Ginx snewx Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 It did have enesemble support...but that was a pretty weak azz trough. There was still a pretty good WAR which ended up retrograding in the end. The upcoming trough is a bit more robust...but more importantly, the WAR is knocked down quite a bit which makes it more plausible to get some continental airmasses in here....its also a better pattern to get an EML in here. GFS is similar just delayed but its definitely a pattern change from what we had the last 3-4 weeks especially the Bermuda High. Looking forward to changing weather, this stuff we went through was stale fungus growing, some nice days but too muggy. I would take 90 plus heat and 60 degree dewpoints any day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 WAR will win all battles with troughs this summer. It's happened 3 times including next week and models don't catch on till 5 days out. No changes coming . None Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Still can't believe this was taken 2 miles south of the UConn campus... Fortunately it passed over a heavily forested area... unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 WAR will win all battles with troughs this summer. It's happened 3 times including next week and models don't catch on till 5 days out. No changes coming . None While I tend to agree with you on this one, I have to wonder if you or anyone remember a time when you didn't "forecast" or call for the type of weather you desire? I can't wait for you to call for a chilly day in the summer or a cutter in the winter, because they do happen lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mupawxnut Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 JB agrees...says summer's over after next week.... Then we know it is not true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 This thread needs some Hypericium fasciculatum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Still can't believe this was taken 2 miles south of the UConn campus... Fortunately it passed over a heavily forested area... unreal. That looks like a real tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Well NAM nailed the low level cool / dry air coming in on NE winds. Pretty big air mass chg away from the immediate south coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 While I tend to agree with you on this one, I have to wonder if you or anyone remember a time when you didn't "forecast" or call for the type of weather you desire? I can't wait for you to call for a chilly day in the summer or a cutter in the winter, because they do happen lol. He did forecast for the February Blizzard to whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Yet that had no ENS support and its a cherry pick, keep believing its never ending torch with high overnight lows. The answer my friend is blowing in the wind.That is the ENS though. I do think we cool off a bit, but I'm not confident about getting +8C down here like the op has. Maybe a day or to of near two slightly below and then back into the frequent aboves? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 He did forecast for the February Blizzard to whiff. He should use reverse psych more often! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 He should use reverse psych more often! Maybe that's what he was using with his TOR siting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 That looks like a real tornado.If that hit Tolland power could've been out for years. No tree left standing...even with EF1 winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 He did forecast for the February Blizzard to whiff. what a bust...30 inches later Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 He did forecast for the February Blizzard to whiff. Oh yeah, he did great then with the reverse psych on that one. That should be used more by him. Though you know how hard it is to type a message going against what one wants Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Maybe that's what he was using with his TOR siting Too early to joke about...the cut is still fresh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Not much break in the humidity down this way...opened the windows up this AM to try to let some of the dryer low 60's DP air in...but it did very little good. A/C's back on and running by 1:30 even with clouds keeping the sun to a minimum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Northern ME got the real relief. U30s dews in Aroostook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Euro ensembles still bringing in cooler air next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Sneaky ****ty day tomorrow in parts of SNE? Looked rather moist in the boundary layer on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Euro ensembles still bringing in cooler air next weekend. Yeah I think we'll get at least some relief...the WAR is beaten down more than on previous attempts. I do still think we'll be prone to heat intrusions from the west though...at least until the ridge out west is more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Sneaky ****ty day tomorrow in parts of SNE? Looked rather moist in the boundary layer on the NAM. Yeah think there will be areas that stay gray for 90% of the day and then some spots that probably are OK. And then of course typical calls of bust / sun-breaking out etc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Yeah I think we'll get at least some relief...the WAR is beaten down more than on previous attempts. I do still think we'll be prone to heat intrusions from the west though...at least until the ridge out west is more amped. Do wonder if we sneak in one really hot day before the fropa. Seems most guidance wants to grab some of that actual heat and eject it east...replace the 90F-93F stuff with a day of 95-98F? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Do wonder if we sneak in one really hot day before the fropa. Seems most guidance wants to grab some of that actual heat and eject it east...replace the 90F-93F stuff with a day of 95-98F? There could def be a prefrontal torch day with west winds, lower dews, downslope, etc. Next Friday could be a decent candidate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Sneaky ****ty day tomorrow in parts of SNE? Looked rather moist in the boundary layer on the NAM.How you think it looks in NYC tomorrow aft for Yanks game? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 How you think it looks in NYC tomorrow aft for Yanks game? Can't give a good answer on my phone, but I'd prepare for a few shwrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Can't give a good answer on my phone, but I'd prepare for a few shwrs.Storms or just light hit and miss showers? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Here's the Scooterpit as mike would say. In the far right of the second pic is a rather large shed where Ray's beast of man takes him as the CF settles over my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 Storms or just light hit and miss showers? Looked more like shwrs, but wouldn't shock me if it were just mostly cloudy and muggy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 12, 2013 Share Posted July 12, 2013 It's real and it's going to be sensational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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