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July. High summer 2013-a humid and warm start. Is big heat lurking? Banter ok here.

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

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weathafella

weathafella

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BOS should have 20 aoa 90 before 8/1. What's the seasonal record?

They have 10 so far. I don't see BOS reaching 20 by August 1st.

I believe the record for 90F days at BOS is 25 in 1988.

We'll eclipse that.

I think we add 5 more in the next 8 days, but yes 20 would be tough but in reach and 25 for the season is well within reach given the pattern.

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joey2002

joey2002

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Yeah, almost the same way.  You can easily go through a period with lots of clouds keeping day time temps down and night time temps up.  Ginx is right though.  It has not been that hot during the day.  I don't have my records in front of me but I think I've only hit 90° once this year.  My long term average is 8 but I suspect that we'll come up short again this year.  Maybe one or two next week.  It's good to live in the wooded hills!

 

Yeah, for sure, I find high temps to typically be at least 5 degrees cooler than BDL. 

 

I don't think I've hit 90 since May 31st.  (four 88-89 days though)

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

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We'll eclipse that.

I think we add 5 more in the next 8 days, but yes 20 would be tough but in reach and 25 for the season is well within reach given the pattern.

 

 

Well I have no idea what the pattern is going to be in August, but it definitely looks like the last 10 days July is not going to be as warm.

 

Getting 10 days of 90F after August 1st in Boston is a very tall task. Even in a warm pattern.

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Brian5671

Brian5671

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Well I have no idea what the pattern is going to be in August, but it definitely looks like the last 10 days July is not going to be as warm.

 

Getting 10 days of 90F after August 1st in Boston is a very tall task. Even in a warm pattern.

that's true down here too although it's more like after 8/7 or so...daylight starts rapidly dropping 2-3 minutes a day at that point....

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

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Well I have no idea what the pattern is going to be in August, but it definitely looks like the last 10 days July is not going to be as warm.

 

Getting 10 days of 90F after August 1st in Boston is a very tall task. Even in a warm pattern.

The winds of change are in the air

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joey2002

joey2002

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July has never had this many 70+ lows to start off July. 2013's 8 of the first 9 days with lows 70+ is by far the most. Next closest is 4 of the first 9 days of July which occurred in 2010, 1994, 1974, and 1911. This year also has a shot to have the most days with 70+ lows on an annual basis. So far this year BDL has 14 days with lows 70+. The most ever was 20 in 1973.

 

As far as streaks go, these are the top 70+ streaks:

 

11 days: 2013 - 6/28-7/8

8 days: 1975 - 7/13-7/20

6 days: 1970 - 7/28-8/2

6 days: 1919 - 7/18-7/23

5 days: 12 occurrences

 

and the top 67+ streaks:

 

18 days: 2013 - 6/24-7/11

17 days: 2010 - 7/6-7/22

13 days: 1938 - 7/26-8/7

12 days: 2003 - 8/3-8/14

12 days: 1972 - 7/13-7/24

12 days: 1912 - 7/5-7/16

 

The temp only dropped to 68 this morning at BDL, so we're now at 19 days in a row of 67 or above!

 

Where did you find the data dating back over 100 years ago?  Cool stats!

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weathafella

weathafella

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If the 168+ Euro is right helluva CF to break the heat. Seems pretty seasonable or slightly below after the pattern breaks.

Beyond that and no sign of permanent changes. In fact a signal for shorter term heat beyond. And pretty mute vs 2 days ago in the guidance.

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powderfreak

powderfreak

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Cool dry air everyday after the 20th. Summer is over

I wouldn't say that drier air would mean summer is over lol.

Today up here has gotten up to 80F with full sun and even with low humidity (50-55 Td), and it still feels hot in the sun. Definitely hot enough to swim but also dry enough to hike and recreate outside without sweating to death.

We want seasons to perform like New England seasons, and that doesn't mean South Georgia all summer. It means periods of just nice weather: warm and sunny with low humidity.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

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I wouldn't say that drier air would mean summer is over lol.

Today up here has gotten up to 80F with full sun and even with low humidity (50-55 Td), and it still feels hot in the sun. Definitely hot enough to swim but also dry enough to hike and recreate outside without sweating to death.

We want seasons to perform like New England seasons, and that doesn't mean South Georgia all summer. It means periods of just nice weather: warm and sunny with low humidity.

seasons should perform like seasons, hottest climo time of the year is next week, and it will be then its back to seasons being seasons like someone says they really love.

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forkyfork

forkyfork

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Yet that had no ENS support and its a cherry pick, keep believing its never ending torch with high overnight lows. The answer my friend is blowing in the wind.

it's the same story on the other runs... they didn't catch on til this tuesday

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

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Yet that had no ENS support and its a cherry pick, keep believing its never ending torch with high overnight lows. The answer my friend is blowing in the wind.

 

 

It did have enesemble support...but that was a pretty weak azz trough. There was still a pretty good WAR which ended up retrograding in the end. The upcoming trough is a bit more robust...but more importantly, the WAR is knocked down quite a bit which makes it more plausible to get some continental airmasses in here....its also a better pattern to get an EML in here.

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