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July. High summer 2013-a humid and warm start. Is big heat lurking? Banter ok here.

weathafella

By weathafella,
in New England

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It's Always Sunny

It's Always Sunny

Posted
Posted

The time for pattern change per that post is now...lol. I remember reading it while in Princeton....just sayin...

BOS with seeabreeze down to 81. However 91 ws reached prior.

Yeah KBOS with the SE wind, dropped them about 8F last hour or so. Still don't expect much in terms of showers, although isolated can't be ruled out.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

The time for pattern change per that post is now...lol. I remember reading it while in Princeton....just sayin...

BOS with seeabreeze down to 81. However 91 ws reached prior.

Jerry I bumped the post, July 21st is next weekend. I am not sure when you were in princeton but I said this weather goes out with a bang next weekend, pattern changes from the stagnant blocked up pattern we were in. WAR gets beaten down. Not sure how much more I can say, if I am wrong I am wrong but I think its different and we'll see.

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

Walking to back bay to buy socks. Blistering imby.

 

 

I noticed the NAM's FRH gridded data offered up a NE @ 6kt flipporino that never took place at Logan.  

 

It has me wondering if the model's a bit to lusty with the notion of doing so tomorrow, too.  The problem is, there is so much compressional motion in the atmophere for having a 594dm tower rolling over head, that it "intuitively" seems difficult to turn any wind toward that domain.  

 

That said, very local -scaled balancing can take place that doesn't have any signature in the integral of the larger picture, so perhaps shore communities [only!] may get kissed by a coolish blessing tomorrow and Tuesday while the gradients are weak.  

 

For the rest of us?  As they say in ebonics, 'we be f*cked'.   Today is the easiest day straight through to Friday.  I am a bit put off by NCEP's efforts over the past week - btw.  I mentioned this back then, but they are willfully to the point of obstinate in their ignoring this week's impact of heat in the NE.  They have mentioned as seemingly afterthoughts in their last 2 days mid-range chit-chats, but before that ignored it almost entirely.  I think this week has a decent shot at being a higher impact heat event, considering that it's an integrated affect and last so many days.    Yet, they couldn't wait to chomp on the trough bit, which they did today.

 

It's like they ARE the Euro model!   Interesting

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

90s for sure here. Logan should rocket back in an hour or 2.

 

Temps going to have trouble risng more.  It's going to bop around the 90 to 93 range with today's boundary layer heights.  We can lift those height diabatically to some degree, but then we have to deal with pancake cu compensating.   

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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Posted

Looking at hi res vis imagery/loops, there appears to be a weak axis of convergence extending roughtly Watertown NY to Cape Ann.  Along with there is mid level cap stymied cu field, but a couple of blippy showers blink in and out of existence.   What interesting is that beneath this axis the CU field is moving just slightly S of due E.  While N of this axis the CU field is moving more obviously in a SE heading.  

 

Gee, with that mammoth heights it seems the cap won't be overcome. 

 

The cirrus in the images are moving due S, so that suggest deep layer shear is "directionally" positive, too.   

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mob1

mob1

Posted
Posted

Two of the worst possible outcomes...heat and zero excitement. Wake me up when September ends.

Are you going to sleep through the August Cat 5 hurricane? Seriously though, let's see what next weekend brings (probably an EML just north of us and the next one through the mid Atlantic and we get a meh line of storms that don't translate to any significant surface winds :))
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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

Two of the worst possible outcomes...heat and zero excitement. Wake me up when September ends.

 

 

I dunno dude, I get the feeling that this heat gets thunderstorm polluted as the height node recedes west in 2 days.  

 

Also, if this be true, this means you:

 

WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY RETROGRADES TO THE WEST...HIGH PRESSURE

SINKS SOUTH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL RESULT IN LIGHT

WINDS ACROSS THE AREA AS WELL AS UP THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERE. THE

LIGHT LOW LEVEL WINDS AND TEMPERATURES SOARING UP INTO THE UPPER 80S

TO LOWER 90S WILL RESULT IN SEA BREEZES ALONG THE EAST COAST. WITH

THE HEATING THERE WILL BE ENOUGH SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY THAT A

FEW STORMS COULD FORM ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. WITH THE FLOW SO LIGHT

THESE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED

FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WITH PWATS NEAR 2 INCHES.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

GON should be discarded. That dew was not 79 earlier. WST is 75 which is more reasonable I suppose.

ever been to the GON airport? that ASOS sticks out in the middle of a coastal pond right at the waters edge, with multiple non ASOS sites in the area in the upper 70's at the time its plausible. Mine here at work maxed at 78 the same time GON hit 79, since back to 76. It gets stagnant as hell from the sound .

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

Posted
Posted

Okay, here we go...a bit later than the NAM had it, but it had it nonetheless.  Kudos to the NAM for kicking in a seabreeze (BOS).     

 

141854 FEW055 BKN090 BKN120 10   81 70 1210 232
141754 FEW045 BKN060 10               89 67 2905 237

 

This will be limited to shore communities - 

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

Get out and enjoy summer. Isn't it cool that it can be 90-100f colder in 6 months? Embrace it...it's not good for you to be upset over wx.

 

There is nothing to enjoy when it's above 90. And for the few minutes I can dip into the water, I have to make sure the little one isn't too hot.

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Ginx snewx

Ginx snewx

Posted
Posted

Get out and enjoy summer. Isn't it cool that it can be 90-100f colder in 6 months? Embrace it...it's not good for you to be upset over wx.

I have acclimated, it is what it is. I would much rather have my windows wide open and sleep to the sound of the wind wooshing through the leaves though. Hope all the landscapers, gardeners and lawn care folks enjoy the fungus amoungus though. 

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CoastalWx

CoastalWx

Posted
Posted

I dunno dude, I get the feeling that this heat gets thunderstorm polluted as the height node recedes west in 2 days.  

 

Also, if this be true, this means you:

 

WHILE THE UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY RETROGRADES TO THE WEST...HIGH PRESSURE

SINKS SOUTH OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS WILL RESULT IN LIGHT

WINDS ACROSS THE AREA AS WELL AS UP THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERE. THE

LIGHT LOW LEVEL WINDS AND TEMPERATURES SOARING UP INTO THE UPPER 80S

TO LOWER 90S WILL RESULT IN SEA BREEZES ALONG THE EAST COAST. WITH

THE HEATING THERE WILL BE ENOUGH SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY THAT A

FEW STORMS COULD FORM ALONG THE SEA BREEZE. WITH THE FLOW SO LIGHT

THESE STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED

FLOODING...ESPECIALLY WITH PWATS NEAR 2 INCHES.

 

Yeah it could break with a good line of storms, but in the mean time..it's ridge city with iso storms.

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