...CONVECTION CONTINUES TO INCREASE ACROSS PARTS OF THEHUDSON VALLEY TO THE POCONO MTNS. MODIFIED 12Z ALB/OKX RAOBS SUGGESTAIR MASS IS RATHER UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE AROUND 2000-2500 J/KG.ALBANY VWP DATA SUPPORT NAM FORECAST SOUNDINGS WITH NEARLYUNIDIRECTIONAL WLY WINDS INCREASING FROM THE SURFACE TO AROUND 5 KMAND FLOW DECREASING WITH HEIGHT BEYOND THAT. THIS TYPE OF WINDPROFILE SHOULD FAVOR A FEW MULTICELL CLUSTERS THAT MAY PRODUCESEVERE HAIL AND LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN THE DEGREE OFBUOYANCY. ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY SPREAD EWD INTO SRN NEW ENGLANDTHROUGH EARLY EVENING...GRAMS/HART.. 07/07/2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Sun back out here. With sun no wind and a temp of 93/73 we are cooking in manomet (edit occ light breeze) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 nice downpour with a few rumbles my plants and lawn are happy now. Quite the evolution visible. Crisp edges and violent billows to the towers mean big CAPE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 7, 2013 Share Posted July 7, 2013 Bobs cell looks like it will be a good one. What a great visible shot from here in Weymouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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