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July. High summer 2013-a humid and warm start. Is big heat lurking? Banter ok here.

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

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Tropopause_Fold

Tropopause_Fold

Posted
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Next week is interesting. Signs are the front hangs up to our south so while winds come onshore and probably bring back some humidity, temps may be much cooler if we receive any rain.

 

But man even the euro ensembles are +20 at 850 later Friday into Saturday morning. That's might close to locking in temps near 100F.

perhaps flow is SW enough at that point to spare 95 corridor from like BDR to BOS? 

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
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perhaps flow is SW enough at that point to spare 95 corridor from like BDR to BOS? 

 

Yeah on the GFS there are signs of more WSW winds inland and SW for areas like BOS and points south. But a small shift in that direction and Logan roasts. They easily could pull like 97 with those 850 temps on a 220 wind provided it's not blowing at like 30kts. But, things like cloud debris, especially on Saturday will dictate temps too.

 

Maybe we can sneak some storms SE on Thursday?

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Brian5671

Brian5671

Posted
Posted

Next week is interesting. Signs are the front hangs up to our south so while winds come onshore and probably bring back some humidity, temps may be much cooler if we receive any rain.

 

But man even the euro ensembles are +20 at 850 later Friday into Saturday morning. That's might close to locking in temps near 100F.

when you say south where?  NYC?  Philly?

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Quincy

Quincy

Posted
Posted

Next week is interesting. Signs are the front hangs up to our south so while winds come onshore and probably bring back some humidity, temps may be much cooler if we receive any rain.

 

But man even the euro ensembles are +20 at 850 later Friday into Saturday morning. That's might close to locking in temps near 100F.

12z GFS was pretty locked in to a sizable area of +20 to +21C as well. Heavy, heavy heat for the area, although it might mean 99F at BDL and only mid-90's at KTOL.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

Some other New England sites...

 

CQX http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/10004955/

AQW http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/10004987/

ORE http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/10004992/ (this one is awful...I hope they've fixed the siting since then)

MVY http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009166/

HYA http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009181/

EWB http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009185/

OWD http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009239/

MQE http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009258/

PSF http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009319/

BED http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009325/

FIT http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009354/

BVY http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009363/

LWM http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009392/

PYM http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009418/

DDH http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20026693/

 

Note that these are old images. I'm not sure if anything has changed in the last 10+ years.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
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Brian how do you know what station is what?

NCDC used to have a nice page for these where you could click arows to change your view around the station. I can't seem to find that anymore, but the image directory is still there. You sorta just have to click around to find stations by trial and error. Most of them are in order alphabetically by state, but there's a few stragglers.

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Tropopause_Fold

Tropopause_Fold

Posted
Posted

Yeah on the GFS there are signs of more WSW winds inland and SW for areas like BOS and points south. But a small shift in that direction and Logan roasts. They easily could pull like 97 with those 850 temps on a 220 wind provided it's not blowing at like 30kts. But, things like cloud debris, especially on Saturday will dictate temps too.

 

Maybe we can sneak some storms SE on Thursday?

thursday's kind of a strange day with that boundary coming south. maybe like SE NH to BOS area can steal some afternoon storms? 

 

re: temps...yeah true and we have basically reached the time of year when SW flow is much less of a cooling breeze. even ACK is in the 80s with a south wind right now. 

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It's Always Sunny

It's Always Sunny

Posted
Posted

Some other New England sites...

 

CQX http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/10004955/

AQW http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/10004987/

ORE http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/10004992/ (this one is awful...I hope they've fixed the siting since then)

MVY http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009166/

HYA http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009181/

EWB http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009185/

OWD http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009239/

MQE http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009258/

PSF http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009319/

BED http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009325/

FIT http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009354/

BVY http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009363/

LWM http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009392/

PYM http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20009418/

DDH http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/stations/photos/20026693/

 

Note that these are old images. I'm not sure if anything has changed in the last 10+ years.

KMQE actually has their ASOS station about 35 feet lower and to the NE. Those pictures for KMQE are from the rooftop where we take our sky observations. Winds are measured from the roof with several types of anemometers, including a sonic anemometer.

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

I don't know guys...  if this trough in the NE is not there, which is highly likely given to the Euro bias of digging trough into SE Canada, than the hottest air of the season is yet to come.  Check out the large area of +20C, 850mb air over the Plains/MW/GL regions... Better hope that trough is real, lest it finally gets hot

 

f240.gif

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
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thursday's kind of a strange day with that boundary coming south. maybe like SE NH to BOS area can steal some afternoon storms? 

 

re: temps...yeah true and we have basically reached the time of year when SW flow is much less of a cooling breeze. even ACK is in the 80s with a south wind right now. 

 

I have the luxury of forecasting for ACK and MVY. This ridge has been a pleasure at times for ACK. No fog last night.

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dendrite

dendrite

Posted
Posted

Parched burned out sandy soil/ with a light covering if grass right next to the runway at IJD lol.. No wonder why they radiate so well and dews are too dry in summer during middle of day

IJD isn't perfect, but I doubt there's much of an effect.
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