Kmlwx Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 I haven't had any problems tonight. My bad lol I read Aviationdave's post and got you guys mixed up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Any chance of the GFS lows verifying Thurs and Fri morning? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Well, this has been an enjoyable evening. We finally cashed in. 1.25" with 3 separate storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Guess all my complaining was worth it. That line coming in looks impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Any chance of the GFS lows verifying Thurs and Fri morning? No. Ian and I were talking about it in the heat thread. At one point the GFS raw output had 52 for DCA on Friday while MOS had 66. MOS will be much closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Should be some heavy rain squalls within there at times, I see a few ZDR columns 3-5kft above the melting layer. Indicative of liquid water in a below freezing freezing environment. Only way to get that is with a fairly powerful updraft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 23, 2013 Author Share Posted July 23, 2013 Getting some distant lightning and some distant sounds of thunder to my west, thats about it so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 I see outflow from around Purcellville down to Middleburg then curving west from there. That might hurt chances farther east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Urgh. I want to go shot lightning but need a sure thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 I see outflow from around Purcellville down to Middleburg then curving west from there. That might hurt chances farther east. I saw that too. I thought storms sometimes formed on those. Am I thinking wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Urgh. I want to go shot lightning but need a sure thing. I hope they make it to you then. They are loaded with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 No. Ian and I were talking about it in the heat thread. At one point the GFS raw output had 52 for DCA on Friday while MOS had 66. MOS will be much closer. Where might a man find the MOS data? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 I saw that too. I thought storms sometimes formed on those. Am I thinking wrong? You're right but they can also weaken the storms behind them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Where might a man find the MOS data? GFS extended: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KDCA&sta=KIAD&sta=KBWI&sta=KJYO GFS short term http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmav.pl?sta=KDCA&sta=KIAD&sta=KBWI&sta=KJYO NAM short term http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmet.pl?sta=KDCA&sta=KIAD&sta=KBWI&sta=KJYO can change the stations in the URL or google GFS MOS and it should come up to the main page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 I hope they make it to you then. They are loaded with it. all the good stuff is still kinda north. prob another scenario i can't pull the trigger till it's too late.. meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 That storm has a pronounced hook. Circulation is better last scan or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 GFS extended: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmex.pl?sta=KDCA&sta=KIAD&sta=KBWI&sta=KJYO GFS short term http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmav.pl?sta=KDCA&sta=KIAD&sta=KBWI&sta=KJYO NAM short term http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getmet.pl?sta=KDCA&sta=KIAD&sta=KBWI&sta=KJYO can change the stations in the URL or google GFS MOS and it should come up to the main page Thanks. What does the top line N/X mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Well that incoming line looks interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 23, 2013 Author Share Posted July 23, 2013 Getting some good rumbles here now. Havent gotten up to see if it is raining. Satellite TV is still working so its not here yet or it isnt that bad. Latest radar shows it should be knocking on my door soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Friend just saw lightning here but I'm not sure if true - storms are still pretty far out and no cells near here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Im def seeing flashes here. It has that feel to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Getting some good rumbles here now. Havent gotten up to see if it is raining. Satellite TV is still working so its not here yet or it isnt that bad. Latest radar shows it should be knocking on my door soon. I didn't think it rained in the desert there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Thanks. What does the top line N/X mean?Min and max. The temp line is at the specific hours shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted July 23, 2013 Author Share Posted July 23, 2013 I didn't think it rained in the desert there Once in a blue moon it happens, atmosphere gets weird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Im def seeing flashes here. It has that feel to it Yeah my friend just said he's sure he saw flashes. That's impressive IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 May try a new spot... if I convince myself to go out soon. My prob is there's no good views here, but I have to be really committed to go to the Mall... Decision imminent. Lazy is gonna win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Getting some good rumbles here now. Havent gotten up to see if it is raining. Satellite TV is still working so its not here yet or it isnt that bad. Latest radar shows it should be knocking on my door soon. You guys look solid to my weenie eyes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 Mini-Supercell in N Baltimore County: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted July 23, 2013 Share Posted July 23, 2013 No. Ian and I were talking about it in the heat thread. At one point the GFS raw output had 52 for DCA on Friday while MOS had 66. MOS will be much closer. Enjoying your warm, humid, rain-free evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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