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Ridge Builds In - Humidity Sticks Around - Wx Disc


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They did drop a couple which is all we said.Drag always used the wx at top of MWN to predict our wx

No he didn't. He used ORH. When it was warmer vs cp it was a good torch signal providing there was no cbreeze. At least that's what I remember.

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W-E line of training TCU over S VT/NH visible from near by Ayer.  Couple producing showers now.  Hoping one or two cells gets more robust and sends an outflow down this way.  Otherwise, 92/71 here... So much for mixing out!  

 

yuck.  house unbearable.  Fan on high, pointed directly at my person, still feels hot.  

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I wouldn't count on a lot of relief from a trough of that nature.  Similar to the last one, yet even weaker, it is more of a nodal negative between ridges and isn't really very baroclinically active as far as advecting air masses.   It will help with llv convergences and subsequent threats for convection, which would certainly mitigate a good deal of heat, but the DPs may stay elevated right through D10 given oper. Euro/GFS and the bulk of their ensembles.  And the extended may ridge us out all over again...

 

Suspect you've been over this...   

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Yes he did

If he did, he probably used it as a gauge for high temps. On fair wx days with generally uniform 850s we tend to be about 30-35F warmer than MWN. 15C/15C up at the summit doesn't mean we can't mix out though. Here's from the afternoon of 7/22/2011...same times.

 

KMWN 221857Z 28041G51KT BKN005 BKN040 BKN090 BKN260 18/15 RMK HZ DSNT ALQDS

KCON 221851Z AUTO 29009G16KT 10SM CLR 37/12 A2976 RMK AO2 SLP075 T03720122

KMHT 221853Z 28009G18KT 10SM CLR 38/15 A2974 RMK AO2 SLP075 T03780150

KBDL 221851Z 27011KT 10SM FEW090 SCT200 39/17 A2979 RMK AO2 SLP085 T03890167

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If he did, he probably used it as a gauge for high temps. On fair wx days with generally uniform 850s we tend to be about 30-35F warmer than MWN. 15C/15C up at the summit doesn't mean we can't mix out though. Here's from the afternoon of 7/22/2011...same times.

KMWN 221857Z 28041G51KT BKN005 BKN040 BKN090 BKN260 18/15 RMK HZ DSNT ALQDS

KCON 221851Z AUTO 29009G16KT 10SM CLR 37/12 A2976 RMK AO2 SLP075 T03720122

KMHT 221853Z 28009G18KT 10SM CLR 38/15 A2974 RMK AO2 SLP075 T03780150

KBDL 221851Z 27011KT 10SM FEW090 SCT200 39/17 A2979 RMK AO2 SLP085 T03890167

Sometimes it feels like 90% of posting on a daily basis is to counter or disprove some claim made by a former WOTY winner.

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I distinctly remember him using MWN temps to predict what we'd have that day in his Afd. Not sure why Jeff's panties bunched

Dendrite just spelled that out.

And it's with temps not dews.

I've had dews similar to the summit of Mansfield but instead of 65/65 with fog up there, it's 80/66 down here. Using dews at elevation to translate to the surface doesn't seem to work as good as temperatures.

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When the dew is 59 on top of MWN , you shouldn't expect dews to mix out

 

 

Drag always used the wx at top of MWN to predict our wx

 

 

I think a few slower folks may have misunderstood the post. I didn't mean dews. I meant the wx and temps which Brian and you understood

 

lol

 

please hurry to UUU and give all of us a July 4th vacaction :) 

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lol

please hurry to UUU and give all of us a July 4th vacaction :)

I'm glad someone else picked up on that :lol: He cracks me up...first post references the dew point on MWN, then follows it up calling folks slow for thinking he was talking about dews.

This forum wouldn't be the same without the Blizz.

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Drag used MPV has a gauge to low temps overnight in winter. The rate of change for Dewpoints as you move up in the atmosphere is much slower as compared to air temps. Using MWN to prove a point about dews isn't a smart idea.

You mean he didn't use the MWN Td in the summertime to see if dews would mix out in SNE?

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I distinctly remember him using MWN temps to predict what we'd have that day in his Afd. Not sure why Jeff's panties bunched

 

Must of had a formula for figuring it out, But does not make much sense to use an air mass up at 5,000' to translate to the surface

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