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July 2013 Obs/Banter/Disco


Avdave

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0.02", bringing the 9-day total to 0.02".

 

 

Had some drizzle. We might even go over to light rain!!!

First I've the deck has been wet at all in well over a week.

Wow, you all need to move south! I've had rain everyday this month except this 16th, and it has rained today too. Sitting at 6.81 for month, many locations closer to Roanoke at 10+. This after a 8.88 month for June.

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For what it's worth, flash flood watch just issued for areas to the farther west of DC.

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1001 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

MDZ501-502-VAZ025>027-029-030-036>040-503-504-WVZ050-055-501>506-
222215-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FF.A.0009.130722T1600Z-130723T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
EXTREME WESTERN ALLEGANY-CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY-AUGUSTA-
ROCKINGHAM-SHENANDOAH-PAGE-WARREN-NELSON-ALBEMARLE-GREENE-MADISON-
RAPPAHANNOCK-WESTERN HIGHLAND-EASTERN HIGHLAND-HAMPSHIRE-HARDY-
WESTERN GRANT-EASTERN GRANT-WESTERN MINERAL-EASTERN MINERAL-
WESTERN PENDLETON-EASTERN PENDLETON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FROSTBURG...CUMBERLAND...STAUNTON...
WAYNESBORO...HARRISONBURG...FRONT ROYAL...CHARLOTTESVILLE...
WASHINGTON...HIGHTOWN...MONTEREY...MOOREFIELD...BAYARD...
MOUNT STORM...PETERSBURG...ELK GARDEN...KEYSER...FORT ASHBY...
CIRCLEVILLE...FRANKLIN
1001 AM EDT MON JUL 22 2013

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN MARYLAND...VIRGINIA
  AND NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
  IN WESTERN MARYLAND...CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALLEGANY AND EXTREME
  WESTERN ALLEGANY. IN VIRGINIA...ALBEMARLE...AUGUSTA...EASTERN
  HIGHLAND...GREENE...MADISON...NELSON...PAGE...RAPPAHANNOCK...
  ROCKINGHAM...SHENANDOAH...WARREN AND WESTERN HIGHLAND. IN
  NORTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...EASTERN GRANT...EASTERN MINERAL...
  EASTERN PENDLETON...HAMPSHIRE...HARDY...WESTERN GRANT...
  WESTERN MINERAL AND WESTERN PENDLETON.

* NOON UNTIL MIDNIGHT...

* WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME HEAVY...WILL OCCUR
  OVER ALREADY SATURATED SOIL AND TERRAIN OVER THE POTOMAC
  HIGHLANDS...CENTRAL SHENANDOAH VALLEY...AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA
  BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS. 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS
  POSSIBLE FROM THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY. THIS WOULD EXCEED THE 3
  HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE FOR THE WATCH AREA.

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5% wind added again on 1630z OTLK

..MID ATLANTIC    WEAK HEIGHT FALLS AND POCKETS OF STRONGER HEATING/DESTABILIZATION  MAY LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN TSTM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON  FROM NEAR MD/PA BORDER TO POINTS SOUTH AND EAST. NEARLY MOIST  ADIABATIC LAPSE RATES MAY LIMIT OVERALL STORM INTENSITY BUT  BACKGROUND ASCENT AND SOME INCREASE IN MID-LEVEL FLOW TO ABOUT 30KT  MAY RESULT IN A SCATTERING WIND DAMAGE/TREE DOWN EVENTS DURING THE  PERIOD OF PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON.  
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most runs arent even pumping out much today at this pt.  tho with the vortmax pushing in seems we should get something.. but it is moving pretty slow. 

 

 

I think for mby this is a better shot a decent rain than yesterday though I did squeeze out .16" from a isolated cell yesterday.  I like having a vort, albeit a weak one approaching. 

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happy this will be my last humid plus 90 day for a while as we vacation to the PNW tomorrow... so looking forward to the crystal clear lake water, DP's in the 20's, bright sunny afternoons in the 80's and lows in the 40's that is my idea summer weather.

 

I'll be checking my PWS back here to see if the DP gets into the 50's later this week as forecast by someone from the forum last week, does look like it gets "nicer" here for a few days at least.

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