July. High summer 2013-a humid and warm start. Is big heat lurking? Banter ok here.

[CoastalWx]

Still mainly AOA temperature wise. This is a hot summer not in temperature extremes but in consistency of AOA.

 

The overall pattern suggests that, but like the other day....it depends on where the front stalls and wind direction. There were days that looked wet and cool, others wet and muggy. This isn't a "polar" airmass...almost like a dirty way to cool down. It's definitely going to be wet in spots. It could be a lot of days like 78-86 with dews near 70 type stuff..maybe a little cooler on coast, maybe a little warmer on sunny days.

[CoastalWx]

Interesting observation:  Water temps in Cape Cod bay are 79 degrees.

 

This is so far off the chart for anything even close to normal for mid July it's not even funny.  We were at the beach last night and it was bath water.

 

Light seabreeze days are the best near shore. Stellwagen bank warmed to 71 opposed to 67 the other day.

[CoastalWx]

Even on hottest climo week it is tuff to put up a sizeable + departure.

 

Everyone will put up good + departures. Hot stuff coming.

[CoastalWx]

The weeklies try to build heights near western Davis straits with lower heights in the Plains. Seems like it argues warm and humid into August. Hopefully through the winter.

[HoarfrostHubb]

66F/65

Cooler start than I figured. That will change

[CoastalWx]

Thursday and Friday will be the worst I think as dews will have the best chance of staying above 70 I think.

[N. OF PIKE]

The weeklies try to build heights near western Davis straits with lower heights in the Plains. Seems like it argues warm and humid into August. Hopefully through the winter.

Lol

The fall will be very refreshing

I hope the tropics wake up mid august

[weathafella]

Thursday and Friday will be the worst I think as dews will have the best chance of staying above 70 I think.

Solid shot at upper 90s for us Thursday and maybe Friday.

[Baroclinic Zone]

76/74 at 7am for TAN.  Good to be inside all week working.  Do have a soccer practice on Wednesday evening though.

[weathafella]

Lets keep this wx into early October and then sever the already stretched rubber band for the next 5 months.

[N. OF PIKE]

Lets keep this wx into early October and then sever the already stretched rubber band for the next 5 months.

If this goes to early oct many will lose it

Also i dont buy the rubber band theory . Ususally its a step down process and i dont wanna have to step down from giant positive anomalies in october

[weathafella]

Looking at coastal 7am obs it will be hard to get much relief even with weak seeabreeze. AOA 70 all the way up through coastal downeast.

[weathafella]

If this goes to early oct many will lose it

Also i dont buy the rubber band theory . Ususally its a step down process and i dont wanna have to step down from giant positive anomalies in october

2002. That is all. 1995 too.

[weathafella]

2002 featured warm into the 2nd week of October. A well in advanced signaled pattern change snapped the band. The results are history.

[N. OF PIKE]

I dont like the odds jerry

And i dont want a pukish late sept/early oct . I recall fall 2011 we were advecting our "cool wx" from the sw and dpoints wouldnt drop behind cold fronts (cept the octobomb arctic front)

[weathafella]

I dont like the odds jerry

I do...,for this winter coming. Don't go too far north.

[Damage In Tolland]

The weeklies try to build heights near western Davis straits with lower heights in the Plains. Seems like it argues warm and humid into August. Hopefully through the winter.

So in all seriousness do you think BDL breaks the record for hottest July ever?

[HoarfrostHubb]

So in all seriousness do you think BDL breaks the record for hottest July ever?

I think it does by +1.0 or more. Swampy.

[TheBudMan]

2002. That is all. 1995 too.

 

 

Both good hurricane years.   I am not TIm Kelley or @DamagingTimes but I feel a higher than normal threat for NE, especially if we switch this pattern for a more troughy pattern.  Not unlike some of the bad hurricane years in history with a summer full of heavy rain to fill streams/rivers too.    Tropical system in the next 60 days could be bad news for flooding.  SOS !!!

[Brian5671]

Classic July Blowtorch here today-already 85 degrees at 8:45am...impressive.

[CapturedNature]

I was looking at some of the hottest July's on record at BDL (I only looked at the 1949+ data) and our current average high for the first 14 days is lower than those hottest July's.  I'm sure after this week I'll hear people talk about the heat but so far I have not.  Still, we might close the record books with this July being a tick warmer than other months on average.

 

Then again, we don't have temp data from the 1000's when things were apparently warm enough to grow vegetables in Greenland and as far as I know, it's not that warm up there this summer so one of those summers might have been warmer.

[Brian5671]

And some will try to spin this...

 

 

Joe Furey ‏@StormFurey1h

Warmest months on record at BDL July 1994/2010 at 77.1 degrees. So far this July's avg temp 79.5 with 90's ALL WEEK!! pic.twitter.com/Uo1u3QyQdU

If the last week of July stays humid, I think we'll have a shot at it.  The warm overnight lows would help get us there. Regardless, it's a hot month record or no record, probably +3-+5 at worst... Amazing, another hot July....4 in a row going back to 2010.

[CapturedNature]

Both good hurricane years.   I am not TIm Kelley or @DamagingTimes but I feel a higher than normal threat for NE, especially if we switch this pattern for a more troughy pattern.  Not unlike some of the bad hurricane years in history with a summer full of heavy rain to fill streams/rivers too.    Tropical system in the next 60 days could be bad news for flooding.  SOS !!!

 

I was noting that July 1955 was pretty hot...we did well that year tropically.  Unlike this year, I think we were dry heading into the tropical season.

[powderfreak]

I do...,for this winter coming. Don't go too far north.

We seem to hear this a lot each year and then it still tends to snow a decent amount up north.

[powderfreak]

If you don't have a beach, where's the next best place to ride out a hot day?

4,000ft....64F with a 30mph breeze feels great. We should get into the low 70s this afternoon.

[weathafella]

I do...,for this winter coming. Don't go too far north.

We seem to hear this a lot each year and then it still tends to snow a decent amount up north.

It always does but relative to climo south is where you want to be. Raw numbers will likely be higher iyby.

[CT Rain]

So GFS MOS has 67/95 tomorrow... 69/95 Wednesday.

 

Those days aren't terrible. It's the days where overnight mins wind up around 77 or 78F that it gets really ugly. 

[Tropopause_Fold]

wow...torch right to the shore. not too often you see 85/72 at CHH at 9AM. 

[dendrite]

I think it does by +1.0 or more. Swampy.

It'd be sad to break a monthly record from primarily torch mins...especially in July. If we found the monthly means via integration from hourly obs rather than (max+min)/2 I think we'd see this month's ranking lower. With 9hrs of darkness and 15hrs of sunlight, the mins in the latter example are given more weight from an energy consumption standpoint. I think this is why many here, including me, have been meh on the impressiveness of the torch thus far. Don't get me wrong, it's still impressive, but it doesn't feel record breaking. Maybe this week will give more oomph to the max temps, but I'm strictly talking thus far.

[dendrite]

It always does but relative to climo south is where you want to be. Raw numbers will likely be higher iyby.

We're really not worried about this in July.