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July 2013 Obs/Banter/Disco


Avdave

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it is still not moving due east... moving NE

 

and there is stuff west of Richmond.

 

Dont you people know how to look at a radar?

 

 

Oh I agree that it's moving NE, but I'm referring at the heavy echos on the radar that are heading toward the bay, not here (DC). I know it's raining drizzling here and more rain MAY come.  But I would have liked somthing a little more....exciting to watch out my window as I work. :)  It looked so promising this morning.

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june 2006 redux

I tried commenting to your comment on the CWG article.  The lack of a good boundary makes this a tough call but during that event the heavier rainfall shifted west a little on the two heaviest rainfall days.  Rich Grumm and I wrote something on the 2006,  actually Rich did most of the writing and plots.  He just put my name on it because we texted  about the event I think before it became of heavy rain maker. The paper is shown below if anyone is interested. 

 

http://cms.met.psu.edu/sref/severe/2006/26Jun2006-SREF.pdf

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I tried commenting to your comment on the CWG article.  The lack of a good boundary makes this a tough call but during that event the heavier rainfall shifted west a little on the two heaviest rainfall days.  Rich Grumm and I wrote something on the 2006,  actually Rich did most of the writing and plots.  He just put my name on it because we texted  about the event I think before it became of heavy rain maker. The paper is shown below if anyone is interested. 

 

http://cms.met.psu.edu/sref/severe/2006/26Jun2006-SREF.pdf

yeah i saw your response--will read the ppr.  i do think there are some similarities to the pattern tho im assuming many EC heavy rain patterns look somewhat similar.  wasnt trying to say you thought these were easy forecasts just remember you saying that about blocking in general... if that didn't come across there. ;)

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yeah i saw your response--will read the ppr.  i do think there are some similarities to the pattern tho im assuming many EC heavy rain patterns look somewhat similar.  wasnt trying to say you thought these were easy forecasts just remember you saying that about blocking in general... if that didn't come across there. ;)

 

Your comment was fine.  The patterns are pretty similar.  During 2006 the models forecast the frontal boundary west of us but outflow from the initial convection held weak surface boundary farther east and that is where the heavy rain focused. 

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Your comment was fine. The patterns are pretty similar. During 2006 the models forecast the frontal boundary west of us but outflow from the initial convection held weak surface boundary farther east and that is where the heavy rain focused.

Today's rain is failing IMBY. :(
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Still dropless.

 

At least I finally got my mostly cloudy though.

 

If they issued flash flood watches for mostly cloudy, we'd be the jackpot here over the last three days.  6 feet of mostly cloudy, 0.00" of actual precipitation.

EDIT:  Just after I posted, the screen updated to 0.01" - WOW!  Apparently all of the humidity has condensed and merged with some light drizzle to finally turn the bucket over.

 

Time to start building the ark!  Two of every animal, here I come!

 

OK, that was unnecessary.  Something about excessive humidity outside sends my sarcasm off the charts.  At this point, I would take anything over this suffocating airmass - even 100/59 would be a nice change.

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it is still not moving due east... moving NE

and there is stuff west of Richmond.

Dont you people know how to look at a radar?

There has been rain on radar west of Richmond te last few days and it has all headed ENE. The stuff in Richmond barely affects any of us unless you are on te Delmarva. An yes I'm complaining as it Still hasn't rained out here yet with another flood watch :P

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it is still not moving due east... moving NE

and there is stuff west of Richmond.

Dont you people know how to look at a radar?

There has been rain on radar west of Richmond te last few days and it has all headed ENE. The stuff in Richmond barely affects any of us unless you are on te Delmarva. An yes I'm complaining as it Still hasn't rained out here yet with another flood watch :P

Baby :P

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It'll get me first. If you don't hear from me in the next 30 minutes, take cover until the all clear is sounded.

Think it's the same cell that was warned earlier in NC. Kinda meh lately but might look ok.
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